Connor McDavid Stanley Cup Final Prop Bets: Can McDavid Break Wayne Gretzky's Record?
Connor McDavid is compiling points like he's playing a collection of preseason games against a contingent trying to make the NHL, let alone in the Stanley Cup Final opposite the defending Stanley Cup champions and some of the world's best defensive players.
But will he be able to surpass Wayne Gretzky's record of 13 points in a Stanley Cup Final? We examine the possibility in our McDavid Stanley Cup final prop bets.
For more coverage, see our Oilers vs. Panthers Game 3 prediction.
Will McDavid break Gretzky's Stanley Cup Final record?
Gretzky set his record against the Boston Bruins in the 1987-88 Stanley Cup Final, averaging 2.6 points per game in five contests. He did so thanks to two three-point outings and a four-point night.
That record has stood for 27 years, eight years less than the length of the Edmonton Oilers' Stanley Cup drought.
If McDavid has his way, the Oilers will end that barren run in less than two weeks. The Oilers captain has five points, all of which are assists, in the opening two games of the Stanley Cup Final against the Florida Panthers.
Gretzky had four in his first two games at home against Boston.
For McDavid to eclipse Gretzky's record and notch at least 14 points, he must score nine points in three, four, or five games. The former seems out of reach, even for McDavid.
Then again, who actually thinks this series will be over in five games?
If the final goes the distance as it did last season, McDavid would need to average 1.8 points per game. He's scoring at a 1.72 points-per-game clip in these playoffs while averaging 1.61 per game overall in his 92 postseason contests.
How did last season's Stanley Cup Final compare?
McDavid finished with 11 points in seven games last season against the Cats, falling two points shy of tying Gretzky's record. In Games 1, 6, and 7, he didn't muster a point. Yet, he won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite Edmonton's loss in the final.
He exploded for 11 in the other four outings, which included the only time anyone has ever achieved back-to-back four-point games in the final.
If the Stanley Cup Final goes to a decisive seventh game, McDavid has every chance of wiping another Gretzky record off the board like a Zamboni clearing a sullied ice surface. However, I don't believe it will, which I outlined in my Stanley Cup prediction.
Best bet for McDavid to beat Gretzky's record
Four of seven games in last year's showpiece had six goals or fewer. Surely, we're in for a few forthcoming defensive battles, which should limit McDavid's ability to rack up points.
So, I'm on the nay side, although if anyone can do it, it's No. 97.
If you're on the other side of the fence, which I'm sure a number of you are, you can lock McDavid in to break the record at FanDuel, offering +205 odds. Those odds imply a 32.79% implied probability McDavid sets the record.
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