World Cup Odds & Favorites 2026: Spain Tops Favorites Ahead of FIFA World Cup 2026 Draw
Last Updated: December 5, 2025 11:00 AM EST • 6 minute read X Social Google News Link
The World Cup odds from FanDuel - one of our best World Cup betting sites - list Spain as the +410 betting favorite ahead of today's group draw. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 19.61%, better than England (+600), France (+700), Brazil (+700), and defending World Cup champion Argentina (+800). The three 2026 World Cup host countries - USA, Canada, Mexico - all have long-shot odds to win the tournament, which largely belongs to European and South American powerhouses.
Today's World Cup draw - noon ET at Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C. - will shake up these odds, as all nation's will hope to avoid the four-team Group of Death.
World Cup odds 2026: To win final
Here are the latest World Cup odds via FanDuel as of Friday, Dec. 5.
| Country | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +410 | 19.61% | $41 |
| England | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| France | +700 | 12.50% | $70. |
| Brazil | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| Argentina | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Germany | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Portugal | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Netherlands | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Norway | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Uruguay | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Belgium | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Colombia | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Italy | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Croatia | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| Japan | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| USA | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| Mexico | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| Morocco | +7500 | 1.32% | $750 |
| Ecuador | +7500 | 1.32% | $750 |
| Senegal | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Canada | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Denmark | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Austria | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| South Korea | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Switzerland | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Paraguay | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Türkiye | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Ghana | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Romania | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Poland | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Wales | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Scotland | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Sweden | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Ukraine | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Ivory Coast | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Egypt | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Algeria | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Czechia | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Republic of Ireland | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Iran | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Tunisia | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Australia | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Bolivia | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Slovakia | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Bosnia | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| South Africa | +35000 | 0.28% | $3,500 |
| Albania | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| DR Congo | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| North Macedonia | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Panama | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Saudi Arabia | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| New Zealand | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Qatar | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Cape Verde | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Jamaica | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Jordan | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Uzbekistan | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Northern Ireland | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Curacao | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Haiti | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Iraq | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Kosovo | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Suriname | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
World Cup odds to reach final
Here are the odds to reach the World Cup Final on Sunday, July 19:
| Country | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +185 | 35.09% | $18.50 |
| England | +250 | 28.57% | $25.00 |
| France | +310 | 24.39% | $31.00 |
| Argentina | +330 | 23.26% | $33.00 |
| Brazil | +330 | 23.26% | $33.00 |
| Portugal | +550 | 15.38% | $55.00 |
| Germany | +650 | 13.33% | $65.00 |
| Norway | +950 | 9.52% | $95.00 |
| Netherlands | +950 | 9.52% | $95.00 |
| Uruguay | +1500 | 6.25% | $150.00 |
| Colombia | +1800 | 5.26% | $180.00 |
| Belgium | +1800 | 5.26% | $180.00 |
| Mexico | +2700 | 3.57% | $270.00 |
| USA | +2700 | 3.57% | $270.00 |
| Croatia | +2700 | 3.57% | $270.00 |
| Japan | +2700 | 3.57% | $270.00 |
| Ecuador | +3300 | 2.94% | $330.00 |
| Morocco | +3300 | 2.94% | $330.00 |
| Senegal | +4000 | 2.44% | $400.00 |
| South Korea | +5000 | 1.96% | $500.00 |
| Austria | +5000 | 1.96% | $500.00 |
| Switzerland | +5000 | 1.96% | $500.00 |
| Paraguay | +5000 | 1.96% | $500.00 |
| Canada | +5000 | 1.96% | $500.00 |
| Egypt | +8000 | 1.23% | $800.00 |
| Algeria | +8000 | 1.23% | $800.00 |
| Ghana | +8000 | 1.23% | $800.00 |
| Scotland | +8000 | 1.23% | $800.00 |
| Ivory Coast | +12500 | 0.79% | $1,250.00 |
| Australia | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500.00 |
| South Africa | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500.00 |
| Tunisia | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500.00 |
| Iran | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500.00 |
| Panama | +22500 | 0.44% | $2,250.00 |
| Qatar | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Uzbekistan | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Saudi Arabia | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Cape Verde | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Jordan | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Haiti | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| New Zealand | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500.00 |
| Curacao | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
World Cup odds: Stage of elimination
Here are the World Cup odds for the stage of elimination for each of the three host countries:
| Stage of elimination | USA | Canada | Mexico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Round of 16 | +270 | +360 | +260 |
| Quarterfinal | +700 | +1000 | +650 |
| Semifinal | +1200 | +2200 | +1800 |
| Runner-up | +3000 | +6500 | +3300 |
FIFA World Cup groups
We're awaiting the results of the group draw, and will have this page update once it's finished. The draw will begin at noon ET and is expected to end around 2 p.m. ET. The draw will take place at the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C.
