England vs. Slovakia Odds, Picks & Predictions: England Advances in White-Knuckle Fashion

England and Slovakia clash in the Round of 16 at Euro 2024 and we have our England-Slovakia predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

Buckle your seatbelts if you're an England supporter as the Three Lions stumble into the knockout phase after picking up just one win in three underwhelming group-stage matches. Slovakia finished third in Group E thanks to a tiebreaker, with all four teams level on four points. Sunday's match kicks off at noon ET from Arena AufSchalke in Gelsenkirchen, Germany.  

England are colossal favorites to win the match in 90 minutes and progress to their fourth quarterfinal in the last five European Championships. Despite an unconvincing group stage, England are the Euro 2024 odds favorites entering the do-or-die phase of the competition.   

Slovakia hope they punch their ticket to a European Championships quarterfinal for the first time as an independent nation.

England vs. Slovakia predictions for Sunday

• Final score: England 1 - Slovakia 0 (+430 via FanDuel)
• Harry Kane anytime goalscorer (+110 via FanDuel)
• Best bet: England ML and Under 2.5 goals (+187 via BetMGM)

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England vs. Slovakia score prediction

England 1 vs. Slovakia 0

Tense times are on the horizon for England supporters, while the Slovakian fan base will be looking forward to their role as potential giant slayers.

It's a scenario more familiar to England than incessant rain throughout winter. There is no quick fix for the issues currently underpinning England's tournament. Solid and almost impenetrable at the back, England haven't been nearly as expansive going forward as most expected.

They have just 2.2 expected goals and 10 shots on target, tied for 17th with the Netherlands and Hungary.

So don't expect the Three Lions to buck the trend and break free of the encumbering shackles against a Slovakia side whose play and game plan will closely resemble England's first three opponents. Slovakia had 2.3 expected goals in their group matches and allowed 4.3. 

England should have just enough to claw their way into the quarterfinals, but it won't be easy. Slovakia have nothing to lose, while an England loss would be considered the most humiliating national disaster since losing at this stage to Iceland at Euro 2016. 

FanDuel's +430 odds represent an implied probability of 18.87%, and a $10 bet pays a profit of $43. 

Best odds: +430 via FanDuel

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England vs. Slovakia anytime goal scorer prediction

Harry Kane, England

Yes, I'm backing Harry Kane to score again. Kane still offers the best bet for this market when you dissect both teams and their playing styles. He scored one of England's two goals in the group stage. Kane has one expected goal thus far, and no other England player, including Jude Bellingham, has an expected goal haul of over 0.2. That's how dire and anemic England's offense was in the opening three matches. 

There are few feasible options when looking at Slovakia. Ivan Schranz scored two goals for the Slovakians on just .4 expected goals. Plus, he's playing an England defense that has allowed the fewest expected goals against (1.1).  

Kane has consistently stepped up for England in win-or-go-home contests, bagging six goals in the last six World Cup and European Championship knockout games, including two in Qatar and four at Euro 2020 in England. And he takes the team's penalties, increasing the likelihood of this prop paying out. 

At +110, FanDuel offers the best value. The implied probability is 47.62%, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $11 if it hits. 

Best odds: +110 via FanDuel

England vs. Slovakia best bet

England ML and Under 2.5 goals

You won't find any value in backing England on the moneyline. To optimize the potential profit, I've combined an England win with under 2.5 goals. Under 3.5 goals offers a substantial buffer, with BetMGM offering -114 for that combination. That said, I don't envision this match eclipsing two goals. England have been outstanding defensively, particularly in the last two matches.

Their only concession was a wonder goal from another area code, with Morten Hjulmand's long-range missile crashing in off the post. Slovakia capitalized on Belgium's early mistake in their opener. Otherwise, they had to rely on Schranz's opportunism. He bagged two on just .4 expected goals. 

BetMGM offers +187, implying a probability of 34.85%. If England wins 1-0 or 2-0, a $10 wager will pay a profit of $18.70. 

Best odds: +187 via BetMGM

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England vs. Slovakia game info

• When: Sunday, June 30 (noon ET)
• Where: Arena AufSchalke (Gelsenkirchen, Germany)
• How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
• Favorite: England (-238 via BetMGM)

England-Slovakia predictions made Friday at 11 a.m. ET.

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