Connor McDavid Stanley Cup Final Prop Bets: Can McDavid Break Wayne Gretzky's Record?

Connor McDavid is on a torrid scoring pace in the Stanley Cup Final, but will he be able to break Wayne Gretzky's SCF record of 13 points?

Gary Pearson

Last updated: June 9, 2025 7:50 AM EDT • 3 min read

Connor McDavid Stanley Cup Final Prop Bets: McDavid Best Bets for Game 3, Final — Pictured: Florida Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky makes a save against Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid. Photo by Walter Tychnowicz via Imagn Images.

Connor McDavid is compiling points like he's playing a collection of preseason games against a contingent trying to make the NHL, let alone in the Stanley Cup Final opposite the defending Stanley Cup champions and some of the world's best defensive players.

But will he be able to surpass Wayne Gretzky's record of 13 points in a Stanley Cup Final? We examine the possibility in our McDavid Stanley Cup final prop bets.

For more coverage, see our Oilers vs. Panthers Game 3 prediction.

Will McDavid break Gretzky's Stanley Cup Final record?

Gretzky set his record against the Boston Bruins in the 1987-88 Stanley Cup Final, averaging 2.6 points per game in five contests. He did so thanks to two three-point outings and a four-point night.

That record has stood for 27 years, eight years less than the length of the Edmonton Oilers' Stanley Cup drought.

If McDavid has his way, the Oilers will end that barren run in less than two weeks. The Oilers captain has five points, all of which are assists, in the opening two games of the Stanley Cup Final against the Florida Panthers.

Gretzky had four in his first two games at home against Boston.

For McDavid to eclipse Gretzky's record and notch at least 14 points, he must score nine points in three, four, or five games. The former seems out of reach, even for McDavid.

Then again, who actually thinks this series will be over in five games?

If the final goes the distance as it did last season, McDavid would need to average 1.8 points per game. He's scoring at a 1.72 points-per-game clip in these playoffs while averaging 1.61 per game overall in his 92 postseason contests.

How did last season's Stanley Cup Final compare?

McDavid finished with 11 points in seven games last season against the Cats, falling two points shy of tying Gretzky's record. In Games 1, 6, and 7, he didn't muster a point. Yet, he won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite Edmonton's loss in the final.

He exploded for 11 in the other four outings, which included the only time anyone has ever achieved back-to-back four-point games in the final.

If the Stanley Cup Final goes to a decisive seventh game, McDavid has every chance of wiping another Gretzky record off the board like a Zamboni clearing a sullied ice surface. However, I don't believe it will, which I outlined in my Stanley Cup prediction.

Best bet for McDavid to beat Gretzky's record

Four of seven games in last year's showpiece had six goals or fewer. Surely, we're in for a few forthcoming defensive battles, which should limit McDavid's ability to rack up points.

So, I'm on the nay side, although if anyone can do it, it's No. 97.

If you're on the other side of the fence, which I'm sure a number of you are, you can lock McDavid in to break the record at FanDuel, offering +205 odds. Those odds imply a 32.79% implied probability McDavid sets the record.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.