Originally Posted by
2daBank
Originally Posted by
2daBank
week 5
play #1
zona-2.5 -115 (2x).. cant believe this line, they seriously giving us the cardinals on road to another shit north team laying less than 3? bears game ring a bell? square me up and sign me up, coaching alone is worth more than a fg imo, arians one of the best and caldwell a fukkin moron,. his qb a moron, his team is soft. zona pressure will have stafford on his ass or making mistakes all day, unlike seachickens the cards will exploit this secondary to tune of palmer going for 300 with 3 tds. not a lot to say as im sure everyone loves this and it square as it gets, so what cards the play and love they off a loss and love that this isnt a early start.
jax/tb ov 42 (1.5x)...honestly it kinda hard to look at a lot of numbers that point to the over here, both teams have allowed a lot of points against (tb 29 and jax almost 27), that said both are also fairly solid in a lot of defensive categories i look at. this one has a lot to do with feel i guess, i think both offenses have improved over last year yet both are taking more yards to generate points, neither team is scoring more than last seasons sorry averages, and both are scoring tds less frequently when they get into the red zone, yet when i look at both i see drastic improvements.
far as the jags are concerned they upgraded their rushing attack with yeldon and more importantly i think bortles has made a lot of strides his second season and think he has the look of a long time successful qb in this league. hurns and robinson both also in their second years seem to be on the same page with the improving qb and i think this offense has the makings of a up and coming unit.
on the bucs side martin is running better and stronger than a year ago but it mostly starts and ends with shamis, while sure he mistake prone he has the arm talent to push the ball down the field to those big talented wrs as proof by bucs 12.4 yards per completion. the turnovers could very well help us and we talking bout a tb team who put up over 400 yards against a very good panther defense.
jags rushing defense has been really strong so i suspect shamis will be forced to throw early and often to move the ball which thus far has lead to the opposing team scoring points and at some point i think will translate to bucs scoring more themselves as he learns not many teams can cover his wrs on the outside. i think this will be a close gm where both young qbs put up solid numbers and a couple tds, yeldon should do some work on the ground and think he will get his 1st rushing td of his young career, hopefully bucs punch in their scoring chances instead of relying on a shit kicker. tough spot for jags being their 3rd road tilt in a row and bucs hosting their second straight at home only reason im not considering jags here. i made this thing around 45 with upside in one of those shit games on paper that turns into a bit of a fun shootout.
titans ml +103 (1x).. give me a whisenhunt offense that been preparing his young qb well and coming off a bye to exploit fat boy rex's very exploitable pass defense. guys like wright and walker been doing work to the bills secondary and think green-beckem will continue to get more involved in what i think a up and coming offense. the defense been ok and is getting a lot of help back this week while bills are a mash unit. i dont trust taylor and think he makes some mistakes having to shoulder the offense with a bunch of guys manning the rb spot. bills been playing tough teams so maybe im selling them short but i like the offensive minded coach off a bye vs the blundering idiot.
2 team 6 point teaser 1.65 to 1.5x
atl-1
kc-3
dont think it any secret how i feel bout backing matty ice at home to win games. not real sure on the spread as i think skins can and will have success rushing and stopping the run, problem for them is ryan and co gonna put up points on this secondary and at some point that means cousins will be forced to attempt the same. more times than not that leads to cousins making mistakes and expect more of the same here, 27-23 atl.
kc defense been getting abused by really good offenses and now get to come home and face mr turnover jay cutler and a largely depleted wr corp. seems like a great spot for the defense to take out some frustration at arrowhead. i actually think they gonna cover this spread as i expect the d will cause several turnovers, between those and the special teams manage to score or set up a few scores. smith and the offense been moving the ball pretty well and just not finishing drives., think they finish enough today and this game snowballs with the d teeing off on a hobbled cutler. 31-17 kc (lean over as well)..used kc defense in roughly 75% of my dfs lineups as well for those interested in such things