MLB - Tuesday, 9/18/12

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 9/18/12
    1 MLB Plays Tuesday


    Twins / Indians UNDER 9.5 -120 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 340-303-25, +48.40
  • OhMyEli
    SBR MVP
    • 07-17-12
    • 1164

    #2
    You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????
    Comment
    • scottsins
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-05-11
      • 103

      #3
      Originally posted by OhMyEli
      You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????
      No. I'm sure he didn't bother to look at the lineups/starting pitchers for this game. (sarcasm)
      Comment
      • OhMyEli
        SBR MVP
        • 07-17-12
        • 1164

        #4
        Originally posted by scottsins
        No. I'm sure he didn't bother to look at the lineups/starting pitchers for this game. (sarcasm)
        The lineups aren't up wiseass. The guy is good, I'm not doubting that, but he loses 47% of the time (which is fine up so many units). It's just hard to bet unders when teams are facing below AAA pitchers, let alone these two terrible bullpens on top of it. I'm not coming in here calling him an idiot, just that this seems to be a strange bet considering a AA pitcher is on the mound, now hop off my dik.
        Comment
        • Weeton
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-10-11
          • 102

          #5
          a lot can be inferred from the fact that its his first official post of the day. whether it hits or not is debatable, what isn't: his earnings ytd. tail or fade, either way he's making monies.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by OhMyEli
            You sure about that with this guy on the mound http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29701/p.j.-walters ????
            Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              MLB Triple Play

              Originally posted by LT Profits
              1 MLB Plays Tuesday


              Twins / Indians UNDER 9.5 -120 (5 Dimes)


              YTD: 340-303-25, +48.40
              Adding:

              Red Sox +155 (Rebate Wager)
              Rangers / Angels UNDER 7.5 -110 (Bookmaker)


              MLB Card complete
              Comment
              • OhMyEli
                SBR MVP
                • 07-17-12
                • 1164

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.
                That's fine pal, everyone here thinks you either have to call a lock or bash someone. I'm not doing one and you're not doing the other. I took a little gulp on Cle ML here, so its not even that I'm going against you. Hopefully its something like a 6-1 game and we both cash easily, but I would just never trust my money on or under with someone like PJ pitching.

                I like Angels under, may add that later with more weather and lineup info
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Originally posted by OhMyEli
                  That's fine pal, everyone here thinks you either have to call a lock or bash someone. I'm not doing one and you're not doing the other. I took a little gulp on Cle ML here, so its not even that I'm going against you. Hopefully its something like a 6-1 game and we both cash easily, but I would just never trust my money on or under with someone like PJ pitching.

                  I like Angels under, may add that later with more weather and lineup info
                  Its LA, 86 degrees, and a cool breeze from the ocean 365 days
                  Comment
                  • pokernut9999
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-25-07
                    • 12757

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Adding:

                    Red Sox +155 (Rebate Wager)
                    Rangers / Angels UNDER 7.5 -110 (Bookmaker)


                    MLB Card complete


                    Like both of these LT
                    Comment
                    • Omaga
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 07-10-12
                      • 460

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.
                      that's not what I understood from reading the ESPN preview on this match-up, however according to the writer of the article "yes" but not from the coaches perspective.

                      Cleveland Coach

                      "We want to see some fire at the end here," manager Manny Acta told the team's official website. "Facing the Tigers, the White Sox, teams that are fighting for a spot, it's going to be better for us to judge these guys, because they're not going to be facing just callups."

                      Twins Coach

                      "We have a day off that's much needed," manager Ron Gardenhire told the Twins' official website following a 9-2 loss Sunday. "We're starting to get some guys healthy and back on the field, which is a good thing. We've got a road trip through Cleveland and Detroit, so hopefully we'll play better baseball on the road."