| Group A | Group B | Group C | Group D | Group E | Group F | Group G | Group H | Group I | Group J | Group K | Group L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBD | |||||||||||
| TBD | |||||||||||
| TBD | |||||||||||
| TBD |
FIFA World Cup match schedule
Here is the full FIFA World Cup group play schedule:
Thursday, 11 June 2026
- Match 1 - Group A (Mexico #1) – Mexico City Stadium
- Match 2 – Group A - Estadio Guadalajara
Friday, 12 June 2026
- Match 3 - Group B (Canada #1) – Toronto Stadium
- Match 4 - Group D (USA #1) – Los Angeles Stadium
Saturday, 13 June 2026
- Match 5 – Group C - Boston Stadium
- Match 6 – Group D - BC Place Vancouver
- Match 7 – Group C - New York New Jersey Stadium
- Match 8 – Group B - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Sunday, 14 June 2026
- Match 9 – Group E - Philadelphia Stadium
- Match 10 – Group E - Houston Stadium
- Match 11 – Group F - Dallas Stadium
- Match 12 – Group F - Estadio Monterrey
Monday, 15 June 2026
- Match 13 – Group H - Miami Stadium
- Match 14 – Group H - Atlanta Stadium
- Match 15 – Group G - Los Angeles Stadium
- Match 16 – Group G - Seattle Stadium
Tuesday, 16 June 2026
- Match 17 – Group I - New York New Jersey Stadium
- Match 18 – Group I - Boston Stadium
- Match 19 – Group J - Kansas City Stadium
- Match 20 – Group J - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Wednesday, 17 June 2026
- Match 21 – Group L - Toronto Stadium
- Match 22 – Group L - Dallas Stadium
- Match 23 – Group K - Houston Stadium
- Match 24 – Group K - Mexico City Stadium
Thursday, 18 June 2026
- Match 25 – Group A - Atlanta Stadium
- Match 26 – Group B - Los Angeles Stadium
- Match 27 - Group B - (Canada #2) – BC Place Vancouver
- Match 28 - Group A - (Mexico #2) – Estadio Guadalajara
Friday, 19 June 2026
- Match 29 – Group C - Philadelphia Stadium
- Match 30 – Group C - Boston Stadium
- Match 31 – Group D - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
- Match 32 - Group D (USA #2) – Seattle Stadium
Saturday, 20 June 2026
- Match 33 – Group E - Toronto Stadium
- Match 34 – Group E - Kansas City Stadium
- Match 35 – Group F - Houston Stadium
- Match 36 – Group F - Estadio Monterrey
Sunday, 21 June 2026
- Match 37 – Group H - Miami Stadium
- Match 38 – Group H - Atlanta Stadium
- Match 39 – Group G - Los Angeles Stadium
- Match 40 – Group G - BC Place Vancouver
Monday, 22 June 2026
- Match 41 – Group I - New York New Jersey Stadium
- Match 42 – Group I - Philadelphia Stadium
- Match 43 – Group J - Dallas Stadium
- Match 44 – Group J - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Tuesday, 23 June 2026
- Match 45 – Group L - Boston Stadium
- Match 46 – Group L - Toronto Stadium
- Match 47 – Group K - Houston Stadium
- Match 48 – Group K - Estadio Guadalajara
Wednesday, 24 June 2026
- Match 49 – Group C - Miami Stadium
- Match 50 – Group C - Atlanta Stadium
- Match 51 - Group B (Canada #3) – BC Place Vancouver
- Match 52 – Group B - Seattle Stadium
- Match 53 - Group A - (Mexico #3) – Mexico City Stadium
- Match 54 – Group A - Estadio Monterrey
Thursday, 25 June 2026
- Match 55 – Group E - Philadelphia Stadium
- Match 56 – Group E - New York New Jersey Stadium
- Match 57 – Group F - Dallas Stadium
- Match 58 – Group F - Kansas City Stadium
- Match 59 - Group D - (USA #3) – Los Angeles Stadium
- Match 60 – Group D - San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Friday, 26 June 2026
- Match 61 – Group I - Boston Stadium
- Match 62 – Group I - Toronto Stadium
- Match 63 – Group G - Seattle Stadium
- Match 64 – Group G - BC Place Vancouver
- Match 65 – Group H - Houston Stadium
- Match 66 – Group H - Estadio Guadalajara
Saturday, 27 June 2026
- Match 67 – Group L - New York New Jersey Stadium
- Match 68 – Group L - Philadelphia Stadium
- Match 69 – Group J - Kansas City Stadium
- Match 70 – Group J - Dallas Stadium
- Match 71 – Group K - Miami Stadium
- Match 72 – Group K - Atlanta Stadium
The World Cup bronze medal match will be played on Saturday, July 18 at the Miami stadium, The World Cup Final will be played Sunday, July 19 at the New York / New Jersey stadium.
FIFA World Cup betting history
Here are the past winners of the FIFA World Cup and their respective odds prior to the group stage:
| Year | Winner | Odds (prior to group stage) | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Argentina | +550 | France |
| 2018 | France | +700 | Croatia |
| 2014 | Germany | +600 | Argentina |
| 2010 | Spain | +350 | Netherlands |
| 2006 | Italy | +800 | France |
| 2002 | Brazil | +600 | Germany |
| 1998 | France | +700 | Brazil |
| 1994 | Brazil | +250 | Italy |
| 1990 | West Germany | +600 | Argentina |
| 1986 | Argentina | +400 | West Germany |
FIFA World Cup 2026 FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the World Cup?
Spain is the World Cup odds favorite, with odds of +410 at FanDuel. Those odds imply an 19.61% win probability.
Who won the last World Cup?
Lionel Messi and Argentina won the World Cup three years ago in Qatar.
Where is the 2026 World Cup?
Canada, Mexico, and the United States will host the 2026 World Cup, with 16 cities holding matches. The host cities are:
- Toronto (Canada)
- Vancouver (Canada)
- Guadalajara (Mexico)
- Mexico City (Mexico)
- Monterrey (Mexico)
- Atlanta
- Boston
- Dallas
- Houston
- Kansas City
- Los Angeles
- Miami
- New York / New Jersey
- Philadelphia
- Seattle
- San Francisco / Bay Area
When is the 2026 World Cup?
The 2026 World Cup is set to run from June 11, 2026, until the final on July 19, 2026.
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