Vikings vs. Packers Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 12

My best Vikings vs. Packers player props for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET (FOX) game at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., focus on Jordan Love, Aaron Jones Sr., and Justin Jefferson. The Packers are favored by 6 or 6.5, depending on the sportsbook you visit.

Below, I highlight why I anticipate Love continuing to struggle against top pass defenses, why this is a brutal matchup for Jones, and why Jefferson has a decent chance of finding the end zone. For more coverage of this game, check out our NFL Week 12 predictions.

✅ Vikings vs. Packers player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 12.

💰 Best Vikings vs. Packers player props

⬇️ Jordan Love player prop: Under 238.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Love is averaging 242.1 passing yards per game, but his stats are significantly skewed because of the defenses he’s played. Love has faced only five units that rank in the top 20 in pass defense this season. He’s thrown for more than 188 yards against only one of those teams.

Love has put up five huge performances of 250 or more yards, but four of those games came against the bottom four pass defenses in the NFL. The Vikings rank seventh in the league in passing yards allowed, giving up just 190.5 per game.

Caesars’ price of -115 implies a 53.49% chance that this Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.70.

⬇️ Aaron Jones Sr. player prop: Under 52.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jones has rushed for more than 50 yards in just two of his six games this season. He’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry, but last week was also the first time that he carried the ball more than nine times in a game.

The Packers are allowing 3.8 yards per carry, which is third-best in the league, and they’re only giving up 96.8 yards per game. With Jordan Mason cutting into Jones’ touches, and the Vikings underdogs of 6.5 points, I don’t anticipate Jones getting the 13 or 14 carries he’ll likely need for this Over.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that this Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.

6️⃣ Best Vikings vs. Packers touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Justin Jefferson TD pick: Score a touchdown (+200) ⭐⭐⭐

The total for this game between two defensive-minded teams is set at just 41.5, so it’s hard to find much value when it comes to scoring props. That said, because Jefferson has scored only two touchdowns this season and is about to face a defense that has allowed just 13 passing touchdowns, you can wager $10 on him to score and profit $20.

While Jefferson’s season has been disappointing, he’s been JJ McCarthy’s favorite target. Since McCarthy returned as the starter, Jefferson has had at least nine targets in all three games. While those targets haven’t led to much success, he did score against the Lions, and both of his touchdowns this year have been from McCarthy.

Opportunities with his team playing from behind make this worth a play. The bet365 price implies a 33.33% chance that he scores.

📊 Vikings vs. Packers anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 12.

📺 How to watch Vikings vs. Packers

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 23
• Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
• TV: FOX