Texans vs. Steelers AI Picks for Wild Card Weekend: NFL Playoff Predictions & Projected Stats
The final game of NFL Wild Card Weekend kicks off tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) when the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) host the Houston Texans (12-5) at Acrisure Stadium, and our Texans vs. Steelers AI picks expect the road favorites to win a rock fight in Pittsburgh to wrap up the first round of the 2026 NFL playoffs.
We've trained the latest ChatGPT model to offer its exact score prediction and projected stat leaders for both teams, as well as its best player prop pick today. To be clear, these picks are intended as fun entertainment - you can catch all of our expert picks (from actual humans) with our NFL playoff predictions ahead of the Wild Card Round.
🤖 Texans vs. Steelers AI picks: NFL Wild Card Weekend
See all of our NFL AI predictions with projected scores for every wild-card game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| Steelers | 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 |
🔢 Texans projected stats
- Passing leader: C.J. Stroud — 20/31, 226 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Woody Marks — 16 carries, 72 yards
- Receiving leader: Nico Collins — 6 receptions, 88 yards, 1 TD
🔢 Steelers projected stats
- Passing leader: Aaron Rodgers — 22/35, 231 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing leader: Jaylen Warren — 18 carries, 77 yards
- Receiving leader: D.K. Metcalf — 7 receptions, 94 yards
🔮 Texans vs. Steelers prediction
Houston’s advantage is that it can win this game without being perfect on offense. The Texans’ profile is built on defensive disruption and forcing mistakes, and Pittsburgh’s passing game has shown real drop-off under pressure — which matters in a playoff script where one turnover swings everything.
Pittsburgh keeps it tight because Aaron Rodgers can still run an efficient, controlled game when the run is working, and Jaylen Warren gives them steady chunk gains to stay out of obvious pass situations. But the Steelers’ drive-to-drive margin is thin, and settling for field goals late is what leaves them a point short as Houston closes with a final scoring possession.
Score prediction: Texans 20, Steelers 19
💡 More NFL predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every playoff game.
🤖 Texans vs. Steelers player prop pick
See the latest NFL odds and our (human) experts' NFL picks for every wild-card game.
⬆️ Nico Collins Over 68.5 receiving yards
This matchup favors Nico Collins because Houston’s passing game is expected to be selective but intentional under playoff conditions. Pittsburgh’s defense thrives when it can force quarterbacks into late reads, but Collins’ role as Stroud’s primary intermediate target gives Houston a reliable outlet against pressure. When the Texans do throw, the ball is most often going to Collins in high-leverage situations.
The game script supports steady, efficient usage rather than a spike-week outcome. With the Texans projected to play from ahead or within one score, Stroud won’t need to chase volume, but he will need chain-moving completions to sustain drives and protect a narrow lead. Collins’ ability to win on slants, digs, and back-shoulder throws makes him the most consistent source of receiving yards, giving him a strong path to clearing this number even in a low-scoring game.
Best prop pick: Nico Collins Over 68.5 receiving yards
📺 How to watch Texans vs. Steelers: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Monday, Jan. 12
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
- TV: ABC/ESPN
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