Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction & Opening Odds: Super Bowl 2026 Betting Preview, Early Picks
This year's Super Bowl matchup features two heavyweights with the Seattle Seahawks (14-2) and New England Patriots (14-2) facing off on Sunday, Feb. 8 - but there's only one side worth betting to win it all, as I break down in my Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction.
I'm diving into the Super Bowl opening odds for this matchup and breaking down why I would back the Seahawks in the early betting market, along with my early pick on the Over/Under betting total and my favorite bets to win Super Bowl MVP. Kickoff for Super Bowl 60 will be at 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC) from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
🏈 Seahawks vs. Patriots early prediction: Super Bowl 2026
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
Seahawks -4.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
I've said it all season, and I'll say it again: the Seahawks have so many ways to win. Seattle boasts a top-15 defense all-time by DVOA, one of the NFL's most efficient offenses, and a special teams unit that can generate elite field position and score touchdowns, too. What's not to like?
We've already seen this line move from -3.5 to -4.5, so I wouldn't waste any time betting on Seattle at this price. The Patriots have upside when QB Drake Maye is right, but this will be the toughest test of his young career. That's why sharps are immediately gobbling up Seahawks stock - I'd recommend doing the same before the line moves even further.
📊 Seahawks vs. Patriots odds: Super Bowl 2026 betting lines
Opening odds via DraftKings. See all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for Super Bowl 2026.
Seahawks vs. Patriots opening odds
- Moneyline: Seahawks -205 | Patriots +170
- Spread: Seahawks -3.5 (-115) | Patriots +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-110) | Under 46.5 (-110)
Seahawks vs. Patriots line movement
The betting market opened with the Seahawks as 3.5-point favorites, but we've already seen that line move to -4.5 across the best Super Bowl betting sites with some shops moving to -5.
I don't expect that movement to slow down anytime soon, especially with Seattle looking inevitable in its NFC Championship win over the Los Angeles Rams and the Patriots looking ... less impressive in a snowy win over the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship. I wouldn't even be shocked if this line touched 7 at some point before bouncing back.
The total also moved up by a point from 45.5 to 46.5 compared to the Super Bowl look-ahead lines entering the conference championship round. I'd be fading that movement and looking to bet the Under in any matchup involving this historic Seahawks defense.
🔥 Super Bowl MVP odds & early pick
Players listed with odds shorter than 100/1; see our full breakdown of the Super Bowl MVP odds with our early prediction.
| Player | Odds | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks | +130 | $13 |
| Drake Maye, QB, Patriots | +235 | $23.50 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seahawks | +550 | $55 |
| Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seahawks | +600 | $60 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, Patriots | +2500 | $250 |
| Rashid Shaheed, WR, Seahawks | +2800 | $280 |
| Marcus Jones, CB, Patriots | +5500 | $550 |
| Stefon Diggs, WR, Patriots | +6000 | $600 |
| TreVeyon Henderson, RB, Patriots | +7500 | $750 |
| Drew Lock, QB, Seahawks | +7500 | $750 |
| Ernest Jones IV, LB, Seahawks | +7500 | $750 |
| Nick Emmanwori, S, Seahawks | +7500 | $750 |
| Devon Witherspoon, CB, Seahawks | +9000 | $900 |
| Cooper Kupp, WR, Seahawks | +9000 | $900 |
| Jason Myers, K, Seahawks | +9000 | $900 |
| AJ Barner, TE, Seahawks | +9000 | $900 |
| Demarcus Lawrence, DE, Seahawks | +9000 | $900 |
To nobody's surprise, the two quarterbacks in this matchup opened as the favorites by the Super Bowl MVP odds with Sam Darnold priced as the early favorite over Drake Maye. I'd be surprised if we see that change between now and kickoff, though I do suspect we could see Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba - my early pick to win this award - climb the oddsboard and close the gap on Maye.
If you like the Seahawks to win this game, you'll have plenty of options in the Super Bowl MVP market. Of the 17 players with shorter than 100/1 odds to win the award, 12 of them play for Seattle with just five New England players dealing among the early favorites. Maye is the clear choice, but don't sleep on speedy rookie rusher TreVeyon Henderson, who has home-run potential as a big-play threat for the Patriots offense.
📈 Seahawks vs. Patriots trends & betting notes: Super Bowl 2026
- The Seahawks posted the NFL's best record against the spread (12-5) during the regular season and have covered the spread in both playoff games
- The Patriots were right behind them with an 11-5-1 ATS record before posting a 2-1 ATS mark in three playoff games entering the Super Bowl
- New England has allowed just 26 points in three playoff wins, the second-fewest by a Super Bowl finalist through three games in NFL history
- Underdogs are 13-5 ATS (11-7 outright) in the Super Bowl in the last 18 years, while the AFC has posted an 8-3 ATS record over the last 11 matchups in the Big Game
📺 How to watch Super Bowl 2026: Seahawks vs. Patriots
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 8
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
- TV: NBC/Peacock
❓ Super Bowl 60 FAQs
Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?
The Seattle Seahawks are the Super Bowl favorites with odds of -205 to beat the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026. Those odds carry an implied probability of 67.21% for the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, according to our odds converter.
When is the Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl will be on Sunday, Feb. 8, at 6:30 p.m. ET from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
Where is the Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 60 will be at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday, Feb. 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who's playing in the Super Bowl?
The NFC champion Seattle Seahawks will face the AFC champion New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026.
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