mlb chase 2013

[1958]

2,4% chance of LAA losing tonight is soooooo good. If you could only tell me this info four days ago..... I would have skipped the previous three games. Anyway, lets enjoy the game. GL to all

[Ji-a]

potential plays:
- S3 Det if line +100 or more

You mean S3 Det fade, right?

[Grinder12000]

- S3 Pit, if line <+100

Meaning +120ish?

- S3 Det if line +100 or more

Meaning -110ish?

[knugen]

need angels tonight... not a loss this early

[samrock67]

2,4% chance of LAA losing tonight is soooooo good. If you could only tell me this info four days ago..... I would have skipped the previous three games. Anyway, lets enjoy the game. GL to all

I honestly don't know why the odds were so terrible today...they've lost 4 in a row, got outscored 28-11 in getting swept by oakland, and Pujols, Trout, and Hamilton are batting a combined .247 with 2 home runs(both by pujols). Maybe this means they're due, I don't know. I can only hope Hanson pitches as well against Houston as he has historically(4-0, 1.29).

[eroger92]

12.04.2013

S3

(D Bet) LAA: LAA 1,654 1,53u | LAA 1,80 3,163u | LAA 1,787 7,234u | LAA 1,526 24,576u
(B Bet) Tex fade: Seattle 1,649 1,54u | Seattle 2,28 1,984u
(A Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,649 1,54u


potential plays:
- S3 Pit, if line <+100
- S3 Det if line +100 or more
- S3 Oak, if line <+100


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Are we playing the potential plays?

[Greg242]

Let's go angels!!

[Stifler]

- S3 Pit added. Yes its Det fade as a potential fade play

12.04.2013

S3

(D Bet) LAA: LAA 1,654 1,53u | LAA 1,80 3,163u | LAA 1,787 7,234u | LAA 1,526 24,576u
(B Bet) Tex fade: Seattle 1,649 1,54u | Seattle 2,28 1,984u
(A Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,649 1,54u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,885 1,13u


potential plays:
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 Oak, if line <+100


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[J.M. Disciple]

potential plays:
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 Oak, if line <+100

I have det -111 at my book which makes it a play? or do you mean +101, +102, +103, etc...?
I am a little confused on +100 or more in terms of which line direction you mean.

Right now my book has -111 and -109. So oakland has to be +101 and det has to be -101 or more?

[Grinder12000]

I have det -111 at my book which makes it a play? or do you mean +101, +102, +103, etc...?
I am a little confused on +100 or more in terms of which line direction you mean.

Yea - me too - I can get Detroit at -105 I'm confused with the terminology also

Whenever a team starts a road-trip and the odds are +100 or higher in the first game start the chase and fade that team.

Which way is "higher". To me higher means -101 is higher then +100 so they are a play

[J.M. Disciple]

Yea - me too - I can get Detroit at -105 I'm confused with the terminology also



Which way is "higher". To me higher means -101 is higher then +100 so they are a play

Maybe should use Better or worse in terms of our favor or disadvantage.


PS
what happened to giving points? Every time I try give someone points it moves me back to top of the page.

[DocZ]

For S3 plays:
I believe we are backing favored teams for first game, negative number (-109).
We are fading dogs for first game, positive number (+110).

+100 acts like 0 so greater than +100 (> +100) is +101, +102, etc
+100 acts like 0 so less than +100(< +100) is -101, -102, etc

the Oakland/Detroit game is backwards to the S3 system play. Detroit is favored on the road for the first game of the series.

[Grinder12000]

So we take the wording literally. More then +100 would be +105. Sounds good. No more negative double thinking.

[DollarBill10]

So is the Det/Oak game a play?

[Stifler]

- S3 Oak added.

12.04.2013

S3

(D Bet) LAA: LAA 1,654 1,53u | LAA 1,80 3,163u | LAA 1,787 7,234u | LAA 1,526 24,576u
(B Bet) Tex fade: Seattle 1,649 1,54u | Seattle 2,28 1,984u
(A Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,649 1,54u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,885 1,13u
(A Bet) Oak: Oakland 1,971 1,03u


potential plays:
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more



________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[BigBanker]

Tommy Hanson is shaking in his boots !!

