Dinger Tuesday Sleeper Selections FD (6/30)

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All 30 teams see action tonight. There are several batter/pitcher matchups to exploit

These are the pitchers I'm targeting tonight, especially Springs and Burrows; both should be good for a homer or two, especially Springs, that Dodger lineup should waylay him.




These are the plays I think have value.

PLAYER	POS	TEAM	OPP	LINEUP	1+ HR
Rafael Devers	1B	SF	ARI	4	372
Andy Pages	OF	LAD	ATH	2	378
Teoscar Hernandez	OF	LAD	ATH	5	395
Trevor Larnach	OF	MIN	HOU	1	710

I'm using Trevor Larnach tonight. Being a lifelong fantasy sports enthusiast, I'm aware of what he can do.

Larnach leads off for the Twins, and is a strict left-handed, who smacks RHP like Mike Burrows hard.
Larnach is not a prolific power hitter, but he's put up back-to-back double-digit homers and is on pace for a dozen again this season.

Considering this is the type of RHP that Trevor Larnach feasts on, he'll more than likely get at least five plate appearances to hammer one out, as Minnesota is guaranteed a ninth-inning at bat being the road team. +710 is very generous.

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To recap the 6/30 edition of Dinger Tuesday.

There were 46 total home runs hit last night by 42 different players
Bobby Witt Jr., Fernando Tatis, Dansby Swanson, and Detroit's Riley Green parked a pair as well.

As a matter of fact, and this was a bit of a surprise, the Tigers made the New York Yankees' boy wonder, starting pitcher Cam Schlitter, their personal meat puppet as Detroit's sticks hammered out four homers in the first 2 1/3 innings. It's not often you see a legit CY Young Award candidate cough up four homers before he got his seventh out.
Ain't baseball grand?

That's a one-off, Cam's miserable night. I've never seen him so hittable in two years.
He'll rebound off of that clusterfuck from last night. Schlittler is cut from the right stuff, if I'm a NY Yankee fan, and I am not, I wouldn't be concerned.

All pitchers, name a great one, Koufax, Gibson, Maddux, Unit, Pedro, they're not going to spot on in every one of their 33-34 starts.
Not in this day and age.

All 46 homers from last night's action.

Daily Game Log Finder | Baseball-Reference.com

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Get em next week Steve!

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Thanks for that, fella.

Yeah, I was in the right forest this week but barking up the wrong tree.
I refuse to bet chalk; nobody ever got rich laying -280, is my philosophy,

I'll put in an extra hour or two scouring the slate seeking out the ultimate underdog.
I get off, so to speak, when the +800 doggy clicks; that's the real satisfaction, knowing that the work put in spotting "that the wrong team is the favorite situation," and it, as George Pappard used to say, I love it when a plan comes together

Plus, There's no real challenge in wagering -240 or -280 on chalk; not only that, but it's also boring.
I blame my dad and my grandfather for passing down those analytical and math genes to me.
The nerd and geek genes run rampant in Casa de Nasher's family tree.
(That's tongue in cheek. In all honesty, my dad is/was (RIP, sir) my best friend and my hero.
I'm also very fortunate that they both

What blows my mind the most is that when you or I have to solve a series of dumpster fire-type problems, we can power up our fancy-pants Lenovo (or whatever your go-to brand of tech that works for you), run a few programs, issue a few line commands, and the chances are that all the problems are solved before you get home for dinner. My dad had a killer PC to assist him, too. It was a wad of ruled graph paper and a sharpened #2 lead pencil.

Dad and a lot of other dads out there, had a primitive search engine as well.
It was against the study den wall with shelves of formula textbooks, hard-covered dictionaries, and other reference texts.
They had something better than Intel's supercharged i9 processor, their brains.

It also helps that my dad and granddad were pretty good ball players, too.
I think my grandfather was the original, the very first geek-nerd, and jock hybrid.
And he passed all that down the line.

Holy Mother of God, it is true, I am not capable of making a long story short.
Brevity is not my forte.

I'll try to spot a couple of live bow-wows this coming Tuesday, then MLB takes four days off to showcase their all-star talent.

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Agree. Nothing sweeter than spotting the dog that barks.

I don't think betting chalk is easier though. I think on average books have the favorite side shaded more than the dog, making it mathematically tougher to beat them when always taking the big fave.