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Kylian Mbappe of PSG during the French championship Ligue 1 football match between Olympique de Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain as we make our best PSG vs. Barcelona prediction in the Champions League quarterfinal first leg.
Kylian Mbappe of PSG during the French championship Ligue 1 football match between Olympique de Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain on March 31, 2024 at Orange Velodrome. Photo by Matthieu Mirville/DPPI via AFP

PSG and Barcelona clash in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal at the Parc des Princes in Paris on Wednesday, and we have our PSG vs. Barcelona prediction and best bet based on the top Champions League odds.

The Champions League quarterfinals are well underway, with two matches set for Wednesday. All eyes will be on PSG and Barcelona as they collide at Parc des Princes in Paris, France, kicking off at 3 p.m. ET.

Ligue 1's relative weakness offers both advantages and challenges for PSG. Sitting comfortably atop the league with a 10-point lead over Brest allows manager Luis Enrique to prioritize Barcelona and the Champions League. Despite their domestic dominance, PSG has not claimed a Champions League title since 1994-95, advancing past the quarterfinals only twice. The lack of tough domestic competition may have affected PSG's ability to challenge Europe's elite clubs consistently.

Meanwhile, Barcelona is gaining momentum after a shaky start to the season. The Spanish giants are currently unbeaten in their last 11 matches across all competitions and are regaining their top form. While Barcelona famously overturned a 4-0 deficit against PSG in the 2016-17 season, this upcoming matchup promises to be a fresh and intriguing chapter in their rivalry.

Accompanying our Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund predictions, here are our best PSG vs. Barcelona prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

PSG vs. Barcelona game info

  • Date: Wednesday, April 10, 3 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS and Paramount+
  • Location: Parcs des Princes, Paris, France
  • Weather: 54 degrees and sunny
  • Favorite: PSG (+100)

PSG vs. Barcelona odds

Odds via DraftKings

TeamsMoneylineSpreadTotal
PSG+100-0.5 (-110)Over 2.5 (-150)
Barcelona+265+0.5 (-125)Under 2.5 (+120)

PSG vs. Barcelona prediction

Under 2.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐

Let's not ignore that these two powerhouses, with more firepower than most rogue militias, can fill the net faster than an overzealous 40-year-old coach in a training drill against an eight-year-old goalkeeper. However, it's the quarterfinal of the Champions League, where time and space are at a premium. Only two of the eight matches in both legs from last season's quarterfinals had more than two goals.

PSG hasn't scored more than two goals in their previous three matches. Two of those three contests were against comparative minnows Clermont Foot and Rennes. The other, a 2-0 triumph, was against Marseille, the 8th-place team in Ligue 1.

While Barcelona has been scoring more often recently, netting three tallies in two of their previous three games, they have yet to face an intimidating atmosphere like Parc des Princes this season. Neither team can afford to make a mistake, which should lean toward the Under.

Best odds: +120 via DraftKings

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PSG vs. Barcelona odds analysis

At +120, DraftKings and FanDuel offer the best value for Under 2.5 goals. A winning $10 wager will pay out $22, $12 in profit. Those +120 odds imply a probability of 45.45% via our odds converter.

Of our other best sports betting apps, bet365 offers +115 odds, while Caesars and BetMGM offer +110. It would be better to place the wager as soon as possible, as DraftKings may lengthen its odds marginally in the lead-up to kickoff. 

PSG vs. Barcelona prediction made Monday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

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