⚽ Inter Miami vs. Orlando City Prediction & Odds: MLS Betting Preview for May 2
The latest edition of the Florida derby takes place this weekend, as Inter Miami host state rivals Orlando City. Although the visitors will be eager to turn their season around after a poor start, our Inter Miami vs. Orlando City prediction backs Lionel Messi and Co. to continue their surge up the Major League Soccer standings.
Inter Miami are the overwhelming -334 favorite to win against a struggling Orlando team (+650) that hasn't registered a regular-season win on the road yet. The action from the Nu Stadium in Miami begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Apple TV.
🔮 Inter Miami vs. Orlando City best bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks based on the latest odds from the best sports betting sites.; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet | Odds | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami -1.5 | -334 via bet365 | 2u -> 0.6u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Lionel Messi anytime goal | -300 via bet365 | 1.5u -> 0.5u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 1.1 units
⚽ Inter Miami vs. Orlando City prediction
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
Inter Miami -1.5 (-140) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
A combination of Miami's attacking power and Orlando's dreadful defense should result in a comfortable victory for the home side.
Reigning MLS Cup champions Inter Miami are poised for a multi-goal victory if they can take advantage of the league's worst defense, as Orlando have allowed an MLS-high 29 goals in 10 games. Away from home, Orlando have been brutal defensively, conceding four goals per game.
Meanwhile, this is Miami's best chance to win their first game at the Nu Stadium since its opening in early April. Inter Miami, unbeaten in 12 games, will be bursting with confidence playing against an Orlando City side they beat 4-2 away from home in March.
Score prediction: Inter Miami 4, Orlando City 1
🙌 Best Inter Miami vs. Orlando City goal-scorer pick
Messi will also be on the global stage later this summer, and we have you covered with the World Cup odds.
Lionel Messi, Inter Miami (-300) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Lionel Messi should be able to find cracks in Orlando's defense again and finish the game on the score sheet. Considering that he leads Miami with 22 shots on target, Messi should get plenty of opportunities against an Orlando team that's conceding eight shots on target per game.
With Messi's two-goal performance against Orlando in March still fresh on ihs mind, we expect the Argentine to punish Major League Soccer's worst defense in a similar fashion.
A historical milestone could also motivate Messi to test Orlando's goalkeeper often, as he's just two goals away from 900 career goals. He's logged eight goals in five games against Orlando.
📊 Inter Miami vs. Orlando City odds
Moneyline (3-way)
- Inter Miami: -330 ($10 to win $3.03)
- Orlando City: +600 ($10 to win $60)
- Tie: +475 ($10 to win $47.50)
Spread
- Inter Miami: -1.5, -140 ($10 to win $17.14)
- Orlando City: +1.5, +100 ($10 to win $10)
Over/Under total goals
- Over 3.5 goals: -140 ($10 to win $7.14)
- Under 3.5 goals: +110 ($10 to win $11)
📈 Inter Miami vs. Orlando City betting trends
| Host | Statistic | Visitor |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Season record | 2-1-7 |
| 7-6-8 | H2H record | 8-6-7 |
| D-W-W-D-D | Last 5 games | L-W-L-D-L |
| Tied 1-1 vs. New England Revolution | Previous result | Lost 3-2 vs. DC United |
| Inter Miami have yet to win (three games) at their new stadium since its opening in early April. | Key stat | Orlando have conceded a league-high 29 goals this season |
🌤️ Inter Miami vs. Orlando City weather
It will be unseasonably hot and humid with a 35% chance of rain when Saturday's match kicks off. The temperature is expected to be around 79, which can be draining on both teams and will likely slow down the pace of the game.
💡 How I'm betting Inter Miami vs. Orlando City
With Miami playing like the dominant team that won the MLS Cup last season and Orlando toiling near the bottom of the table, there's far more value in betting on Miami to win by two or more goals than there is with a three-way moneyline flutter.
Miami have yet to win at their new stadium, but Orlando's defensive record and poor form away from home suggests that this game could end in a lopsided win for the hosts.
Lionel Messi is the most logical candidate to score, especially against an opponent that the 38-year-old is averaging more than one goal per game against since his MLS debut in 2023. The two-time winner of the MLS MVP award leads Miami scorers with seven goals in nine games this season.
📺 How to watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City
- Date: Saturday, May 2
- Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Nu Stadium (Miami)
- TV: Apple TV
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