mlb chase 2013

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  • Stifler
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-09
    • 3511

    #211
    07.04.2013

    no plays today
    Comment
    • xgame
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-21-10
      • 675

      #212
      Thank you
      Comment
      • Grinder12000
        SBR MVP
        • 04-21-11
        • 1809

        #213
        no plays today
        Sort of figured that when we accidentally won of the series on Friday LOL Can' wait until all SIX systems are running full bore.
        Comment
        • J.M. Disciple
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-16-10
          • 5154

          #214
          Originally posted by 808bases
          Hey JM, I somewhat understand the Labby but how did you get to a profit of +220 when the goal (or rule) was to win $100? I thought once you clear a line then you profit all the increments of that line?
          I was only up $90 the day before so i continued the labby. Its hybrid of a labby; i laid out the strategy pretty clear. if the last day went 3-2 would of been up just over a hundred. I still would of started fresh line. Just lucky to get the sweep and get more profit.
          Comment
          • Stifler
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 3511

            #215
            08.04.2013

            S3

            (A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
            (A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
            (A Bet) TB fade: Texas - waiting on line movement
            (A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u


            potential plays:
            - S3 Cubs, if line <+100
            - S3 Cin fade, if line +100 or more


            ________________________________________ ________________________________________

            all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

            Last edited by Stifler; 04-08-13, 08:20 AM.
            Comment
            • cards2013
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-15-13
              • 147

              #216
              what about CIN fade? (they are dogs?)

              CHC might be a play too or am I wrong?
              Comment
              • Grinder12000
                SBR MVP
                • 04-21-11
                • 1809

                #217
                Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?
                Comment
                • Stifler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 3511

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Grinder12000
                  Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?
                  what? sry i dont know what u mean...

                  what about CIN fade? (they are dogs?)

                  CHC might be a play too or am I wrong?
                  missed adding the potential plays list. Edited now...
                  Comment
                  • cards2013
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-15-13
                    • 147

                    #219
                    for S3 only in Game 1, G2,3 and 4 it is a play no matter what
                    S1 and S2 you always have action
                    Comment
                    • nicktran808
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-30-12
                      • 276

                      #220
                      Looks like both potential plays have hit the line requirement. Big day.
                      Comment
                      • 808bases
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-14-13
                        • 57

                        #221
                        What about Cleveland on a Yankee fade and Arizona on a Pitt fade?
                        Comment
                        • cwin32
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 12-26-12
                          • 44

                          #222
                          808, we already won both of those series on 4/5
                          Comment
                          • Bradfordmiller
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-11-11
                            • 57

                            #223
                            Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?
                            Comment
                            • samrock67
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-05-12
                              • 647

                              #224
                              Originally posted by Bradfordmiller
                              Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?
                              Because it isn't based on whether St. Louis qualifies as an eligible team. The series is based on fading Cincy- and they do qualify under S3.
                              Comment
                              • cwin32
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-26-12
                                • 44

                                #225
                                Bradford, you answered your own question. I play is not ON St. Louis, it's AGAINST Cincinnati. Cincinnati IS on the S3 list
                                Comment
                                • Bradfordmiller
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 05-11-11
                                  • 57

                                  #226
                                  Thanks for the clarification guys
                                  Comment
                                  • thes0vereign
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-13-12
                                    • 712

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by Bradfordmiller
                                    Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?
                                    Cincy is the qualifier. Since it is a fade, we are betting on them to lose. Therefore, so long as CINCINNATI is at odds of +100 or greater, we play the OPPOSING TEAM.

                                    Long story short, think of it as betting against Cincy, not betting for St. Louis.



                                    Redundant.
                                    Comment
                                    • Grinder12000
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-21-11
                                      • 1809

                                      #228
                                      Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?
                                      what? sry i dont know what u mean...
                                      Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

                                      I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

                                      With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.
                                      Comment
                                      • thes0vereign
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-13-12
                                        • 712

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                        Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

                                        I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

                                        With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.
                                        With Ace v. Ace matchups, I will only play the listed pitchers. The rest of the time, I just play the action.
                                        Comment
                                        • Stifler
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 3511

                                          #230
                                          - Cubs Series added.

