Wrexham vs. Millwall Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: Championship Matchweek 4 Best Bets

Phil Parkinson and Co. are quickly discovering what life will be like in the Championship as I chime in with my Wrexham vs. Millwall prediction for Saturday's match at the Den in London (10 a.m. ET, Paramount+). 

Wrexham hopes its fourth match in England's second division yields its first victory, but Millwall - the -115 favorites to take all three points - will have other ideas at its home ground.

My soccer picks focus on Wrexham's porous defense, while also providing a bonus prop pick highlighting a Wrexham forward who, at least recently, has been scoring as readily as a dragon breathes fire.

⚽ Wrexham vs. Millwall expert picks & predictions

Wrexham vs. Millwall expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.

• Moneyline pick: Millwall (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Against the spread pick: Millwall -0.5 (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (+106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

📝 Wrexham vs. Millwall preview & best bet

🦁 Millwall ML (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wrexham has taken one point from a possible nine since its introduction to the Championship. The Red Dragons deserved better in the opener than the 2-1 loss reflected, having conceded two late goals to Southampton.

West Brom then demonstrated its superiority, beating Wrexham 3-2 in Wales. Last week's tie, though, was the most disconcerting for Parkinson and his men, who coughed up a two-goal halftime lead against Sheffield Wednesday to throw away two points.

Things won't get easier for the Red Dragons after playing fellow bottom-dwellers Sheffield Wednesday. Saturday's away tilt is against a Millwall team that missed the playoffs by just two points last season, finishing in a tie for seventh. Millwall has won two of its first three matches, but is still searching for its first home triumph. 

Wrexham has allowed seven goals in three matches, tied for the third most. I don't see the visitors being able to stop the bleeding on Saturday, which would lead to a third defeat in four matches.

BetMGM and FanDuel offer -115 odds, the best value of the best sports betting sites. A winning $10 bet would yield an $8.70 profit. 

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💰 Best Wrexham vs. Millwall player prop bet

🔥 Kieffer Moore anytime goalscorer (+340) ⭐⭐⭐

Since returning from a minor ankle injury, Kieffer Moore has done exactly what he was brought in to do: score goals. The Wales international found the net three times in his last two games, two of which were in last week's Championship match against Sheffield Wednesday. 

Both of those goals came before the half, providing the Red Dragons with a 2-0 lead.

The 33-year-old scored on both of his shots on target in the Championship this season and is averaging a whopping 3.7 shots per 90 minutes, although seven of nine were off target.

FanDuel is your go-to sportsbook for this prop, as its +340 odds represent significantly better value than the rest of the best sports betting apps, which offer odds of +280 or less.

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📈 Wrexham vs. Millwall betting odds analysis

Millwall is the minus-money favorite at home for Saturday's match, trading between -115 and -120. Wrexham's moneyline odds to pull off the upset range from +320 to +340, with the latter offered at Caesars. 

Expect the odds to shorten for Millwall if they move before kickoff, albeit only slightly. The Over/Under is set at 2.5 goals, juiced to the Under due to Millwall's sound defensive record, excluding the three goals it conceded to Middlesbrough.

🔢 Wrexham vs. Millwall results

Wrexham vs. Millwall history courtesy of 11v11.com.

📺 Wrexham vs. Millwall game info

• When: Saturday, Aug. 30
• Kickoff: 10 a.m. ET
• Where: The Den (London)
• How to watch: Paramount+

💡 Expert soccer predictions

• Premier League Matchday 3 predictions
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• Man Utd vs. Burnley prediction
• Brighton vs. Man City prediction
• Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction
• Wrexham vs. Millwall prediction

❓ Wrexham vs. Millwall FAQs

Who is favored to win Wrexham vs. Millwall?

Millwall is the -115 favorite to win at home against Wrexham on Saturday.

What is the spread for Wrexham vs. Millwall?

The spread is at -0.5 for Millwall, with -125 odds. 

What is the Over/Under for Wrexham vs. Millwall?

The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Under juiced to -135 at BetMGM. FanDuel offers the best value for the Over (+106). 

What are the best bets for Wrexham vs. Millwall?

Millwall to win and Kieffer Moore to score are my best bets for Wrexham vs. Millwall. 

When is the Wrexham vs. Millwall game?

Saturday's match starts at 10 a.m. ET from the Den in London. 

How do soccer odds work?

When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.

Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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