Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's Champions League Match
Liverpool will look to remain perfect in the Champions League group stage on Wednesday and my Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool prediction explains why they will do just that, but how we can also look to some volume markets on the to-be-chasing hosts.
Play from Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in Istanbul gets underway at 12:45 p.m. ET, airing on Paramount+. Liverpool is a -200 betting favorite on the three-way line moneyline, with the draw priced at +400 and Fenerbahce at +475.
Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Best odds | Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win & Over 3.5 goals | +175 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.88 units |
| Fenerbahce Over 10.5 shots | -138 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.36 units |
| Vedat Muriqi 2+ shots on target | +275 via bet365 | 0.25 units to profit 0.69 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 3 at 10 a.m. ET
Total wagered: 1.25 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.93 units
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Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Liverpool to win & Over 3.5 goals (+175 via bet365)
Don't be fooled by their zero-shot performance against Arsenal on the weekend; Liverpool's win over Villarreal last time out in European play is the blueprint for this one. The Reds' volume in multiple Champions League games (26 shots vs. LASK, 22 shots vs. Villarreal) gives us real hope they can put their foot on the gas again in Turkiye. After a frustrating 1-0 defeat to visiting Arsenal on the weekend, they'll be highly motivated to turn up the offense.
An early Liverpool goal should prompt the hosts' attackers to chase an equalizer, opening up counterattacking opportunities for the visitors. While a 2-1 win is the main concern here, Wirtz repeatedly receiving the ball between the lines should test Fenerbahce's defensive organization, and I think the visitors can score three.
Play to: +175
🆚 Who will win Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool?
Liverpool will have the bulk of the ball and should generate the better chances, and repeatedly. While Fenerbahce presents danger through transitional attacks and might get on the board, the Reds will simply overpower them.
Score prediction: Liverpool 3, Fenerbahce 1
More Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool expert picks
Fenerbahce Over 10.5 shots (-138) and Vedat Muriqi 2+ shots on target (+275)
This two bets go hand in hand so I'll break them down together. Fenerbahce's defeat at Aston Villa (6-0) was ugly, and they still mustered 15 shots. Chasing teams often manager to muster the courage to get forward and get shots away in an attempt to level the game. Being outclassed on the scoreboard doesn't mean they can't reach a very modest shots total. Liverpool can even pin them back for fairly long stretches and this one still come through.
Muriqi posted two shots on target in that beatdown against Villa, and while he doesn't always hit that line, this price is too good to pass up. He'll be the target for direct passes and crosses into the penalty area, and with Liverpool's press looking to control the midfield, he's one of Fenerbahce's best outlets. The Turkish supporters will be pushing their team on all game, so even if this gets out of hand there's a path to both of these plays hitting.
Play to: -138 for the shots total, +250 for the Muriqi SOT
Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool key stats
All stats below are for the Champions League season unless otherwise noted.
| Fenerbahce | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (Champions League league phase) | 0-2-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Home/Away Record (Champions League) | 0-2-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Recent form (all comps) | WLWDLL | WWWWDL |
| Goals for | 3 | 12 |
| xG | 4.37 | 7.23 |
| Goals against | 9 | 7 |
| xGA | 5.07 | 4.56 |
| Average possession | 48.6% | 54% |
Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool odds
Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool; subject to change:
| Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1) | Liverpool (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Ederson (GK) | Alisson (GK) |
| Semedo (D) | Araujo (D) |
| Skriniar (D) | Jacquet (D) |
| Demir (D) | van Dijk (D) |
| Mercan (D) | Tsimikas (D) |
| Kante (M) | Mac Allister (M) |
| Guendouzi (M) | Szoboszlai (M) |
| Aydin (M) | Munoz (M) |
| Greenwood (M) | Wirtz (M) |
| Akturkoglu (M) | Barcola (M) |
| Muriqi (F) | Isak (F) |
How to watch Fenerbahce vs. Liverpool
- Date: Wednesday, Nov. 4
- Kickoff: 12:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium (Istanbul)
- TV/Streaming: Paramount+
