9/25 Cleveland/ChiSox O/U Play

[theangryelf]

The play this afternoon is Over 9 -110. In 10 starts this year, Cleveland has given up an average of 6.4 runs when Kluber is on the mound. When Liriano is on the mound, Chicago has given up an average of 5.3 runs per game. Chicago's bats are money at home, they drive in on average 5.3 runs per game. I really like this play. Best play on this 2:10 game IMO. GL

[KidSeoul]

Already on this one for 2 Units. I think this hits before the 6th inning!

Let's get this!

[deadstare]

Under

[theangryelf]

Under

and your thought process on this is what?

[RawBillyIce]

@TheAngryElf Tailing bro! 9/25/12 11:30am

$31.20

$30.00

Pending

9/25/12 2:10pm Reduced Baseball 975 Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox Over 9 -104* (C Kluber - R must Start F Liriano - L must Start)

[theangryelf]

56% of public is on the under...better for me

[Omaga]

Under 9 and No Runs in the 1st Inning

[deadstare]

research.

[theangryelf]

Under 9 and No Runs in the 1st Inning

research.

Well GL to you both.

[CollegePro]

Under is better play... White sox not hitting the ball that well lately.. And Indians...

[RawBillyIce]

Angry Elf tell me I am good here betting the O 9 !

[theangryelf]

i already bet the over 9

[CHAZ]

56% of public is on the under...better for me

[theangryelf]

again we will have to see. everyone talked s*** to me yesterday when i said nats/mil over 7.5. That game was a cakewalk. Estrada is so great. 4-1 l5 13 and something scoreless innings yada yada yada

ya i ain't been here long and don't post much but im confident with all my plays and dont second guess myself

[CHAZ]

again we will have to see. everyone talked s*** to me yesterday when i said nats/mil over 7.5. That game was a cakewalk. Estrada is so great. 4-1 l5 13 and something scoreless innings yada yada yada

ya i ain't been here long and don't post much but im confident with all my plays and dont second guess myself

Calm down cowboy I never said anything about your play. The smiley was in reference to what you said "56% of public is on the under.. better for me"

Idk how that is better for you. That's almost perfect balanced action

[KidSeoul]

again we will have to see. everyone talked s*** to me yesterday when i said nats/mil over 7.5. That game was a cakewalk. Estrada is so great. 4-1 l5 13 and something scoreless innings yada yada yada

ya i ain't been here long and don't post much but im confident with all my plays and dont second guess myself

bro, you don't have to prove anything to squares. you stated enough in your initial post. just kick back and let the sharps have the last laugh.

[theangryelf]

well i now see it at 57% i can expect it to maybe hit 60% by 1. Either way, i love my play and am not going second guess myself one bit.

[theangryelf]

bro, you don't have to prove anything to squares. you stated enough in your initial post. just kick back and let the sharps have the last laugh.

amen

[KidSeoul]

Calm down cowboy I never said anything about your play. The smiley was in reference to what you said "56% of public is on the under.. better for me"

Idk how that is better for you. That's almost perfect balanced action

True Chaz, but if you're betting against squares, every bit counts. 56 vs 44 is still a 12% difference...and in favor of the sharps.

[CHAZ]

True Chaz, but if you're betting against squares, every bit counts. 56 vs 44 is still a 12% difference...and in favor of the sharps.

So the 12% difference helps you determine who the squares and sharps are on in that game today? What if the line moves to 8.5 against the "sharps"




Again, I'm not calling your actual play wrong. I hope you win and I don't wanna see anyone lose. Just discussing your logic.

[KidSeoul]

So the 12% difference helps you determine who the squares and sharps are on in that game today? What if the line moves to 8.5 against the "sharps"




Again, I'm not calling your actual play wrong. I hope you win and I don't wanna see anyone lose. Just discussing your logic.

I'm not stating that the 12% determines who the sharps and squares are. I'm stating that the stats show that this game has the likelihood of going Over. Trends also show that these two have gone over 5 out of 7 times when playing in Chicago. Add to that the starting pitchers and their trends, this game should go over. I think the squares are mesmerized by how Liriano has pitched against the Tribe in his past three starts against them and how Kluber hasn't given up more than 3-4 earned runs in his last 7 outings...which equals an easy Under for them.

Are you playing this yourself?

[NYSportsGuy210]

Play the OVER on this game and the Rockies -Cubs game tonight. Probably go 2-0.

[shift_knob]

O9 ev

[theangryelf]

i like the over 9 in tor/balt tonight as well...will have more picks later on

[breakingbad]

there has been a CHAZ sighting! u done for the year CHAZ? thanks for your picks this season! much appreciated, you did very well!

[CHAZ]

I'm stating that the stats show that this game has the likelihood of going Over.

Are you playing this yourself?

I'm questioning the idea of sharps, squares, or public $$ is determined by a 56/44 split. Sharp bets show themselves when you have a lopsided percentage. Take for example the Saints this weekend. The line opened at -10 and with 75% on them the line moved to -8. Sharp money came on the Chiefs to move the line against the percentage (square side aka public). There is no blatant public side when the percentage is practically down the middle and no line movement.

there has been a CHAZ sighting! u done for the year CHAZ? thanks for your picks this season! much appreciated, you did very well!

Thanks! Love that show too

I'm passing from baseball until the playoffs start.

[theangryelf]

I'm questioning the idea of sharps, squares, or public $$ is determined by a 56/44 split. Sharp bets show themselves when you have a lopsided percentage. Take for example the Saints this weekend. The line opened at -10 and with 75% on them the line moved to -8. Sharp money came on the Chiefs to move the line against the percentage (square side aka public). There is no blatant public side when the percentage is practically down the middle and no line
movement.


Thanks! Love that show to

I'm passing from baseball until the playoffs start.

That I am aware of. All I wad trying to say is that I prefer to not be one of the majority picks.

[betme]

The play this afternoon is Over 9 -110. In 10 starts this year, Cleveland has given up an average of 6.4 runs when Kluber is on the mound. When Liriano is on the mound, Chicago has given up an average of 5.3 runs per game. Chicago's bats are money at home, they drive in on average 5.3 runs per game. I really like this play. Best play on this 2:10 game IMO. GL

then why the total is set only 9 ?

[ridims]

played under 9 @ -115 for a hundy while at work.

[theangryelf]

then why the total is set only 9 ?

My rationale is because over the last 10 games, chicago has averaged 3.5 runs a game. There offense is much better than that and it should show this afternoon.

[theangryelf]

white sox and runners in scoring position and couldnt drive in any. top of the 2nd

[bumppinee]

Sweated out that no run in first only bet of the game

[CollegePro]

white sox still struggles... I know long way to go before game ends.. but white sox looks like they won't score much runs today.

[darrell74]

Well, that was classy.
White Sox fans gave Brent Lillibridge applaud as he stepped up to the plate
I gotta say, good job Chicago

[Gnutti]

need some runs here