Texans vs. Titans Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 11
My best Texans vs. Titans player props focus on Tony Pollard, Nico Collins, and Woody Marks, ahead of Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET game (FOX) at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn. Without C.J. Stroud for the second consecutive game, the Texans are still favored by 5.5.
Below, I explain why I expect Pollard to struggle, despite a solid game the first time he played the Texans. And I highlight advantages for both Collins and Marks. For more about this game, check out our NFL Week 11 predictions.
✅ Texans vs. Titans player prop bets
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 11.
- Tony Pollard player prop: Under 40.5 rushing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Nico Collins player prop: Over 5.5 receptions (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Woody Marks player prop: Anytime touchdown (+145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Texans vs. Titans player props
⬇️ Tony Pollard player prop: Under 40.5 rushing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Pollard ran for 64 yards in Week 4 against the Texans, but 21 of those yards came on his longest run of the season. On his other 13 carries, Pollard averaged just 3.3 yards. Pollard is averaging just 4.0 yards per carry, and he’s failed to reach 41 yards twice.
The Texans rank seventh in yards allowed per carry, giving up 3.9. They have the second-best rush defense in football, giving up just 90.3 yards per game, and teams have rushed just 209 times against them, the second-fewest in the league.
With the Texans favored by 5.5, the Titans will likely be playing from behind, which won’t give Pollard enough chances in a difficult matchup. DraftKings’ price of -113 implies a 53.05% chance that Pollard hits this Under. A $10 bet would profit $8.85.
⬆️ Nico Collins player prop: Over 5.5 receptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Collins has only caught more than 5.5 passes in three games this season, but he’s caught seven in back-to-back contests. Last week, he was targeted 15 times by Davis Mills, accounting for more than one-third of Mills’ 44 pass attempts.
The Titans have allowed the 11th-fewest completions this season. However, they rank 31st in opponent completion percentage, allowing opponents to complete 71.7% of their pass attempts. This is great news for Collins, who has been targeted at least 10 times in three consecutive games.
DraftKings’ price of +100 implies a 50% chance that this Over hits. A $10 bet would profit $10.
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6️⃣ Best Texans vs. Titans touchdown scorer bet
🔥 Woody Marks TD pick: anytime touchdown scorer (+145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Titans have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season, the most in the league. Therefore, I like the chances of both Marks and Nick Chubb scoring in this game.
That said, Marks’ consistency gives me more confidence in him on Sunday. He’s carried the ball at least 10 times in four consecutive games, while Chubb has had two games with just five carries during that same span. Marks has also scored four touchdowns this season, including two through the air, where Chubb has had no such success.
DraftKings’ price implies a 40.82% chance that Marks scores. A $10 bet would profit $14.50.
💡 More Week 11 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 11.
📊 Texans vs. Titans anytime touchdown scorer odds
See live NFL odds for every game in Week 11.
🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet
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📺 How to watch Texans vs. Titans
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 16
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tenn.)
- TV: FOX
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