Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction: Expert Picks and Betting Analysis for Super Bowl 2026
The Super Bowl rematch, 11 years in the making, is finally happening on Sunday, and my Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction expects Seattle to get its revenge on New England for Malcolm Butler's end zone interception in 2015.
The Seahawks are a 4.5-point betting favorite for Sunday's 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC, Peacock) kick from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., in a game that many Super Bowl predictions project to be one-sided.
🏈 Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction: Super Bowl expert picks
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for Super Bowl 60.
| Predictions | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Seahawks -4.5 | -110 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 45.5 | -110 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba first TD scorer | +550 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Drake Maye Over 0.5 interceptions | -139 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| DeMarcus Lawrence & Leonard Williams to record sack | +410 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Leonard Williams Super Bowl MVP | +15000 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐ |
💰 Seahawks vs. Patriots best bet: Seahawks -4.5 (-110)
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for Super Bowl 2026.
Many people are wondering, are the Patriots the worst team in Super Bowl history? I won't go that far, but they are clearly the lesser team on paper against a Seahawks' defense that ranks in the top 15 all-time by DVOA.
The Patriots played the easiest schedule in the regular season, and all three of their playoff wins have come against teams dealing with major injuries. New England's luck is bound to run out on Sunday against a Seattle team that's 8-2 against playoff teams this season.
Seattle's outscored playoff teams by an average margin of 9.1 points.
Score prediction: Seahawks 24, Patriots 17
👀 Super Bowl 2026 betting action
Get ready for the Big Game with our Super Bowl exact score predictions and our Super Bowl AI prediction for Super Bowl 60 on Sunday (betting insights via BetMGM).
Super Bowl 60 line movement
| Super Bowl 60 market | Opening odds | Current odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks -5 (-110)/Patriots +5 (-110) | Seahawks -4.5 (-110)/Patriots +4.5 (-110) |
| Over/Under | Over: 46.5 (-110)/Under: 46.5 (-110) | Over: 45.5 (-110)/Under: 45.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | Seahawks (-235)/Patriots (+195) | Seahawks (-233)/Patriots (+195) |
Super Bowl prop betting insights
| Most bet props | Most bet TD scorers | Most bet 1st TD scorers |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker Over 20.5 receiving yards | Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks | Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks |
| Kenneth Walker Under 71.5 rushing yards | Cooper Kupp, Seahawks | Kenneth Walker, Seahawks |
| Hunter Henry Over 40.5 receiving yards | Drake Maye, Patriots | Cooper Kupp, Seahawks |
| Sam Darnold to throw for 250+ yards | Kenneth Walker, Seahawks | Seahawks defense/special teams |
| Drake Maye Over 36.5 rushing yards | Seahawks defense/special teams | Drake Maye, Patriots |
Super Bowl MVP betting insights
| Most Super Bowl MVP tickets | Highest Super Bowl MVP handle | Biggest Super Bowl MVP liabilities |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold (11.5%) | Sam Darnold, Seahawks (25.3%) | Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks (10.4%) | Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks (16.6%) | Cooper Kupp, Seahawks |
| Drake Maye, Patriots (9.7%) | Drake Maye, Patriots (12.5%) | Sam Darnold, Seahawks |
Super Bowl novelty/game betting insights
| Most bet novelty props | Most bet game props |
|---|---|
| "Heads" outcome of coin toss | Seahawks to score first |
| Yellow Gatorade for Gatorade bath | Correct score: Seahawks 24, Patriots 17 |
| Patriots 1st drive result: Punt |
📈 Seahawks vs. Patriots statistical breakdown & betting trends
Statistic and betting trends include NFL playoffs.
| Seahawks | Statistic | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 16-3 | W-L record | 17-3 |
| 14-5 | ATS record | 13-7 |
| 11-8 | O/U record | 12-8 |
| 1st (7.0) | FPI ranking | 10th (2.6) |
| 10th (0.054) | EPA/play ranking (offense) | 4th (0.112) |
| 2nd (-0.110) | EPA/play ranking (defense) | 5th (-0.081) |
| 1st (73.6) | Net efficiency ranking | 2nd (71.1) |
| 5th (0.153) | QBs EPA+CPOE ranking | 1st (0.192) |
| 15th | Strength of schedule ranking | 32nd |
🙌 Super Bowl touchdown scorer prediction: Jaxon Smith-Njigba first TD scorer (+500)
Check out how we expect the announcement of Klint Kubiak to the Raiders to impact Seattle in the Super Bowl.
The freshly announced NFL Offensive Player of the Year is poised to put on a show in the Super Bowl. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored a first-half touchdown in both of Seattle's playoff games, and as our Gary Pearson points out in his Super Bowl long shot bets to make now, JSN has even scored the opening possession TD in two games this season.
The Ohio State product has tallied 12 touchdowns in his last 17 games, hence his minus-money odds at our best Super Bowl betting sites to score in the Big Game. But given his proven ability to impact a game immediately, I love taking him to score first on Sunday.
This New England defense has managed to avoid All-Pro-level receivers this season, with Nico Collins missing the Houston Texans' playoff loss and Ja'Marr Chase suspended for the Cincinnati Bengals' regular-season loss. For that reason, our Liam Fox backs Smith-Njigba to score as well in his best Seahawks vs. Patriots player props.
🛡️ Key matchup: The Macdonald defense vs. Drake Maye
Looking to back Seattle's ferocious defense against the Patriots? Dive into how to bet on the Seahawks' historic defense in the Super Bowl.
Though Drake Maye lost the MVP to Matthew Stafford by just one first-place vote, the former No. 3 overall pick is still one of the youngest QBs in Super Bowl history. That youth has shown throughout the playoffs, with Maye putting up just a 51.1 QBR through three games after finishing with a 77.1 QBR in the regular season.
He played just one defense that finished top 12 in EPA per play during the regular season, and now he plays a fourth straight in the Super Bowl. Not only were the Seahawks top 12 in EPA per play on defense in the regular season, but they were No. 1.
That's why I'm all in on fading Drake Maye in the Super Bowl, not only by taking him to throw at least one interception (-139), but by backing the Seahawks' defensive line to have a field day.
Maye has been the most sacked QB of the playoffs (15), going down five times in each of his three playoff games, and he has by far the highest pressure-to-sack rate of the postseason (45.5%).
And with the way Leonard Williams and DeMarcus Lawrence have played, I think they'll both tally sacks in the Super Bowl (+410 SGP) and one of them will take home MVP honors.
📊 Seahawks vs. Patriots odds: Super Bowl
Our live Seahawks vs. Patriots odds update in real time.
🚑 Seahawks vs. Patriots latest injuries
🌤️ Seahawks vs. Patriots weather: Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET
Follow our Super Bowl weather forecast report for the latest weather for the Super Bowl.
Although Levi's Stadium is an open-air venue, the weather isn't expected to have much of an impact on Seahawks vs. Patriots. The weather report is calling for it to be about 58 degrees by kickoff (6:30 p.m. ET), with a low of 46. There will be light winds, 4 mph with gusts up to 7 mph, and a 32% chance of precipitation.
📺 How to watch Seahawks vs. Patriots: Super Bowl 2026
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 8
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
- TV: NBC, Peacock
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