Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal Prediction: UFC 319 Best Bets, Expert Picks & Odds
Our UFC predictions see finishing potential in this welterweight matchup as Brazilian striker Carlos Prates takes on veteran Geoff Neal on the UFC 319 main card in Chicago tonight.
Prates is a moderate favorite over Neal heading into the event. This fight was initially booked earlier this year before Neal withdrew due to injury. Prates stepped in on short notice to face Ian Garry, losing a decision but flashing late-round power. Now with a full camp and more experience, Prates returns in a more favorable spot.
We make our Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal best bets ahead of Saturday’s action, including our preferred method of victory, as part of our UFC picks. The main card begins at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+ PPV) from the United Center in Chicago.
📊 Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal UFC odds
Odds via BetMGM as of Friday.
| Carlos Prates | Method of victory | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| -250 | Win outright | +200 |
| +120 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +500 |
| +2200 | Win by submission | +2200 |
| +240 | Win by decision | +400 |
| +8000 | Draw | +8000 |
Prates has the reach, size, and power to make life uncomfortable for Neal from the opening bell. Neal’s got toughness and pop in his hands, but he can be overly cautious at times, holding back on his volume and giving opponents time to find their rhythm. If he hesitates here, Prates’ length and pressure could let him take over early and keep Neal playing catch-up.
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🥊 UFC 319 predictions: Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal preview
✅ Prediction: Carlos Prates to beat Geoff Neal
📊 Best odds: -250 via bet365 ($10 to win $4)
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Prates comes into this fight with the physical tools to control where and how the action takes place, using his height and reach to manage distance while mixing in sharp, straight punches down the middle. He thrives when he can dictate the tempo, and against an opponent like Neal, who sometimes waits too long to pull the trigger, that control can pay dividends early and often.
Neal’s power makes him dangerous at any moment, but his tendency to give away stretches of a round could leave him chasing the scorecards. Prates’s ability to keep a high pace, pick his shots at range, and force Neal to respond rather than lead gives him a clear path to staying ahead from start to finish.
💰 UFC 319 predictions: Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal best bet
✅ Best bet: Carlos Prates to win Inside the Distance
📊 Best odds: +115 via bet365 ($10 to win $11.50)
Prates’ length, output, and power give him multiple avenues to finish Neal, whether it’s a clean knockout in space or overwhelming him with combinations until the referee steps in. Neal has proven durability, but he’s also been rocked and worn down in past fights, and his tendency to start slow could put him in trouble early.
If Prates establishes his jab and begins walking Neal down, his ability to pile on damaging shots at range or in the clinch will create the kind of sustained pressure that leads to a stoppage. In a matchup where both fighters are hittable, Prates’ willingness to throw in volume and his knack for capitalizing on openings make the +115 price on a finish far more appealing than the moneyline.
🆚 Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal tale of the tape
| Carlos Prates | Geoff Neal | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Age | 35 |
| 6'1" | Height | 5'11" |
| 170lbs | Weight | 170lbs |
| 78" | Reach | 75" |
| 21-7 | Record | 16-6 |
🔮 UFC 319 expert picks
- UFC 319 odds
- UFC 319 predictions & odds
- Du Plessis vs. Chimaev prediction
- Cannonier vs. Page prediction
- Prates vs. Neal prediction
- Murphy vs. Pico prediction
📡 How to watch Carlos Prates vs. Geoff Neal: UFC 319
📅 Saturday, Aug. 16
🕗 10 p.m. ET
📍 United Center (Chicago)
📺 ESPN+ PPV
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
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