Stars vs. Oilers Prediction Today: Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks

Can the Edmonton Oilers execute another defensive gem in Edmonton for Game 3? We offer our prediction for this afternoon's game against the Dallas Stars.
Stars vs. Oilers Prediction Today: Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks
Pictured: Edmonton Oilers defenseman Brett Kulak (27) reacts after scoring a goal against the Dallas Stars. Photo by Jerome Miron via Imagn Images

The Edmonton Oilers executed their third defensive masterclass in the last four games in Dallas for the Game 2 win. Can they make it a fourth in five when they host the Dallas Stars at Rogers Place in this afternoon's Game 3 (3 p.m. ET, ABC)?

Our Stars vs. Oilers prediction and NHL picks analyze the chances of Edmonton continuing its momentum while capitalizing on home-ice advantage. They are the favorites across our best sports betting sites

💰 Oilers vs. Stars expert picks for Game 3

🔎 Our NEW NHL player prop odds tool can help you find the best NHL odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Stars +1.5 (-190 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Oilers (-150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 6.5 goals (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

🏒 Game 3 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Oilers 4, Stars 3 

Aside from the ferocious Florida Panthers, the only thing that can beat the Oilers is the Oilers themselves. Whenever Edmonton loses, you can be as sure as Connor McDavid posting a point that it's due to individual errors.

The defending Western Conference champions were let down by indiscipline in Game 1, which the Stars took full advantage of with three power-play goals in just over six minutes, the time it takes for Corey Perry to get under someone's skin.

The Oilers eradicated those mistakes in Game 2, resulting in their third shutout victory in the previous four games.

Those mistake-laden flurries are becoming less frequent as time passes. Kris Knoblauch has indoctrinated simplification, ensuring the Oilers are always responsible defensively.

Conceding just two even-strength goals (excluding the Game 1 empty-netter) in the last four games reflects just how attentive they are to details in their own zone. By the way, one of the two they allowed - Tyler Seguin's first-period goal in Game 1 - was due to an individual error.

Go figure. 

Why the Over?

I rarely follow trends unless they're of a more timely variety. The last six Oilers Game 3s had seven goals or more, five of which were at Rogers Place. Skinner wasn't at his best in any of those contests. Add that trend to the peculiar 3 p.m. ET start time, and you have the two primary reasons I'm backing the Over.

✅ Best bet: Oilers ML (-150 via bet365)

📈 Oilers vs. Stars odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting apps.

🔢 Stars vs. Oilers updated betting action

Updated betting info via BetMGM

  • The Oilers' odds shortened from -145 to -160 in the lead-up to puck drop
  • Dallas' odds lengthened from +120 to +135
  • The total is set at 6, with the Under at +100 and the Over -120. Those lines haven't moved

🏒 Stanley Cup playoffs expert picks 

💵 Best hockey betting sites

Ready to place your hockey bets today? Here are the best NHL betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the Stanley Cup playoffs:

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