Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prediction, Odds Today: Premier League Matchweek 5

I'm breaking down the marquee match of the Premier League's Matchweek 5 with my Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction for today's game at Emirates Stadium in north London (11:30 a.m. ET). 

Despite enjoying a lengthy unbeaten run against City, my soccer picks explain why Arsenal are at risk of dropping points on Sunday. Arsenal open as the -110 betting favorite, while Manchester City enter the game at +280 to win as part of our Premier League Matchweek 5 predictions.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction

Soccer picks for Saturday; odds subject to change.

• Moneyline pick: Draw (+290 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
• Against the spread pick: Man City +0.5 (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 (-130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Arsenal vs. Manchester City best bet

Manchester City +0.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Arsenal will have had two extra days of rest than Manchester City heading into Sunday’s heavyweight bout. That extra time off might not matter, as Arsenal’s last-gasp win over Athletic Bilbao exposed areas of concern that will inspire hope at Manchester City.

Lost in all the celebrations after their win over Athletic on Tuesday is that Arsenal struggled to score for over an hour against an opponent they were expected to beat without stress. The task Sunday is even more daunting, which is why I expect Manchester City to cover the +0.5 spread.

After getting embarrassed in their last meeting against the Gunners, I expect Manchester City to rebound and come out firing early against Arsenal. Expect Erling Haaland and Phil Foden to lead the charge in this blockbuster Premier League fixture after helping Manchester City in their 2-0 win over Italian champions Napoli on Thursday.

DraftKings have set the odds of City covering the spread at -115 for my best Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction. A winning $10 bet would net a profit of $8.69.

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Best Arsenal vs. Manchester City player prop bet

Phil Foden to score or assist (+215) ⭐⭐⭐

After another solid display for Manchester City in Thursday’s Champions League win, we’re backing Phil Foden to score or provide an assist against Arsenal.

Last season, Foden looked like a shell of the player who won the coveted PFA Player of the Year award the previous year, but he appears to be back in form after opening this campaign with a string of positive performances. He scored his first goal in City’s win over Manchester United and set up Haaland’s goal against Napoli.

It’s the English playmaker’s ability to create chances that will pose the biggest threat to Arsenal. After creating eight chances against Napoli - a career high - the 25-year-old looks primed for another big performance as he exudes the type of confidence he showed during his breakout season two years ago.

The best odds are over at DraftKings, who’ve set the mark at +215. A winning $10 bet there nets a profit of $21.50.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds: Matchweek 5

Premier League odds update live in real time.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City betting odds analysis

Arsenal opened as -110 favorites at home, with some of the best soccer betting sites offering them at -125. Arsenal’s odds could be boosted with the possible returns of Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, or William Saliba. But there could be some value betting on a Manchester City team whose stars are starting to hit their stride.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City results

Arsenal vs. Manchester City history courtesy of 11v11.com.

*Won 4-1 on penalties

Arsenal vs. Manchester City game info

• When: Sunday, Sept. 21
• Kickoff: 11:30 a.m. ET
• Where: Emirates Stadium (London)
• How to watch: Peacock+

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs. Manchester City?

Arsenal are the -110 betting favorites against Manchester City (+280) on Sunday.

What is the spread for Arsenal vs. Manchester City?

The spread for Sunday’s game is -0.5 (-130) in favor of Arsenal and Man City are +0.5 (-115).

What is the Over/Under for Arsenal vs. Manchester City?

The total for Sunday’s game is set at 2.5.

What are the best bets for Arsenal vs. Manchester City?

Manchester City against the spread and Phil Foden scoring or providing an assist are my best bets.

When is the Arsenal vs. Manchester City game?

Arsenal vs. Manchester City begins Sunday at 11:30 a.m ET from the Emirates Stadium in London.

How do soccer odds work?

When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.

Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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