Real Madrid vs. Man City Prediction: Today's Champions League Betting Preview & Odds

I'm backing Pep Guardiola's side to secure a rare victory at the Bernabeu in my Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction for today's Champions League match.
Erling Haaland of Manchester City celebrates a goal as we make our best Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction
Pictured: Erling Haaland of Manchester City celebrates a goal as we make our best Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction. Photo by Mark Cosgrove/News Images/Sipa USA
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We're hours away from a Champions League clash of giants at the Bernabeu in Madrid, and my Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction targets my favorite side to bet and a high-value player prop.

City is the +130 moneyline betting favorite ahead of kickoff at 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+). Below, my Champions League best bets look at what a rash of injuries to the home side will mean to the outcome of this tilt.


✅ Real Madrid vs. Man City prediction & expert picks

💵 Best Real Madrid vs. Man City bets

  • Game prediction: Man City ML (+145 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Over/Under pick: Under 3.5 (-154 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Best prop bet: Erling Haaland anytime goal (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

⚽ Real Madrid vs. Man City best bet & score prediction

See all of our experts' soccer picks this week.

Man City ML (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Champions League odds contender Man City doesn't have a good track record against Real Madrid recently, losing three straight while picking up just one win in the last seven. However, Real Madrid is enduring a poor run of form, primarily thanks to a rash of defensive injuries. 

Eder Militao suffered a first-half hamstring injury against Celta Vigo on Sunday, with Dani Carvajal (knee), Trent Alexander-Arnold (thigh) and Ferland Mendy (hamstring) also unavailable. Dean Huijsen and David Alaba are questionable.

That could prove catastrophic against a Man City side that has at least three goals in seven of its previous nine matches in all competitions. Real Madrid saw its unblemished home record in La Liga go by the wayside on Sunday, with Xabi Alonso's side losing 2-0 to Celta Vigo. 

That result made it two wins in the previous seven matches across all competitions for Los Blancos, who dropped points to a Girona side currently in the relegation zone. Even though City hasn't returned to the peak of its powers, it is in much better shape entering this Champions League matchup. 

The best sports betting sites have reached a consensus, all pegging Man City at +145 odds. Those odds imply a 40.82% win probability. If City secures its first win at the Bernabeu since 2020, a $10 wager will profit $14.50. 

Score prediction: Man City 2, Real Madrid 1 


🆚 Real Madrid vs. Man City matchup to watch

Search the best soccer player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Erling Haaland vs. Real Madrid's defense 

This pick was a toss-up between Haaland and Kylian Mbappe, with the latter leading the goal-scoring race by three. Mbappe has nine goals, while Haaland only has five. 

The reason I decided to go with Haaland is Real Madrid's depleted rearguard, which is hanging on by a thread. Several of its starters will be unavailable for the match.

If anyone will take advantage of a shorthanded defense, it's the towering Norwegian, who leads the Premier League with 15 goals in as many matches. Despite not scoring in the first four matches against the Spanish giants, Haaland bagged a brace the last time he faced them.

Mbappe and Haaland's odds to score are almost identical. DraftKings offers the best price on Haaland (-120), which will yield an $8.33 profit on a winning $10 bet. 

Best prop bet: Erling Haaland anytime goal (-120 via DraftKings)


📊 Real Madrid vs. Man City odds

See live Champions League odds for every game.


📈 Real Madrid vs. Man City betting trends & recent form

Real Madrid Statistic Man City 
4W, 1L  Season record 3W, 1D, 1L 
WWWLW Last 5 games WDWWL
W, 3-0 Athletic Club  Previous result L, 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen 
Unbeaten in 6 matches  Key stat City has lost three in a row to Real Madrid

🌤️ Real Madrid vs. Man City weather

The weather in Spain should be ideal for a football match, with temperatures expected to be 48 degrees at kickoff. There is only a 7% chance of precipitation, with winds gusting to 6 mph. The humidity will be at 95%. 


📺 How to watch Real Madrid vs. Man City

  • Date: Wednesday, Dec. 10
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Bernabéu (Madrid, Spain)
  • TV: Paramount+

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