Manchester United vs. Burnley Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: Premier League Matchweek 3 Best Bets
With the Red Devils in tatters after their shock midweek defeat to Grimsby Town, my Manchester United vs. Burnley prediction analyzes whether the newly promoted side can pour salt in Ruben Amorim's gaping wounds.
Saturday's match starts at 10 a.m. ET (Peacock) from Old Trafford, and my soccer picks highlight a best bet and a player prop for a new arrival in Manchester. The Red Devils are a -270 betting favorite entering proceedings.
⚽ Manchester United vs. Burnley expert picks & predictions
Premier League expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Manchester United (-270 via FanDuel) ⭐
- Against the spread pick: Burnley +1.5 (-135 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 2.5 goals (+128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Manchester United vs. Burnley preview & best bet
Burnley +1.5 (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
A 'dead man walking' might be the most apt description of Amorim's current status.
The embattled United manager's seat is so hot in the Old Trafford dugout that he dare not go near it. Team morale must be at an all-time low after losing to a Grimsby Town side that plies its trade in the fourth tier of English football. Regardless of who was on the pitch, that result will go down in the annals of United history as one of the club's most putrid.
The Red Devils are tasked with dusting themselves off for a home Premier League match against Burnley, who beat fellow promoted side Sunderland at home 2-0 in Matchweek 2.
If United doesn't score an early goal, you'll be able to feel the tension at Old Trafford from Burnley. You're a braver man than I if you back United on the moneyline, particularly at their ridiculously overpriced -270 odds.
United supporters might take solace knowing their team carries a 23-match (20 wins, 3 draws) unbeaten run in the Premier League against promoted sides into Saturday's tilt. However, United have lost eight of their previous 13 top-flight matches at Old Trafford.
Even if the hosts win the match, I don't think they have the leadership or character to make it a convincing one. DraftKings offers the best value for Burnley +1.5, with odds of -135.
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💰 Best Manchester United vs. Burnley player prop bet
🔥 Bryan Mbeumo (+160) ⭐⭐⭐
Bryan Mbuemo came on at halftime against Grimsby Town to help get United back into the cup tie, scoring the team's all-important opener in the 75th minute. While it was all for nought, Mbeumo helped change the complexion of that match.
After his excellent cameo, the new United forward should start, and he has the physicality to trouble a Burnley rearguard that usually bosses opposing attackers with their propensity for rough-and-tumble play.
Despite his first United goal coming against a fourth-tier side, Mbuemo should be one of the more confident players entering Saturday's match. The 26-year-old scored 20 goals in 38 Premier League matches last season for Brentford, which convinced United to pay almost $100 million to secure his services.
BetMGM offers the longest odds and highest potential payout of the best sports betting sites. A winning $10 bet will yield a $16 profit, as opposed to $12 at DraftKings, the sportsbook at the lowest end of the market.
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📊 Manchester United vs. Burnley odds: Matchweek 3
Premier League odds update live in real time.
📈 Manchester United vs. Burnley betting odds analysis
Manchester United's moneyline odds range from -270 to -280, with FanDuel offering the best value. I can see United's odds lengthening slightly in the lead-up to kickoff, but only by a smidge.
🔢 Manchester United vs. Burnley results
Manchester United vs. Burnley history courtesy of 11v11.com.
| Date | Competition | Result | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 27, 2004 | Premier League | Manchester United 1-1 Burnley | Old Trafford (Manchester) |
| Sept. 23, 2023 | Premier League | Burnley 0-1 Manchester United | Turf Moor (Burnley) |
| Dec. 21, 2022 | League Cup | Manchester United 2-0 Burnley | Old Trafford (Manchester) |
| Feb. 8, 2022 | Premier League | Burnley 1-1 Manchester United | Turf Moor (Burnley) |
| Dec. 30, 2021 | Premier League | Manchester United 3-1 Burnley | Old Trafford (Manchester) |
🚑 Manchester United vs. Burnley injuries
📺 Manchester United vs. Burnley game info
- When: Saturday, Aug. 30
- Kickoff: 10 a.m. ET
- Where: Old Trafford (Manchester)
- How to watch: Peacock
💡 Expert soccer predictions
- Premier League Matchday 3 predictions
- Chelsea vs. Fulham prediction
- Manchester Utd vs. Burnley prediction
- Brighton vs. Man City prediction
- Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction
- Wrexham vs. Millwall prediction
❓ Manchester United vs. Burnley FAQs
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs. Burnley?
Manchester United is the -270 betting favorite for Saturday's match at home against Burnley.
What is the spread for Manchester United vs. Burnley?
Burnley (+1.5) is receiving -135 at DraftKings, with Manchester United (-1.5) at +100.
What is the Over/Under for Manchester United vs. Burnley?
The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over at DraftKings juiced to -155 and the Under +120.
What are the best bets for Manchester United vs. Burnley?
Burnley +1.5 and Bryan Mbeumo to score are my best bets.
When is the Manchester United vs. Burnley game?
Saturday's match at Old Trafford kicks off at 10 a.m. ET, streaming on Peacock.
How do soccer odds work?
When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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