Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Pick & UCL Odds: Defensive Battle in Spain
Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund meet Wednesday in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, and we have our Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction based on the best Champions League odds.
With the sports calendar in full swing, the Champions League quarterfinals are underway, featuring an exciting matchup between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday at 3 p.m. ET at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain.
Borussia Dortmund's solid five-match winning streak was halted by a narrow 1-0 loss to Stuttgart on April 6. However, this setback is unlikely to deter them as they gear up for a challenging visit to the Metropolitano. Dortmund's away record in the competition includes two wins, one loss, and one draw. They are undefeated in their last three away matches, with their only road defeat coming against PSG, a 2-0 loss during the group stage.
The Metropolitano Stadium is a tough venue, even for experienced teams. Atletico Madrid boasts the second-best home record in La Liga, securing an impressive 40 out of 45 possible points, just behind Real Madrid's 41. In the Champions League, Atletico has been unbeatable at the Metropolitano Stadium, winning all four matches and outscoring opponents 13-3.
Accompanying our PSG vs. Barcelona prediction, here is our best Atletico vs. Dortmund prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund game info
- Date: Wednesday, April 10 at 3 p.m. ET
- TV: Paramount+
- Location: Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid, Spain
- Weather: 64 degrees, sunny
- Favorite: Atletico Madrid (-125)
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | -125 | -0.5 (-140) | Over 2.5 (-106) |
| Borussia Dortmund | +350 | +0.5 (+100) | Under 2.5 (-118) |
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction
Under 2.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Atletico is one of the best defensive teams in Europe in pivotal contests, particularly when playing in front of their feverish supporters at Metropolitano Stadium. Diego Simeone's side allowed a goal against Inter Milan in their last Champions League home encounter, which ended level at one after 90 minutes. They kept a clean sheet in the previous encounter against Lazio, winning 2-0. Atletico has allowed just three goals in four home 2023-24 Champions League contests, and the Under hit in the Spanish side's last three Champions League matches.
Three of Dortmund's previous matches in all competitions have seen two or fewer goals, including their last Champions League contest, a 2-0 home victory over PSV Eindhoven. Edin Terzić's side scored two or fewer goals in three of their four away Champions League contests.
Best odds: -118 via bet365
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Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds analysis
Of our best sports betting apps, bet365 and FanDuel offer the best value at -118. DraftKings comes in just behind, offering -120. BetMGM and Caesars offer the shortest odds and least value at -125.
A winning $10 bet at FanDuel or bet365's -118 odds will pay out a total of $18.47 and imply a 54.13% probability. The line will probably lengthen slightly at FanDuel and bet365 in the lead-up to kick-off.
An appealing alternative bet combines an Atletico Madrid win and Under 2.5 goals, trading at +290. A winning $10 bet at those odds would result in a $29 profit. The accompanying implied probability is 25.64%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction made Thursday at 6 p.m. ET.
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