mlb chase 2013

[Stifler]

07.04.2013

no plays today

[xgame]

Thank you

[Grinder12000]

no plays today

Sort of figured that when we accidentally won of the series on Friday LOL Can' wait until all SIX systems are running full bore.

[J.M. Disciple]

Hey JM, I somewhat understand the Labby but how did you get to a profit of +220 when the goal (or rule) was to win $100? I thought once you clear a line then you profit all the increments of that line?

I was only up $90 the day before so i continued the labby. Its hybrid of a labby; i laid out the strategy pretty clear. if the last day went 3-2 would of been up just over a hundred. I still would of started fresh line. Just lucky to get the sweep and get more profit.

[Stifler]

08.04.2013

S3

(A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB fade: Texas - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u


potential plays:
- S3 Cubs, if line <+100
- S3 Cin fade, if line +100 or more


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[cards2013]

what about CIN fade? (they are dogs?)

CHC might be a play too or am I wrong?

[Grinder12000]

Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?

[Stifler]

Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?

what? sry i dont know what u mean...

what about CIN fade? (they are dogs?)

CHC might be a play too or am I wrong?

missed adding the potential plays list. Edited now...

[cards2013]

for S3 only in Game 1, G2,3 and 4 it is a play no matter what

S1 and S2 you always have action

[nicktran808]

Looks like both potential plays have hit the line requirement. Big day.

[808bases]

What about Cleveland on a Yankee fade and Arizona on a Pitt fade?

[cwin32]

808, we already won both of those series on 4/5

[Bradfordmiller]

Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?

[samrock67]

Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?

Because it isn't based on whether St. Louis qualifies as an eligible team. The series is based on fading Cincy- and they do qualify under S3.

[cwin32]

Bradford, you answered your own question. I play is not ON St. Louis, it's AGAINST Cincinnati. Cincinnati IS on the S3 list

[Bradfordmiller]

Thanks for the clarification guys

[thes0vereign]

Why would St Louis (cincy fade) qualify for a play when they are not listed on page 1 as a team eligible for S3?

Cincy is the qualifier. Since it is a fade, we are betting on them to lose. Therefore, so long as CINCINNATI is at odds of +100 or greater, we play the OPPOSING TEAM.

Long story short, think of it as betting against Cincy, not betting for St. Louis.


Redundant.

[Grinder12000]

Gotta a question - one of my books have me CHECK the opening day pitchers. Opinions? What do you do in the situation Stiffler. I know the pitcher chase would be check but . . . . . ?
what? sry i dont know what u mean...

Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.

[thes0vereign]

Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.

With Ace v. Ace matchups, I will only play the listed pitchers. The rest of the time, I just play the action.

[Stifler]

- Cubs Series added.

08.04.2013

S3

(A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB fade: Texas - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u
(A Bet) Cubs: Cubs 1,877 1,14u


potential plays:
- S3 Cin fade, if line +100 or more


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[Stifler]

Two of my books have a check box - if either starting pitcher does not pitch the game will not be wagered. OR - it does not matter WHAT happens if there is a scratch. MY line will stay the same and the game will be wagered.

I have to assume that in the "S" games it does not matter (although it would suck going from -140 to +120).

With the pitcher series I would assume it's important for THAT pitcher to pitch.

for the first game it does matter in S3, as the line tells u its a play or not. I always play only the pitchers listed, otherwise its cashback. Didnt happend that often last year that the pitcher changed. Still to be on the safe side only the first game pitcher changes would matter, and ofc all plays for the pitcher chase.

[Stifler]

- Cin fade Series & Texas line added.

08.04.2013

S3

(A Bet) Balti fade: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,725 1,38u
(A Bet) TB fade: Texas 1,658 1,52u
(A Bet) Hou fade: Seattle 1,606 1,65u
(A Bet) Cubs: Cubs 1,877 1,14u
(A Bet) Cin fade: St.Louis 1,877 1,14u



________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[samrock67]

For those interested...

I said I would be keeping a running tab on whether Stifler's series cover on the RL, so here's an update:

Current Stifler record: 12-0
Current RL record: 11-0, 1 series pending(S3 SF)
When they covered
A bet: 4
B bet: 2
C bet: 4
D bet: 1

Note: These numbers reflect the record had you continued to bet even after the series had already won, i.e. via a 1-run victory

[abzflabz]

Wow runline looks profitAble

[skyscrapers]

Ya runline chase looking good and odds are almost always >+100. Maybe I start a chase on top of Stif's plays.

[samrock67]

I know the RL chase looks like it is off to a fantastic start but I would give it some time to see how things pan out...

Unless you are betting the same amount as you would on the ML(as opposed to betting "To Win" 1 unit), I would look at this as more of an opportunity to save some money during chases as opposed to being more profitable.

[ColdBeerHere]

Wow samrock...so if u were only risking a unit you would actually be up more than 12 units....and a lost series is only 16 units because there's no juice.....interesting....

I wad actually looking to do some kind of runline chase this year too....i was going to try and develope a system but have not had the time....

How about making a seperate thread where you keep track ?

[samrock67]

Wow samrock...so if u were only risking a unit you would actually be up more than 12 units....and a lost series is only 16 units because there's no juice.....interesting....

I wad actually looking to do some kind of runline chase this year too....i was going to try and develope a system but have not had the time....

How about making a seperate thread where you keep track ?

I would be more than happy to make a separate thread where I keep track, I would just need Stifler's permission because I would essentially be re-posting his plays(well, fairly frequently, anyway).

[samrock67]

Ok, I've set up the thread to keep track of this system as it performs on the RL...

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-betting/2283880-samrocks-2013-rl-chase-system-aka-stifler-2-0-a.html#post18334824

Thanks to Stifler for allowing this. Can't wait to see how things turn out!

[Grinder12000]

9 runs in the ninth normally means bad news for one team.

glad I missed the game

[jimmy007oc]

Let's me check the shit in . EZ for me to follow up a thread

[Grinder12000]

Damnit. I missed the cubs also.. Stiffer, you're killing me.

well, not KILLING me but. . . .

did not see potential play. We're locked out from gambling sites at work. Go figure.

[dlunc3]

Damnit. I missed the cubs also.. Stiffer, you're killing me.

well, not KILLING me but. . . .

did not see potential play. We're locked out from gambling sites at work. Go figure.

you can have my cubs bet

[w@lt]

you can have my cubs bet

Mine also.

[808bases]

808, we already won both of those series on 4/5

Yeah but we are in a new series. I had Yankees as +106 road underdog so that calls for a fade of the Yankees. Same thing with Arizona.