NFL Rookie Player Prop Bets Week 3: Cam Ward & Matthew Golden Finally Arrive
It’s been an interesting start to the season for the NFL’s big-name rookies, and we’re here to help you find the best NFL rookie player prop bets for Week 3 as our NFL picks series continues. Last week, we turned a profit on Travis Hunter and Ashton Jeanty struggling, but lost a bet on Cam Ward to bounce back.
Make sure to check out the rest of our NFL predictions for Week 3 so that you don’t miss out on any winning tickets! This week, we’re targeting Ward and Matthew Golden to finally put it all together.
🏈 Best NFL rookie player props: Week 3
NFL rookie player prop odds subject to change.
- Matthew Golden Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Ashton Jeanty Under 71.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Cam Ward Over 198.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tetairoa McMillan Over 65.5 receiving yards (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Omarion Hampton Over 12.5 receiving yards (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Emeka Egbuka anytime touchdown scorer (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Week 3 rookie prop bets
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Matthew Golden Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Rarely do we get such a beautiful buy-low spot for a player, but that’s what we’ve got with Matthew Golden this week. Weeks 1 and 2 went poorly for the rookie wideout in the box score, but it’s one key peripheral that drives this bet: Golden leads the NFL in average separation score. Now that Jayden Reed is out indefinitely, Jordan Love won’t be able to ignore Golden.
The Packers got out to big leads early against the Lions and Commanders, and they’ll probably do something similar against the Browns. However, their first two games came at Lambeau Field, so playing on the road will be a new challenge for them. Their offense inspires confidence early. Look for Golden to capitalize on an uptick in volume, especially against a Cleveland defense that gave up loads of big passing plays to the Ravens.
I like Golden to surpass this rock-bottom total of 29.5. You can buy the Over for -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM to score an $8.70 profit on a $10 bet - and I encourage you to ladder this one through some higher numbers. Despite having just four targets to his name, two of them qualified as deep targets, so a single reception could yield 50-plus receiving yards for the rookie.
📊 Matthew Golden player prop bet odds
⬇️ Ashton Jeanty Under 71.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Another week, another Ashton Jeanty Under. We’ll be fading the Jeanty train until the wheels fall off – or until the rookie catches up to the speed of NFL action. While Jeanty has plenty of talent, the Raiders’ offensive line doesn’t. The unit ranks 32nd in run-block win rate (62%) and now must deal with the Commanders’ second-ranked unit in run-stop win rate (37%).
The books were content to leave Jeanty’s rushing yardage prop in the high-60s-to-low-70s over the first two weeks, but it looks like his Week 3 line is opening in the 50s. That’s okay. We can simply play him for Under 71.5 rushing and receiving yards. Jeanty’s awful pass blocking makes him a liability on passing downs, so he likely won’t get many chances as a dump-off receiver.
Lock this wager in for the cheap price of -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM to score an $8.70 profit on a $10 bet.
📊 Ashton Jeanty player prop bet odds
⬆️ Cam Ward Over 198.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Cam Ward cashed our Under in Week 1 but busted our Over in Week 2. That said, I don’t regret playing the Over last week – the game script was favorable and Ward looked great in the first half – but then head coach Brian Callahan refused to let him throw much with a slim lead over the Rams. After Tennessee’s loss in that spot, I think he’ll learn his lesson and trust Ward this week.
Although Ward has just 287 passing yards to his name this year (143.5 per game), he boasts an impressive 509 air yards (254.5 per game). The problem largely stems from poor receiver play. Through two games, Ward’s receivers have dropped eight passes. That isn’t just noise, but it’s less signal than most think. I’ll bet on some positive regression from the unit.
Lastly, the 2-0 Colts are not that good. They rank 32nd in pass-rush win rate (19%) and 31st in pressure rate (11.8%). Teams simply do not stop passing offenses with stats like that. Back Ward for Over 198.5 passing yards at -114 (53.3%) at FanDuel for an $8.77 profit on a $10 bet – and consider laddering him for more than that as well.
📊 Cam Ward player prop bet odds
❓NFL rookies betting FAQs
Who are the best rookies in the NFL?
First overall pick Cam Ward leads the quarterback class in passing yards with 287, though he is the only one to start a game. Wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan leads in receiving yards with 168, but tight end Tyler Warren isn’t far behind with 155. Wide receiver Emeka Egbuka leads rookies in touchdowns (3). Running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the class in rushing yards with 99.
What are the best NFL rookie prop bets for Week 3?
The best NFL rookie prop bets for Week 3 include Matthew Golden Over 29.5 receiving yards, Ashton Jeanty Under 71.5 rushing and receiving yards, and Cam Ward Over 198.5 passing yards.
How do NFL player props work?
Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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