Cardinals +160
what the heck, guess I'm all-bird in the WC games tonight.
is home advantage being overpriced here ? You know it is !
The Cardinals pitching staff gives Matheny lots of movable
pieces. Value is here, bet less, win the same amount.
Orioles +180
My first thought on this game was the Over 9, but I changed
my mind because the managers have their entire pitching staffs
to work with. In a wild card game we can't say this is this or that
starter's game.. batters are going to have a hard time.. dealing
with the pressure and rotations.
So, I'm going with the raw value play and taking the O's to
pull the upset ! Why not, Texas dissapointed, they should not
even be in this game at all. We don't know if they are going to
come alive tonight. On the other hand, O's are overachievers
who play smart. Buck is a great manager.
Bet less, win the same.
Reds (115) at Giants
I just think the Reds are the better team here, and although
it will be difficult to win 1st game at SF, I'll back them with
Cueto, I trust Reds bats more than Giants, even facing
Matt Cain. Value. If they lose, I'll just double-up on them
in Game 2. Chase on Reds until they take a game.
Tigers RL -1.5 (125) hosting Oakland
Parker vs Verlander. This is a telling choice by A's manager
Melvin. I think Melvin has changed the rotation here and is starting the rookie
(he only played one game in 2011) Parker because he's saving his
studs for the games in Oakland, and for game 2, when they won't
be facing Verlander and have a better chance of winning.
Melvin sees this as a throwaway spot. Tigers are pumped to the MAX
and will be loose, I think they will roll Game 1 no problem.
I'm even planning on laying some double RL -2.5 on this.
tracking performance units for playoffs:
Orioles .555 to win 1.00 units
Cardinals .625 to win 1.00
Reds .87 to win 1.00
Tigers RL .80 to win 1.00
what the heck, guess I'm all-bird in the WC games tonight.
is home advantage being overpriced here ? You know it is !
The Cardinals pitching staff gives Matheny lots of movable
pieces. Value is here, bet less, win the same amount.
Orioles +180
My first thought on this game was the Over 9, but I changed
my mind because the managers have their entire pitching staffs
to work with. In a wild card game we can't say this is this or that
starter's game.. batters are going to have a hard time.. dealing
with the pressure and rotations.
So, I'm going with the raw value play and taking the O's to
pull the upset ! Why not, Texas dissapointed, they should not
even be in this game at all. We don't know if they are going to
come alive tonight. On the other hand, O's are overachievers
who play smart. Buck is a great manager.
Bet less, win the same.
Reds (115) at Giants
I just think the Reds are the better team here, and although
it will be difficult to win 1st game at SF, I'll back them with
Cueto, I trust Reds bats more than Giants, even facing
Matt Cain. Value. If they lose, I'll just double-up on them
in Game 2. Chase on Reds until they take a game.
Tigers RL -1.5 (125) hosting Oakland
Parker vs Verlander. This is a telling choice by A's manager
Melvin. I think Melvin has changed the rotation here and is starting the rookie
(he only played one game in 2011) Parker because he's saving his
studs for the games in Oakland, and for game 2, when they won't
be facing Verlander and have a better chance of winning.
Melvin sees this as a throwaway spot. Tigers are pumped to the MAX
and will be loose, I think they will roll Game 1 no problem.
I'm even planning on laying some double RL -2.5 on this.
tracking performance units for playoffs:
Orioles .555 to win 1.00 units
Cardinals .625 to win 1.00
Reds .87 to win 1.00
Tigers RL .80 to win 1.00
