Blues vs. Bruins Picks, Predictions: Back Red-Hot Boston in Potential Goalfest
The struggling St. Louis Blues will attempt to get back into the win column on Monday night when they visit the TD Garden in Boston to take on the red-hot Bruins. Read on for our Blues-Bruins picks and predictions.
Fresh off just their second loss in 12 games, the Bruins will look to start another winning streak at home against the lowly Blues. Brad Marchand scored a power-play goal and Linus Ullmark made 26 saves as Boston lost 2-1 to the division-rival Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday night.
After starting the season 3-0, St. Louis has completely cratered and now holds a 3-6 record through nine games. The Blues haven’t played since last Thursday when they dropped a 5-2 game to the New York Islanders. Vladimir Tarasenko scored his fourth goal of the year, and Jordan Binnington surrendered four goals on 29 shots in the loss.
Can the Blues bail water out of their sinking ship, or will the Bruins continue their ridiculous start?
Here are my NHL picks and predictions for Monday night’s game between the Blues and Bruins (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Blues vs. Bruins Game Info
Date: Monday,
Nov. 7, 7 p.m. ET
TV: BSMW,
NESN, NHL Network
Location:
TD Garden, Boston, MA
Blues vs. Bruins Odds
Blues vs. Bruins Odds Analysis
With 79% of the cash backing the Bruins, Boston is a clear -190 to -200 favorite with every major sportsbook. If you expect the floundering Blues to break their streak of futility, you can snatch them up at +165.
With the Bruins leading the NHL in goals per game, the goal total is set at a relatively high 6.5, with both the Over and Under paying out at -110.
Blues vs. Bruins Picks
- Moneyline: Bruins (-190 via DraftKings)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
- Prop: David Pastrnak Over 4.5 shots (-106 via FanDuel)
Blues vs. Bruins ML Pick
Bruins (-190) ★★★★★
These two teams are trending in opposite directions. Bolstered by a superior Corsi For percentage, expected goals for, and top-10 expected goals and expected goals against percentages, the Bruins have raced out to an exceptional 10-2 record through 12 games. They’re also the top-scoring team in the league with 4.45 goals per game, while surrendering the fourth-fewest goals per contest (2.55).
Conversely, the Blues have lost six games in a row, are the lowest-scoring team in the league, and dwell in the bottom half in Corsi For percentage, expected goals for, and expected goals percentage.
There’s also some value in backing the Bruins at -1.5 (+130 via DraftKings). St. Louis has fallen by two-plus goals in every single one of its losses during its six-game slide.
Blues vs. Bruins O/U Pick
Over 6.5 (-110) ★★★★★
Defense and goaltending have failed the Blues thus far this season, and I expect Boston’s offense to absolutely feast on Monday night. When you couple the Bruins' 4.45 goals per game with the Blues’ putrid 3.89 goals surrendered per contest, you have the recipe for a crooked number on the scoreboard.
Powered by their potent attack, the Bruins have combined with their opponents to score seven-plus goals seven times in 12 games this season. Although generally on the wrong end of the score, the Blues have combined with their opponents to score seven-plus goals five times in nine games.
I expect St. Louis and Boston to reach the seven-goal plateau, with the Bruins doing most of the heavy lifting.
Blues vs. Bruins Prop Pick
Pastrnak Over 4.5 shots (-106) ★★★★★
"Pastamania" has been running wild through 12 games. Playing for a potential eight-figure contract, Pastrnak is striking fear in the hearts of goaltenders across the NHL, racking up eight goals and 19 points.
He ranks third in the league with 62 shots, averaging nearly 5.2 per game. After launching five-plus shots in two of his past four games, he’ll do it again on Monday night.
Where to Bet on Blues-Bruins Picks
Blues-Bruins picks made 11/07/2022 at 10:42 a.m. ET.