[BigBanker]

This is sick need double play ball

[cwin32]

Uggg

Down 3-0'in the 1st to the worst team in baseball...not exactly what I was hoping for for...hopefully the bats wake up tonight. GL to us tonight!

[illisdre]

LAA... the pitcher can't throw a strike.. all over the place..

LAA - the batters... can't even get a single hit!

[dogs1972]

This would be a bad bad way to start the season if they can't turn it around.

[illisdre]

i have them on runline mostly.. thinking if theyd win.. theyd win by alot..
so i most likely am screwd..

heres to hoping.

[J.M. Disciple]

thread is silent when there are winning days, than all of a sudden losing day and everyone goes bonkers. Just relax whole season ahead of us. Lots of small bets to make up for one big bet.

Asked this before, but besides cisco anyone following any other good MLB systems?

[Jellybeans]

Gonna go get drunk

[illisdre]

thread is silent when there are winning days, than all of a sudden losing day and everyone goes bonkers. Just relax whole season ahead of us. Lots of small bets to make up for one big bet.

Asked this before, but besides cisco anyone following any other good MLB systems?

I like to chat sometimes..
but pretty sure its more to do with "D bet"

D bet syndrome.

[ColdBeerHere]

Hey didn't the Angels and Pujols as well start last season like crap too if I remember correctly ?

[curtrambus]

The biggest joke is how much juice was on this game 2-7 team -200 just unreal anyways put yer rally cap on and hope they don't bring in Jeppsen so we stand a chance.

[alexknyc]

thread is silent when there are winning days, than all of a sudden losing day and everyone goes bonkers. Just relax whole season ahead of us. Lots of small bets to make up for one big bet.

Asked this before, but besides cisco anyone following any other good MLB systems?

Any thread with Grinder12000 in it will never be silent.

[dogs1972]

thread is silent when there are winning days, than all of a sudden losing day and everyone goes bonkers. Just relax whole season ahead of us. Lots of small bets to make up for one big bet.

Asked this before, but besides cisco anyone following any other good MLB systems?

Little more than a losing day don't you think DB? It's not like its a 1-4 night and down a few units. This would be 30-40 units. Or as your bank roll goes $67.

[CheeseHead]

Talk about getting juiced by the books badly.... I didn't have a good feeling about laying that many units at -200 odds, but I'm here for the ride anyway. It's a long season, right?

[J.M. Disciple]

I enjoy the chatter as well; just dont want to hear the bickering and complaining every time there is a losing night. If you going to bitch and complain every time there is a losing night do it on the winning nights and celebrate together as well. Creates a negative energy in the thread if its silent on great days and super negative on bad days.

LAA series based on covers closing lines
A) 1.42 to win 1
B) 3.12 to win 2.42
C) 7.87 to win 5.54
D) 26.82 to win 13.41

Onto some thinking grinder mentioned in another thread for NHL. If you lost 40 units on tonight's game on the LAA than there is some thing wrong with your money management. Yes you lost 40 units on the series, but as grinder says that money is long gone and you actually only lost 26 or 27 units tonight. If you are going to think about the total series loss than think of the total series wins this season as well and you are only down like 15-20 units which aint bad considering some nights have like 5-10 plays which can easily make up for a series loss in less than a week.

Also about analzing games, I agree with Grinder when he said some thing about a monkey analyzing games... I do not want to misquote him, so maybe he can say it again.

Also if you went 1-4 or even 2-3 tonight than you obviously are not following the system correctly. I am looking at 3-2 or possibly 4-1 night if A's come back to win it and with my hybrid labby shows a profit.

Just want to keep the thread on a positive energy.

Everyone enjoy their night and keep sports betting (long term investment) separate from their personal lives.

[illisdre]

apparently NO angels got passed 1st base tonight. a heavy favourite with not a single run.

i agree with you JM .. my post are never intended to be negative to the system.. just the dam luck i suppose.

[abzflabz]

this angels team will be a good fade team.

[Greg242]

For anyone who watched the last play symbolic ending

[J.M. Disciple]

For anyone who watched the last play symbolic ending

The walk off home run in A's game?

[Greg242]

The walk off home run in A's game?

No josh hamilton picked off at the end of the angels game.