The UFC’s return to the Apex features more than a few compelling matchups, with light heavyweights Thiago Santos and Jamahal Hill closing out Saturday’s card in Vegas. Read on for our UFC Fight Night parlay picks and predictions.
A seasoned vet meets a surging prospect in this weekend’s headliner. The granite-fisted 38-year-old Santos looks to rebound from his recent woes, while the lauded Hill aims to score a third straight knockout and bring his UFC record to 5-1.
That fascinating light heavyweight matchup isn’t the only case of perfect matchmaking on Saturday’s bill, as fan-favorite Vicente Luque meets promising southpaw Geoff Neal in a welterweight bout that may steal Fight of the Night honors.
Elsewhere, “The Ultimate Fighter 30” contestants Mohammed Usman and Zac Pauga will clash in the season’s heavyweight finals, with flyweights Brogan Walker and Juliana Miller set to square off in the other half of the finale too.
Here are my top parlay picks for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook).
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill Fight Card
- Thiago Santos (+265) vs. Jamahal Hill (-320)
- Vicente Luque (-195) vs. Geoff Neal (+165)
- Mohammed Usman (+225) vs. Zac Pauga (-265)
- Brogan Walker (+105) vs. Juliana Miller (-125)
- Augusto Sakai (+250) vs. Serghei Spivac (-300)
- Ariane Lipski (-180) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+155)
- Sam Alvey (+480) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (-645)
- Bryan Battle (-295) vs. Takashi Sato (+245)
- Terrance McKinney (-850) vs. Erick Gonzalez (+600)
- Cory McKenna (-195) vs. Miranda Granger (+165)
- Mayra Bueno Silva (+100) vs. Stephanie Egger (-120)
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Top UFC Fight Night Parlay Picks
Top UFC Fight Night Parlay Predictions
In a matchup that pits Luque against a methodical, technically savvy striker in Neal, bank on “The Silent Assassin” entering the cage as his most violent self.
Neal also boasts a piston of a straight left, but look for Luque to neutralize him while walking Neal down and mixing up his strikes with low kicks, straight rights, and his patented left hook. Luque is deadly on his feet, but he's just as adept at snatching necks. Don’t be surprised if he ends this intriguing welterweight matchup and further pads his absurd 90% finishing rate with that sneaky brabo choke.
Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO (-115)
Oleksiejczuk heads to Vegas as a significant favorite over Alvey for a few good reasons.
For starters, Alvey is winless in his last eight fights, and he offers little worth respecting on his feet beyond a check right hook. And if nothing else, Oleksiejczuk is a durable bruiser who takes great pleasure in working the body.
As long as he doesn’t wade chin-first into Alvey’s trademark punch, Oleksiejczuk shouldn't struggle to walk down his foe. He'll prolong Alvey’s miserable skid and score his 12th career knockout, likely with one his nasty bolo punches to the liver.
Battle vs. Sato to go the distance: No (-110)
I have a sneaking suspicion these two welterweights are in for an early night.
Battle has tapped during four of his seven pro conquests, and he lands a whopping 7.1 significant strikes per minute. Meanwhile, Sato has recorded a KO or TKO for 11 of his 15 pro wins, and he's been submitted in three of his last four defeats. This matchup can end in myriad ways, whether Battle overwhelms Sato with volume or the methodical Japanese veteran finds a home for his calling card, the straight left. These fighters’ styles clash in far too many ways for it to go the distance.
Total UFC Fight Night Parlay Payout: +440 (Bet $100 to win $440)
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UFC Fight Night parlay picks made on 8/6/2022 at 1:03 a.m. ET