🏒 USA vs. Slovakia Prediction Today: Olympic Hockey Semifinal Odds & Best Bets
Last Updated: February 20, 2026 1:21 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
I'm targeting the Americans to run away with their Olympic hockey semifinal matchup, with my USA vs. Slovakia prediction today backing the favored squad to cover the puck line.
Puck drop is at 3:10 p.m. ET today from Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena (NBC, Peacock), with Team USA a huge -900 moneyline betting favorite to advance to the gold medal game.
🏒 USA vs. Slovakia picks & odds: Feb. 20
Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | United States -2.5 (-130) | 1u to win 0.88u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under total | Under 5.5 (+115) | 0.5u to win 0.44u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Player prop bet | Quinn Hughes to record 2+ points (+235) | 1u to win 2.67u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 3.99 units
💰 USA vs. Slovakia prediction & best bet: USA -2.5 (-130)
Slovakia has proven to be a thorn in the side of the hockey powerhouses at the Olympics, beating Finland earlier in the tournament while taking a close loss to the Swedes just a few days later. However, they've yet to see a roster as deep as the Americans and will have a tough time keeping this one close. Remember, Slovakia only has seven NHL players on its roster - more than likely, this will be a blowout come the third period, and USA's collision course toward Canada will come to fruition.
The time to play this is now before the public money likely pours in on the USA closer to puck drop. We'll see this puck line move closer to -145.
Score prediction: USA 6, Slovakia 1
🔥 Best USA vs. Slovakia player prop bet: Quinn Hughes 2+ points (+235)
Hughes was the hero for the United States in the quarterfinal game against Sweden and has been all over the ice for the Americans throughout the tournament. I'd price this play closer to +150, so the one-unit exposure was an easy decision - these edges don't come around often. Hughes has registered two points in two games and has at least one in every game played at these Olympics. I'll take those odds every single day at +235.
💵 USA vs. Slovakia player props & goal scorers
Our Liam Fox highlighted his three favorite USA vs. Slovakia player props while also offering USA vs. Slovakia anytime goal scorer predictions.
💡 How I'm betting USA vs. Slovakia
Friday's Olympic card is built around matchup edges I’ve identified, with unit sizes adjusted based on where I see the strongest value. While I typically keep plus-money plays closer to 0.3 units, the Hughes wager is one of those spots where the data supports increasing exposure to a full unit. All in, I’m risking about $125 - 2.5 total units, with my standard unit size set at $50.
📊 What is the puck line for USA vs. Slovakia?
| Team | Puck line |
|---|---|
| USA | -2.5 (-130) |
| Slovakia | +2.5 (+105) |
📈 USA vs. Slovakia betting insights
Betting insights courtesy of BetMGM:
- 74% of the handle is on USA's moneyline, but 53% of the bets are on Slovakia's moneyline
- 68% of the bets and 84% of the handle are the USA to cover 2.5 puck line
📺 How to watch USA vs. Slovakia
- Date: Friday, Feb. 20
- Puck drop: 3:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena (Milan, Italy)
- TV: CBC, CBC Gem, Peacock
🔮 Olympic hockey expert picks
- USA vs. Slovakia prediction
- USA vs. Slovakia player props
- USA vs. Slovakia anytime goal scorer predictions
- How to bet the men's Olympic hockey tournament
- Men's Olympic hockey odds & predictions
- Olympic hockey odds at prediction markets
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Dustin Saracini X social