San Diego 61% - Peavey is likely to have a strong game here. He has been inconsistent, and while he could certainly get hit in this park by the Philadelphia lineup, his last 3 starts have been decent, and he will be working on 5 days rest, a situation which has has benefitted him throughout his career. Mathieson has good ability, and he could throw a good game vs the weak San Diego lineup, but he is still likely to get outpitched by Peavey no matter what.
Washington 60% - Petit has not done well in the majors or minors this year, and the Washington lineup has improved to a respectable level recently, so he is not likely to have a good start here. O'Connor has been inconsistent, throwing a bunch of mediocre starts, and he does not have great stuff, but he has had some good outings vs strong lineups, and he is likely to have a quality start here.
Cleveland 51% - The blowout from yesterday sets the Yankees up for a bounce-back win. However, Byrd has been very effective of late, and he is likely to have another quality start here in his last outing before the break. Mussina is also likely to have a strong outing. With both pens shaky and both offenses strong, the performances of the starters factor heavily into the likelihood of various outcomes of the game, giving this game a high degree of uncertainty and a low confidence factor.
Mets 70% - Hernandez is likely to have a sub-par outing, and Wells can't stay terrible for long, but the Mets still have a huge edge for this game. They will have a lineup and bullpen edge which should eventually prevail here.
Boston 52% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty. Both starters are likely to get hit, the question being which will get hit harder. Johnson is less likely to get crushed, but also less likely to have a strong outing. Boston has had problems offensively on the turf this year.
Washington 60% - Petit has not done well in the majors or minors this year, and the Washington lineup has improved to a respectable level recently, so he is not likely to have a good start here. O'Connor has been inconsistent, throwing a bunch of mediocre starts, and he does not have great stuff, but he has had some good outings vs strong lineups, and he is likely to have a quality start here.
Cleveland 51% - The blowout from yesterday sets the Yankees up for a bounce-back win. However, Byrd has been very effective of late, and he is likely to have another quality start here in his last outing before the break. Mussina is also likely to have a strong outing. With both pens shaky and both offenses strong, the performances of the starters factor heavily into the likelihood of various outcomes of the game, giving this game a high degree of uncertainty and a low confidence factor.
Mets 70% - Hernandez is likely to have a sub-par outing, and Wells can't stay terrible for long, but the Mets still have a huge edge for this game. They will have a lineup and bullpen edge which should eventually prevail here.
Boston 52% - This game has a very high degree of uncertainty. Both starters are likely to get hit, the question being which will get hit harder. Johnson is less likely to get crushed, but also less likely to have a strong outing. Boston has had problems offensively on the turf this year.