MLB - Tuesday, 9/18/12

OhMyEli · 09-18-12, 08:54 AM

You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????

scottsins · 09-18-12, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by OhMyEli

You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????

No. I'm sure he didn't bother to look at the lineups/starting pitchers for this game. (sarcasm)

OhMyEli · 09-18-12, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by scottsins

No. I'm sure he didn't bother to look at the lineups/starting pitchers for this game. (sarcasm)

The lineups aren't up wiseass. The guy is good, I'm not doubting that, but he loses 47% of the time (which is fine up so many units). It's just hard to bet unders when teams are facing below AAA pitchers, let alone these two terrible bullpens on top of it. I'm not coming in here calling him an idiot, just that this seems to be a strange bet considering a AA pitcher is on the mound, now hop off my dik.

Weeton · 09-18-12, 11:12 AM

a lot can be inferred from the fact that its his first official post of the day. whether it hits or not is debatable, what isn't: his earnings ytd. tail or fade, either way he's making monies.

LT Profits · 09-18-12, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by OhMyEli

You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????

Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.

LT Profits · 09-18-12, 11:18 AM

MLB Triple Play

Originally posted by LT Profits

1 MLB Plays Tuesday

Twins / Indians UNDER 9.5 -120 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 340-303-25, +48.40

Adding:

Red Sox +155 (Rebate Wager)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 7.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

MLB Card complete

OhMyEli · 09-18-12, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.

That's fine pal, everyone here thinks you either have to call a lock or bash someone. I'm not doing one and you're not doing the other. I took a little gulp on Cle ML here, so its not even that I'm going against you. Hopefully its something like a 6-1 game and we both cash easily, but I would just never trust my money on or under with someone like PJ pitching.

I like Angels under, may add that later with more weather and lineup info

HoulihansTX · 09-18-12, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by OhMyEli

That's fine pal, everyone here thinks you either have to call a lock or bash someone. I'm not doing one and you're not doing the other. I took a little gulp on Cle ML here, so its not even that I'm going against you. Hopefully its something like a 6-1 game and we both cash easily, but I would just never trust my money on or under with someone like PJ pitching.

I like Angels under, may add that later with more weather and lineup info

Its LA, 86 degrees, and a cool breeze from the ocean 365 days

pokernut9999 · 09-18-12, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Adding:

Red Sox +155 (Rebate Wager)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 7.5 -110 (Bookmaker)

MLB Card complete

Like both of these LT

Omaga · 09-18-12, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.

that's not what I understood from reading the ESPN preview on this match-up, however according to the writer of the article "yes" but not from the coaches perspective.

Cleveland Coach

"We want to see some fire at the end here," manager Manny Acta told the team's official website. "Facing the Tigers, the White Sox, teams that are fighting for a spot, it's going to be better for us to judge these guys, because they're not going to be facing just callups."

Twins Coach

"We have a day off that's much needed," manager Ron Gardenhire told the Twins' official website following a 9-2 loss Sunday. "We're starting to get some guys healthy and back on the field, which is a good thing. We've got a road trip through Cleveland and Detroit, so hopefully we'll play better baseball on the road."

This is an off market game in which I see you have been capping alot of them lately. You have a better shot at roulette here. Trying to cap a pitcher thats just horrible and one thats been out of the game for sometime now and to think you have an edge here is bazaar.

rdegk15 · 09-18-12, 04:27 PM

is spam on SBR always this bad?

LT Profits · 09-18-12, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by Omaga

This is an off market game in which I see you have been capping alot of them lately. You have a better shot at roulette here. Trying to cap a pitcher thats just horrible and one thats been out of the game for sometime now and to think you have an edge here is bazaar.

Look at the price I got and look at the current price.

That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.

GoDeViLs · 09-18-12, 04:58 PM

yes

vaas187 · 09-18-12, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.

The total also dropped in Texas and Seattle the other week and Texas put up a 7 spot in the 8th....gotta play the stats tho right. Seems like a good play.

Nyjrkm06 · 09-18-12, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Look at the price I got and look at the current price.

That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.

hey lt much respect you are a great capper. just wondering what are those children in your avatar in relation to you?

LT Profits · 09-18-12, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by Nyjrkm06

hey lt much respect you are a great capper. just wondering what are those children in your avatar in relation to you?

Adopted kids.

BamaCBass · 09-18-12, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Adopted kids.

Always wondered too. Man LT, that's awesome!

guvmntcheze · 09-18-12, 05:34 PM

LT, Whats the strongest play of the 3?

guvmntcheze · 09-18-12, 05:38 PM

LT, Any take on the Tigers/A's game Under?

Omaga · 09-18-12, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Look at the price I got and look at the current price.

That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.

moguler · 09-18-12, 08:15 PM

Originally posted by guvmntcheze

LT, Whats the strongest play of the 3?

Usually, his first play is his strongest.
And the one he writes about in depth is his strongest. So, "Twins / Indians UNDER 9.5 -120 (5 Dimes)" is the one.

bigant78 · 09-18-12, 09:47 PM

well there goes that tex under. lucky line on the clev. could not find it anywhere at that 9.5.

fitguy67 · 09-19-12, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by bigant78

well there goes that tex under. lucky line on the clev. could not find it anywhere at that 9.5.

You don't think it might have something to do with the more-than-13-hours since the line was posted till u report u can't find it at the posted level??

In this business, WHEN something is posted (#1=the play is posted before 9:30...#23=the claim that it is "hard to find" is posted after 22:30) is is at least as important as WHAT is posted...

LT Profits · 09-19-12, 02:22 AM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

Always wondered too. Man LT, that's awesome!

Yes they're great. The oldest Robert (13) checks SBR regularly.

LT Profits · 09-19-12, 02:25 AM

Originally posted by Omaga

Hardly, if you beat the closing number by half a run at similar juice regularly, you will win a lot of money. (and it should have been a winner, lost on multiple runs in extra innings when one run would have won it).

BamaCBass · 09-19-12, 09:33 AM

Luck of the draw on that busted under, but it always hurts a little when home tm has bases loaded with no outs and fail to get that one run needed for the cover. Better luck next time.

LT Profits · 09-19-12, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

Luck of the draw on that busted under, but it always hurts a little when home tm has bases loaded with no outs and fail to get that one run needed for the cover. Better luck next time.

Actually went 1-2, the Angels scored 92 runs.

BamaCBass · 09-19-12, 09:41 AM

Yep, you're right. Couldn't edit that one quickly enough. Think I subconsciously counted that one as a win... LOL. And didn't the Angels score 94 runs?

Omaga · 09-19-12, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Hardly, if you beat the closing number by half a run at similar juice regularly, you will win a lot of money. (and it should have been a winner, lost on multiple runs in extra innings when one run would have won it).

well folks we know the end result here giving the response and picture illustration....52% of the time giving the situation.