Brighton vs. Man City Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Today: Premier League Matchweek 3 Best Bets

Brighton got the better of Manchester City in the last meeting at American Express Stadium. Will lightning strike twice on the south coast?
Brighton vs. Man City Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Today: Premier League Matchweek 3 Best Bets
Pictured: Phil Foden in action against Tottenham Hotspur. Photo by Richard Callis via Imagn Images

My Brighton vs. Man City prediction expects the visitors to extend their road unbeaten run in today's match at American Express Stadium (9 a.m. ET, NBC Peacock). 

The Cityzens are the -105 moneyline betting favorite, and my soccer picks headline Erling Haaland, whose goal-scoring record against the Seagulls will fill you with more confidence than the Norwegian has after scoring a hat trick.

I also backed Man City in my Premier League predictions for Matchweek 3. 


⚽ Brighton vs. Man City expert picks & predictions

Premier League expert picks made Saturday; EPL odds subject to change.

  • Moneyline pick: Man City (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Against the spread pick: Man City -0.5 (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 goals (-170 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Sbr Post Product 16 9 Picks

📝 Brighton vs. Man City preview & best bet

👕 Man City ML (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Brighton vs. Man City Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks
Pictured: Jeremy Doku controls the ball during a Premier League 2025/26 match. Photo by Richard Callis via Imagn Images.

I featured this fixture in my Matchweek 3 Premier League predictions and odds, backing the Cityzens to pick up all three points. Due to extenuating circumstances, City lost on the south coast 2-1 in November 2024.

Guardiola's rearguard had more injuries than a full physiotherapy waiting room, which provided 19-year-old center back Jahmai Simpson-Pusey with his only start of the season. While his presence at the spine of the team wasn't the only reason City lost, it played a critical part.

I'm not overly concerned about City's loss to Tottenham last week, given the team's seemingly never-ending curse against the Londoners. That 0-2 defeat marked its first in 12 Premier League matches. City is unbeaten in five consecutive away matches, keeping a clean sheet each time. 

Brighton, meanwhile, has sputtered out of the gates, tying Fulham at home and losing 2-0 on the road to Everton. DraftKings offers the best price among our top sports betting sites, with its -110 odds nudging FanDuel and Caesars' -115 odds. 

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💰 Best Brighton vs. Man City player prop bet

🔥 Erling Haaland anytime goal (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Brighton vs. Man City Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks
Pictured: Erling Haaland during the Premier League match against Tottenham Hotspur. Photo by Mark Cosgrove via Imagn Images.

I'm not exactly going against the grain with this pick. Despite my nauseating predictability, Haaland netted two the last time I backed him to bag at least one.

The Norwegian monster has an excellent track record against Brighton, which is hardly surprising considering there are only a few teams against which he doesn't boast an outrageous goal return. 

The 25-year-old scored five goals in as many matches against the Seagulls, including one in each of the last three. He has 87 goals in 99 Premier League matches and will be hungry to net another in his centurion performance. 

While I'm not enamored by the minus-money odds across the best sports betting apps, BetMGM's -105 betting odds are much more palatable than the others.

Caesars offers -140 odds, which is at the low end of the market. At BetMGM, a winning $10 bet will yield a profit of $9.52.  

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📊 Brighton vs. Man City odds: Matchweek 3

Premier League odds update live in real time.

📈 Brighton vs. Man City betting odds analysis

Man City's moneyline odds range from -110 to -120, with the best value offered at DraftKings. BetMGM's -120 odds represent the least value. The betting lines haven't changed much all week, and I don't expect them to deviate in the 24 hours leading up to kickoff. If the lines move, I expect City's odds to shorten slightly. 


🔢 Brighton vs. Man City results

Brighton vs. Man City history courtesy of 11v11.com.

Date Competition Result Location
March 15, 2025 Premier League Man City 2-2 Brighton  Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Nov. 9, 2024 Premier League Brighton 2-1 Man City American Express Stadium (Brighton)
April 25, 2024 Premier League Brighton 0-4 Man City American Express Stadium (Brighton)
Oct. 21, 2023 Premier League Man City 2-1 Brighton Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
May 24, 2023 Premier League Brighton 1-1 Man City American Express Stadium (Brighton)

🚑 Brighton vs. Man City injuries


💡 Expert Premier League predictions


📺 Brighton vs. Man City game info

  • When: Sunday, Aug. 31
  • Kickoff: 9 a.m. ET
  • Where: American Express Stadium (Brighton, England)
  • How to watch: NBC Peacock

❓ Brighton vs. Man City prediction FAQs

Who is favored to win Brighton vs. Man City?

Man City is the -105 betting favorite to win Sunday's match at Brighton. 

What is the spread for Brighton vs. Man City?

Man City is at -0.5, with odds of -120 at DraftKings. 

What is the Over/Under for Brighton vs. Man City?

The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over juiced to between -170 and -185. 

What are the best bets for Brighton vs. Man City?

Man City to win and Erling Haaland to score are my best Brighton vs. Man City bets. 

When is the Brighton vs. Man City game?

Sunday's match kicks off at 9 a.m. ET (NBC Peacock). 

How do soccer odds work?

When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.

Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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