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Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates after he scored his team's first goal against Australia.
Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates after he scored his team's first goal against Australia. Photo by Alfredo Estrella via AFP.

The World Cup quarterfinals feature a surprise squad among a plethora of heavyweights. Who will shine when the final eight teams play with a trip to the semifinals on the line? Find out with our prop picks for the World Cup quarterfinals based on the top odds.

Brazil kick off the World Cup quarterfinals against Croatia in what profiles as the biggest mismatch of the last eight. Argentina close out Friday's action with their match against the Netherlands.

Saturday begins with Portugal-Morocco, and the highly anticipated clash between France and England will serve as the quarterfinals' main event.

Here are our World Cup quarterfinal goalscorer prop picks (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and PointsBet; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our top World Cup winner picks!

World Cup Quarterfinals Schedule

World Cup Anytime Goalscorer Picks

Neymar (+125) ★★★★

Brazil enter their quarterfinal matchup as significant favorites against an older, less electric Croatia side. The Brazilians have various goalscoring options, as evidenced by the fact that four different players found the back of the net in the 4-1 drubbing of South Korea.

Neymar scored his first goal of the tournament in the Round of 16 after dealing with fitness issues during the group stage. The Paris Saint-Germain superstar is not only dangerous in open play, but he also takes penalties for Brazil.

PointsBet provides the best value on Neymar scoring, as DraftKings Sportsbook offers an anytime goal at +120, while Caesars Sportsbook sits at +115 and FanDuel at +110.

Kylian Mbappe (+195) ★★★★

Can anyone stop the tournament's leading goalscorer? England are a tough side, chalked full of some of the Premier League's best players. However, there is no Mbappe in the Premier League.

The French phenom is arguably the best player in the world, and he further illustrated that by burying Poland with two second-half goals in France's last-16 victory.

England have deployed the center-back pairing of Harry Maguire and John Stones throughout the tournament, though they may opt for more speed at the back for this match. Regardless, Mbappe is too talented to be kept off the scoresheet in the quarterfinals and will make his mark at some point in the match.

Head to FanDuel for the best value on an Mbappe goal. DraftKings offers the second-best number at +170 and a goal is as short as +145 via Caesars.

Goncalo Ramos (+230) ★★★

Cristiano Ronaldo, who? Ramos replaced Ronaldo in Portugal's starting 11 against Switzerland and immediately made headlines.

The 21-year-old finished with a hat-trick in his side's 6-1 annihilation of the Swiss, as Ronaldo watched from the bench.

Incredibly, Ramos has longer odds to score than Ronaldo does at essentially every major sportsbook. Perhaps some believe the 37-year-old will re-enter the fold, but it's hard to imagine Portugal manager Fernando Santos going back to Ronaldo after Ramos' incredible performance.

Take advantage of FanDuel's number, as a Ramos anytime goal is as short as +150 via Caesars.

First Goalscorer Pick

Richarlison to score first (+475) ★★

In hindsight, it seems Brazil were simply coasting through the group stage, because they looked like an entirely different group against South Korea. The Brazilians scored four times inside the first 40 minutes, with Richarlison picking up his team-leading third goal.

The Spurs forward looks like a man on a mission after many questioned his place in the squad. Brazil should get off to another strong start on Friday as they look to take down the 2018 World Cup runners-up.

The only thing that would make me more confident in Richarlison scoring the first goal is if he was on penalties, as we know the Brazilians don't mind a little embellishment in the opposing box. Nonetheless, this is excellent value for a powerhouse side's striker to score its first goal.

PointsBet once again offers the best value, as DraftKings and FanDuel sit at +450, while Caesars is once again much shorter at +350.

Multi-Goal Pick

Messi to score two or more (+1100) ★★★

When looking at someone to score two-plus goals, we turn to the man of the moment himself. This tournament has thus far been all about Messi, and he will keep his momentum going when Argentina take on the Netherlands.

Beyond the fact that, well, it's Messi, the Netherlands could be in for a bit of a rude awakening in the quarterfinals. They've had a fairly easy road to this point, as they played in arguably the weakest group and followed that with a match against USA in the Round of 16. Argentina are an entirely different beast.

With Messi in his best form in years and the Argentinians looking like the juggernauts we thought they'd be following a hideous loss to Saudi Arabia to start their tournament, look for the favorites to make a statement ahead of the semifinals.

The odds are fairly similar across the board, with FanDuel offering slightly more value than DraftKings (+1000), PointsBet (+950), and Caesars (+900).

Where to Bet on World Cup Goalscorer Prop Picks

  Here are our best World Cup betting sites:  

World Cup goalscorer prop picks made 12/8/2022 at 1:30 p.m. ET