1. #36
    Russian Rocket
    Kleptoman
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    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    get a tout, skin.

    just to carry you over until running good again you start feeling good in your own skin again

  2. #37
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    If your total bankroll is $2000.
    5% of your $2000 is $100.
    If you lose your $100 bet, now you have $1900.
    5% of your $1900 is $95.
    Now you bet $95 instead of $100 because of your total current bankroll has changed.
    Bet like this and you can either slowly gain or slowly lose but can NEVER BE COMPLETELY BROKE

    XXXXXX

    Of course you can go completely broke doing this.

  3. #38
    gauchojake
    Have Some Asthma
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    Just think about how that money would help a homeless person or a kid with cancer.

  4. #39
    sourtwist
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    Lot of good (bad) advice in this thread

    Kid must be young, I went through it all when I was in my early 20's

    Bet way over my head all the time

    Won a lot, lost more

  5. #40
    iceman02
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    Quote Originally Posted by sourtwist View Post
    Lot of good (bad) advice in this thread

    Kid must be young, I went through it all when I was in my early 20's

    Bet way over my head all the time

    Won a lot, lost more
    What would ur advice be?

  6. #41
    Tony Williams
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    If you are serious, talk to close friends/family and don't get advice from a sports betting forum. 80% here are addicts that manage their addiction and probably 20% can't manage it

  7. #42
    floridagolfer
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    What would ur advice be?
    NEVER, NEVER, NEVER, under ANY circumstance, break the cardinal rule, which is: Do not risk money you cannot afford to lose.

    If you have mad money, I don't care what you spend it on as long as you're not breaking the law or putting others at risk. But when you take the rent money and lose it, that's one problem that's likely to lead to another . . .

  8. #43
    jjgold
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    good info in this thread

    We all are looking at ourselves in the mirror today

  9. #44
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    My personal rules that can improve your sports betting:


    1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Use Kelly Criterion Calculator.


    For example:
    If your total bankroll is $2000.
    5% of your $2000 is $100.
    If you lose your $100 bet, now you have $1900.
    5% of your $1900 is $95.
    Now you bet $95 instead of $100 because of your total current bankroll has changed.
    Bet like this and you can either slowly gain or slowly lose but can never be completely broke.


    2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be a compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action. Do your research.


    3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be discipline.
    Items two and three are basically the same but I can certainly appreciate the separation of the points, and valid points they are. But point number one has serious flaws.

    Again it’s not that gamblers don’t know; it’s that so much they know is wrong. This is why so many nominations and the points are given, as well as comments for a well thought out post; however, the money management plan is expensive and unwise.

    I’ve posted over and over again that changing you bet size is equivalent to progressive betting and it is costly.

    Let’s keep it simple and get back to basics. Take a set of 21 bets; give yourself 11 wins and 10 losses. Now take any starting bankroll amount. To keep it simple, bet 5.5% to win 5% for each bet and put the wins and losses in any order you desire. After each bet, win or lose, adjust the next bet to 5.5% of the new bankroll, just like Gunshard says.

    Now, if you didn’t change the size of your bets, 52.4%, or 11 wins and 10 losses would result in breaking even.

    But Gunshard’s plan requires changing the size of your bets after each play, changing the breakeven point. How much it changes depends on the percentage bet, but the higher the percentage, the worse off you are. With my example, of 5.5%, the breakeven point nears 54%.

    Gunshard should be thankful for discount books and vigorish, if he uses them, as his strategy raised his breakeven point, which was offset by the reduced vig.

    Again, the percentage doesn’t matter; it’s easier to use 5.5% for this exercise than Gunshard’s recommended 5%, but the results are along the same lines.

    Try it again and again. No matter what order you place your 11 wins and 10 losses, after those 21 bets, you always have 97.1% of your roll left.

    In fact, after 110 wins and 100 losses with 5.5% bet each time, you would be down somewhere in the neighborhood of 25% of your starting bankroll.

    No wonder so many felt Gunshard’s strategy was a good one with points, noms, and comments…it’s not that gambler’s don’t know, it’s just that so much they know is wrong.

    Proper money management is essential to maximizing profits or minimizing losses and essential to securing long term profits.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: aston

  10. #45
    GunShard
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    My personal rules that can improve your sports betting:


    1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Use Kelly Criterion Calculator.


    For example:
    If your total bankroll is $2000.
    5% of your $2000 is $100.
    If you lose your $100 bet, now you have $1900.
    5% of your $1900 is $95.
    Now you bet $95 instead of $100 because of your total current bankroll has changed.
    Bet like this and you can either slowly gain or slowly lose but can never be completely broke.


    2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be a compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action. Do your research.


    3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be discipline.
    Thanks to everyone that nominated this post.
    I'm just helping everyone get sharper on their sports betting.