                                          08.04.2013

                                          S3

                                          (A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
                                          (A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
                                          (A Bet) TB fade: Texas - waiting on line movement
                                          (A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u
                                          (A Bet) Cubs: Cubs 1,877 1,14u


                                          potential plays:
                                          - S3 Cin fade, if line +100 or more


                                          ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                                          all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
                                          Comment
                                          • Stifler
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 3511

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                            Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

                                            I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

                                            With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.
                                            for the first game it does matter in S3, as the line tells u its a play or not. I always play only the pitchers listed, otherwise its cashback. Didnt happend that often last year that the pitcher changed. Still to be on the safe side only the first game pitcher changes would matter, and ofc all plays for the pitcher chase.
                                            Comment
                                            • Stifler
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 3511

                                              #232
                                              - Cin fade Series & Texas line added.

                                              08.04.2013

                                              S3

                                              (A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
                                              (A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
                                              (A Bet) TB fade: Texas 1,658 1,52u
                                              (A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u
                                              (A Bet) Cubs: Cubs 1,877 1,14u
                                              (A Bet) Cin fade: St.Louis 1,877 1,14u



                                              ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                                              all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
                                              Comment
                                              • samrock67
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-05-12
                                                • 647

                                                #233
                                                For those interested...

                                                I said I would be keeping a running tab on whether Stifler's series cover on the RL, so here's an update:

                                                Current Stifler record: 12-0
                                                Current RL record: 11-0, 1 series pending(S3 SF)
                                                When they covered
                                                A bet: 4
                                                B bet: 2
                                                C bet: 4
                                                D bet: 1

                                                Note: These numbers reflect the record had you continued to bet even after the series had already won, i.e. via a 1-run victory
                                                Last edited by samrock67; 04-08-13, 02:36 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • abzflabz
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-04-12
                                                  • 195

                                                  #234
                                                  Wow runline looks profitAble
                                                  Comment
                                                  • skyscrapers
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-02-11
                                                    • 6165

                                                    #235
                                                    Ya runline chase looking good and odds are almost always >+100. Maybe I start a chase on top of Stif's plays.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • samrock67
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 05-05-12
                                                      • 647

                                                      #236
                                                      I know the RL chase looks like it is off to a fantastic start but I would give it some time to see how things pan out...

                                                      Unless you are betting the same amount as you would on the ML(as opposed to betting "To Win" 1 unit), I would look at this as more of an opportunity to save some money during chases as opposed to being more profitable.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ColdBeerHere
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-25-11
                                                        • 3626

                                                        #237
                                                        Wow samrock...so if u were only risking a unit you would actually be up more than 12 units....and a lost series is only 16 units because there's no juice.....interesting....

                                                        I wad actually looking to do some kind of runline chase this year too....i was going to try and develope a system but have not had the time....

                                                        How about making a seperate thread where you keep track ?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • samrock67
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-05-12
                                                          • 647

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                                          Wow samrock...so if u were only risking a unit you would actually be up more than 12 units....and a lost series is only 16 units because there's no juice.....interesting....

                                                          I wad actually looking to do some kind of runline chase this year too....i was going to try and develope a system but have not had the time....

                                                          How about making a seperate thread where you keep track ?
                                                          I would be more than happy to make a separate thread where I keep track, I would just need Stifler's permission because I would essentially be re-posting his plays(well, fairly frequently, anyway).
                                                          Last edited by samrock67; 04-08-13, 03:40 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • samrock67
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 05-05-12
                                                            • 647

                                                            #239
                                                            Ok, I've set up the thread to keep track of this system as it performs on the RL...

                                                            Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                                            Thanks to Stifler for allowing this. Can't wait to see how things turn out!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Grinder12000
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-21-11
                                                              • 1809

                                                              #240
                                                              9 runs in the ninth normally means bad news for one team.

                                                              glad I missed the game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jimmy007oc
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-25-10
                                                                • 1699

                                                                #241
                                                                Let's me check the shit in . EZ for me to follow up a thread
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Grinder12000
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-21-11
                                                                  • 1809

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Damnit. I missed the cubs also.. Stiffer, you're killing me.

                                                                  well, not KILLING me but. . . .

                                                                  did not see potential play. We're locked out from gambling sites at work. Go figure.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dlunc3
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-31-09
                                                                    • 9129

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                    Damnit. I missed the cubs also.. Stiffer, you're killing me.

                                                                    well, not KILLING me but. . . .

                                                                    did not see potential play. We're locked out from gambling sites at work. Go figure.
                                                                    you can have my cubs bet
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • w@lt
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                                      • 2594

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by dlunc3
                                                                      you can have my cubs bet
                                                                      Mine also.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 808bases
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 03-14-13
                                                                        • 57

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by cwin32
                                                                        808, we already won both of those series on 4/5
                                                                        Yeah but we are in a new series. I had Yankees as +106 road underdog so that calls for a fade of the Yankees. Same thing with Arizona.
                                                                        Comment
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