Champions League Predictions & Odds Matchday 6: Expert UCL Picks

I've hand-picked three high-value plays for my Matchday 6 Champions League predictions.

Atletico Madrid looks to secure its first road victory in three attempts in the group stage, while Chelsea hopes to leave its subpar Premier League form in England when it faces Atalanta in Italy. In my final prediction, I foresee Bayern Munich beating Sporting Lisbon at home in a match consisting of four goals or fewer. 

Champions League predictions & expert picks: Matchday 6

Here are my Champions League predictions for Matchday 6. 

• Bayern Munich vs. Sporting Lisbon: Bayern Munich & Under 4.5 goals (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Atalanta vs. Chelsea: Draw (+265 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• PSV vs. Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Bayern Munich vs. Sporting Lisbon: Bayern Munich ML & Under 4.5 goals (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bayern Munich has lost only one of its previous 32 Champions League matches at Allianz Arena. That defeat, a 2-1 setback, came amid a rash of injuries to starters against Inter Milan in the quarterfinals of last season's tournament. 

Their current run includes 27 victories, which I expect to increase to 28. While Sporting Lisbon has been excellent thus far, it hasn't won away from home, drawing one and losing one.

I can't see them escaping with anything against a Bayern Munich team that has lost only once in the previous 25 matches in all competitions. That said, Sporting Lisbon should keep things competitive enough to prevent an explosion of goals. 

BetMGM is the only one of the best sports betting sites offering this combo play, and its -125 odds will profit $8 on a winning $10 bet.

📊 Bayern Munich vs. Sporting Lisbon live odds 

Atalanta vs. Chelsea: Draw (+265) ⭐⭐⭐

Chelsea hasn't won in three Premier League matches. However, Enzo Maresca's side is unbeaten in four Champions League tilts, with its only loss coming in the opener at Bayern Munich. 

While the Blues' subpar form domestically is concerning, I'm willing to bank on them escaping Atalanta with a share of the spoils. Like Chelsea, Atalanta is also playing its best in the Champions League, with three wins, a draw, and a loss. 

It is reeling in 12th place in Serie A, however, taking 10 from a possible 21 points at home. That said, four of Atalanta's seven home matches in the Serie A ended in a draw.

A draw would suit both teams, particularly considering Chelsea's current form. Of the best sports betting apps, DraftKings has the best price (+265). Those odds imply a 27.40% probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $26.50. 

📊 Atalanta vs. Chelsea live odds 

PSV vs. Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid ML (+115) ⭐⭐⭐

Both teams enter proceedings playing well, with PSG coming off an impressive 4-1 win over Liverpool at Anfield. While securing an emphatic victory at Anfield is never easy, Liverpool has been ensnared in a downward spiral lately. 

PSV lost one and won one at home in the Champions League, most recently handling Serie A leaders Napoli 6-2. That outstanding result helped the Eredivisie front-runners put its 3-1 home defeat to Belgian side Royale Union Saint-Gilloise behind them. 

Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, beat that same team 3-1 at Metropolitano Stadium on Matchday 4. Atleti has won seven of the previous eight matches, with its only blemish occurring at Emirates Stadium against in-form Arsenal. 

I'm banking on Diego Simeone's side demonstrating their wealth of experience at this level and finding a way to eke out a road victory for the first time in three Champions League clashes. 

📊 PSV vs. Atletico Madrid live odds