  11. #46
    Killer_Demo
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    Fukk him. He quit

  12. #47
    klemopixx
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    When you run bad, take a break. Go the whole week or weekend without even checking scores or SBR, nothing. Everyone needs a vacation, it re-charges the batteries. Then come back slowly, tweak the way you cap games, never be afraid to learn something new. I'm always trying a new way to use stats to help me. A lot of people don't use the info that's right out here on the 'net. Do the homework!

  13. #48
    ByeShea
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    Quote Originally Posted by iceman02 View Post
    I had a nice 9 week run with 2 weeks of losses. Im still up 5k ish.
    So you're up "5k ish" while admitting addiction and looking to stop?

    That's interesting.

  14. #49
    wakefield23
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    Asking for advice in a site full of degenerate gamblers, losers and addicted is funny.


    If gambling makes your life go worse, then quit.


    Maybe you should stop for a couple of weeks or a month, prove to yourself that you are not an addicted, analize what you did well and what you did wrong, change the strategies that led you to lose that money in such a short spam of time, and get some perspective of your life.


    And then go back if you feel you should , or quit if you feel you should.

    Gambling should be something pleasurable, not painful.

  15. #50
    wakefield23
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Proper money management is essential to maximizing profits or minimizing losses and essential to securing long term profits.

    Yes sir, you can't repeat that enough.

  16. #51
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by beerman2619 View Post
    Man don't quit buck that. Life is short drink and gamble!!!
    Amen. Why even think about quitting? What is the other option?

  17. #52
    Buffalo Nickle
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    Gambling is an obsession. It's not an addiction. With an obsession, all you have to do is stop doing it. No cold sweats or withdrawals.

    You just have to decide you aren't going to do it anymore and do other stuff. Withdraw the money and don't log in again. Don't look at the lines.

    It will consume and control your life if you do it right.

  18. #53
    Buffalo Nickle
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    Don't buy the money management BS. Everyone using "money management" is overbetting. They are all going to lose. They just don't know it yet. You are going to lose, too. It's just a question of how much you are going to lose before you say enough is enough.

  19. #54
    Otters27
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    Go sbr pro and just bet points

  20. #55
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Thanks to everyone that nominated this post.
    I'm just helping everyone get sharper on their sports betting.

    It's not that bettors don't know, it's that what they know is so often wrong.


  21. #56
    jjgold
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    Good education here

    I am learning
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: GunShard

  22. #57
    sweethook
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    you need a woman , treat your self some

  23. #58
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Good education here

    I am learning
    Some costly mis-miseducation also.

    Beware and don't give up the discount vig to poor betting strategies.


  24. #59
    INVEGA MAN
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    I haven't made a bet since Denver won over the Steelers(I had Denver money line) I quit betting on line when it took me 2 months to get paid. I only bet in Vegas now and its a 4 hour drive. I use to bet every day but off shore is garbage. IM going to Vegas and have a free weekend thanks to Denver. I bet a lot of props before the sport season starts and that's y I don't have to bet teams every nigh The props keep me going

  25. #60
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by INVEGA MAN View Post
    I haven't made a bet since Denver won over the Steelers(I had Denver money line) I quit betting on line when it took me 2 months to get paid. I only bet in Vegas now and its a 4 hour drive. I use to bet every day but off shore is garbage. IM going to Vegas and have a free weekend thanks to Denver. I bet a lot of props before the sport season starts and that's y I don't have to bet teams every nigh The props keep me going
    Vegas more expensive but very true. Funneling big cash to Nevada one way or the other is still a good way to go, especially with William Hill operating.

    Getting some larger action to Bookmaker and Pinnacle seem reasonable as well.

    It has been getting tougher and tougher to get winning balances home, been like that since the very beginning.

    A cat and mouse game for sure.

    If they legalize it everywhere, I fear, because of taxes, books may have to charge a higher commission to the winners, that juice will take a lot of lare players out of the markets...they'll put there money elsewhere.

    It will soften them, but we will pay for it. I'd probably change my positions accordingly.


  26. #61
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tony Williams View Post
    If you are serious, talk to close friends/family and don't get advice from a sports betting forum. 80% here are addicts that manage their addiction and probably 20% can't manage it
    And maybe only 5% or less consistently win over time if I had to guess... Over time means year to year..

    Problem is when most win big after a long winning streak they begin to place larger bets and when they lose they begin to chase with even bigger bets and then lose it all quickly.. That is the typical mold of a losing gambler over time even if they win more bets then they lose.. Bank roll management and self control is huge in gambling..

    Just because you did great for a week or two doesn't mean it's gonna continue like that and you shouldn't make much larger bets.. Consistency with betting I think is very important.. When you see a gem every once in a while I think that is when you can make a larger bet and risk it.. That doesn't mean everyday though..

    Few pointers to consider from Jibs..

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