                      This is an off market game in which I see you have been capping alot of them lately. You have a better shot at roulette here. Trying to cap a pitcher thats just horrible and one thats been out of the game for sometime now and to think you have an edge here is bazaar.
                      Comment
                      • rdegk15
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-15-12
                        • 341

                        #12
                        is spam on SBR always this bad?
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Omaga
                          This is an off market game in which I see you have been capping alot of them lately. You have a better shot at roulette here. Trying to cap a pitcher thats just horrible and one thats been out of the game for sometime now and to think you have an edge here is bazaar.
                          Look at the price I got and look at the current price. That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.
                          Comment
                          • GoDeViLs
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 06-09-12
                            • 40

                            #14
                            yes
                            Comment
                            • vaas187
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-01-12
                              • 2280

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              Both teams will have AAA lineups (or at least some call-ups in lineups) because they are using this series to evaluate players. Reason they are doing it now is because both teams have games coming up vs. playoff contenders where they figure to use their best players (unwritten rule for also-rans in interest of fair play). And note how the total has dropped since I posted.
                              The total also dropped in Texas and Seattle the other week and Texas put up a 7 spot in the 8th....gotta play the stats tho right. Seems like a good play.
                              Comment
                              • Nyjrkm06
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-25-12
                                • 562

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                Look at the price I got and look at the current price. That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.
                                hey lt much respect you are a great capper. just wondering what are those children in your avatar in relation to you?
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nyjrkm06
                                  hey lt much respect you are a great capper. just wondering what are those children in your avatar in relation to you?
                                  Adopted kids.
                                  Comment
                                  • BamaCBass
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-07-09
                                    • 1252

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                    Adopted kids.
                                    Always wondered too. Man LT, that's awesome!
                                    Comment
                                    • guvmntcheze
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 09-03-12
                                      • 2

                                      #19
                                      LT, Whats the strongest play of the 3?
                                      Comment
                                      • guvmntcheze
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 09-03-12
                                        • 2

                                        #20
                                        LT, Any take on the Tigers/A's game Under?
                                        Comment
                                        • Omaga
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 07-10-12
                                          • 460

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Look at the price I got and look at the current price. That's really all that matters (assuming total doesn't go back up in next 1.5 hours). And off market games are EASIER to get an edge on, generally speaking.
                                          Comment
                                          • moguler
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-28-11
                                            • 219

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by guvmntcheze
                                            LT, Whats the strongest play of the 3?
                                            Usually, his first play is his strongest.
                                            And the one he writes about in depth is his strongest. So, "Twins / Indians UNDER 9.5 -120 (5 Dimes)" is the one.
                                            Comment
                                            • bigant78
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-13-12
                                              • 185

                                              #23
                                              well there goes that tex under. lucky line on the clev. could not find it anywhere at that 9.5.
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bigant78
                                                well there goes that tex under. lucky line on the clev. could not find it anywhere at that 9.5.
                                                You don't think it might have something to do with the more-than-13-hours since the line was posted till u report u can't find it at the posted level??

                                                In this business, WHEN something is posted (#1=the play is posted before 9:30...#23=the claim that it is "hard to find" is posted after 22:30) is is at least as important as WHAT is posted...
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BamaCBass
                                                  Always wondered too. Man LT, that's awesome!
                                                  Yes they're great. The oldest Robert (13) checks SBR regularly.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Omaga
                                                    Hardly, if you beat the closing number by half a run at similar juice regularly, you will win a lot of money. (and it should have been a winner, lost on multiple runs in extra innings when one run would have won it).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BamaCBass
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-07-09
                                                      • 1252

                                                      #27
                                                      Luck of the draw on that busted under, but it always hurts a little when home tm has bases loaded with no outs and fail to get that one run needed for the cover. Better luck next time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by BamaCBass
                                                        Luck of the draw on that busted under, but it always hurts a little when home tm has bases loaded with no outs and fail to get that one run needed for the cover. Better luck next time.
                                                        Actually went 1-2, the Angels scored 92 runs.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BamaCBass
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-07-09
                                                          • 1252

                                                          #29
                                                          Yep, you're right. Couldn't edit that one quickly enough. Think I subconsciously counted that one as a win... LOL. And didn't the Angels score 94 runs?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Omaga
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-10-12
                                                            • 460

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            Hardly, if you beat the closing number by half a run at similar juice regularly, you will win a lot of money. (and it should have been a winner, lost on multiple runs in extra innings when one run would have won it).
                                                            well folks we know the end result here giving the response and picture illustration....52% of the time giving the situation.
                                                            Comment
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