Stars vs. Oilers Prediction Today: Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks

Can the Edmonton Oilers execute another defensive gem in Edmonton for Game 3? We offer our prediction for this afternoon's game against the Dallas Stars.

Gary Pearson

Last updated: May 25, 2025 12:45 PM EDT • 3 min read

Stars vs. Oilers Prediction Today: Game 3 Odds & Expert Picks — Pictured: Edmonton Oilers defenseman Brett Kulak (27) reacts after scoring a goal against the Dallas Stars. Photo by Jerome Miron via Imagn Images

The Edmonton Oilers executed their third defensive masterclass in the last four games in Dallas for the Game 2 win. Can they make it a fourth in five when they host the Dallas Stars at Rogers Place in this afternoon's Game 3 (3 p.m. ET, ABC)?

Our Stars vs. Oilers prediction and NHL picks analyze the chances of Edmonton continuing its momentum while capitalizing on home-ice advantage. They are the favorites across our best sports betting sites.

💰 Oilers vs. Stars expert picks for Game 3

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✅ Against the spread pick: Stars +1.5 (-190 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Oilers (-150 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 6.5 goals (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

🏒 Game 3 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Oilers 4, Stars 3

Aside from the ferocious Florida Panthers, the only thing that can beat the Oilers is the Oilers themselves. Whenever Edmonton loses, you can be as sure as Connor McDavid posting a point that it's due to individual errors.

The defending Western Conference champions were let down by indiscipline in Game 1, which the Stars took full advantage of with three power-play goals in just over six minutes, the time it takes for Corey Perry to get under someone's skin.

The Oilers eradicated those mistakes in Game 2, resulting in their third shutout victory in the previous four games.

Those mistake-laden flurries are becoming less frequent as time passes. Kris Knoblauch has indoctrinated simplification, ensuring the Oilers are always responsible defensively.

Conceding just two even-strength goals (excluding the Game 1 empty-netter) in the last four games reflects just how attentive they are to details in their own zone. By the way, one of the two they allowed - Tyler Seguin's first-period goal in Game 1 - was due to an individual error.

Go figure.

Why the Over?

I rarely follow trends unless they're of a more timely variety. The last six Oilers Game 3s had seven goals or more, five of which were at Rogers Place. Skinner wasn't at his best in any of those contests. Add that trend to the peculiar 3 p.m. ET start time, and you have the two primary reasons I'm backing the Over.

✅ Best bet: Oilers ML (-150 via bet365)

📈 Oilers vs. Stars odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting apps.

🔢 Stars vs. Oilers updated betting action

Updated betting info via BetMGM

The Oilers' odds shortened from -145 to -160 in the lead-up to puck drop
Dallas' odds lengthened from +120 to +135
The total is set at 6, with the Under at +100 and the Over -120. Those lines haven't moved

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Written By:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.