People's Sexiest Man Alive 2025 Odds: Pedro Pascal is the Sizable Favorite
In November, we will know the next bearer of the most coveted, powerful position in the world.
People Magazine’s Sexiest Man Alive!
People has crowned the Sexiest Man Alive almost every year since 1985 and the winner never fails to get people talking. Yes, sometimes the result is predictable, but when it isn’t, it really, really isn’t. Patrick Dempsey took the title last year, eight years after he left “Grey’s Anatomy” and nearly two decades since the height of his McDreamy fame.
Since you can never be sure what direction People will go, let’s break down some of this year's favorites, dark horses, and longshots as we anxiously await the announcement (odds courtesy of Kalshi as of Sept. 17 at 8:30 a.m. ET)
People's Sexiest Man Alive Odds
| Candidate | Implied Probability (Chance) |
|---|---|
| Pedro Pascal | 38% |
| Jeremy Allen White | 15% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 11% |
| Sterling K. Brown | 9% |
| Glen Powell | 8% |
| Shawn Mendes | 4% |
| Tramell Tillman | 4% |
| Harry Styles | 3% |
| Jason Kelce | 3% |
| Jacob Elorodi | 3% |
People's Sexiest Man Alive Favorites
Pedro Pascal (38% to win)
The clear frontrunner, Padcal is a man who is living his best life. Pedro has two hit TV shows (Disney’s “The Mandalorian” and HBO’s “The Last of Us”), a recent blockbuster (“Gladiator II”), and joined the Marvel Cinematic Universe (as Reed Richards in “The Fantastic Four: First Steps”).
Pedro is not just sexy, he’s charismatic, talented, hard-working and his appeal is pretty much universal. I spend way too much time on the internet and I have never encountered someone expressing their distaste for him. That alone makes him one to watch.
Glen Powell (8%)
Powell had one hell of a year in 2024. He starred in rom coms “Anyone But You” (with Sydney Sweeney) and “Hit Man” (for Netflix, which he also produced). He made a summer blockbuster, “Twisters” (a disaster movie with the exact story beats of a rom com even if Spielberg made them cut the kiss and became my enemy forever). He even starred in and produced an audiobook, “The Best Man’s Ghostwriter.”
He’s so damn memeable. He’s gone viral for his resemblance to a capybara and the incredible chemistry he shares with his co-stars on tour (he looks at everyone like he’s in love with them). His charm and humor are undeniable. His parents are adorable. He’s obsessed with UT Austin football to an endearing degree. And he’s a devoted dog dad—Brisket even joins him on the red carpet!
Honestly, Glen seems like he was made in a lab to be the perfect Sexiest Man Alive and it doesn’t hurt that dominating our screens and social media feeds all year already earned him the “Sexiest Summer Action Star” title in People’s readers’ choice poll. This title is his to lose.
Other Favorites: Jeremy Allen White (15%), Jonathan Bailey (11%)
Also see the best prediction markets page and the Kalshi promo code page for more info.
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