Rams vs. Bears Prediction & Opening Odds: NFL Divisional Round First Look
Last Updated: January 12, 2026 6:36 AM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
I'm expecting another close game, which my Rams vs. Bears prediction for Sunday's Divisional Round at Soldier Field reflects.
The Rams are the 3.5 to 4.5-point betting favorite despite Chicago's recent exquisite home form. With one of the best track records of keeping things tight, I expect Ben Johnson's team to make life difficult for the high-octane Rams.
🏈 Rams vs. Bears early prediction: NFL Divisional Round
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
Bears +4.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Make it seven fourth-quarter comebacks for Caleb Williams after he and his Bears outscored Green Bay 25-6 in the final 15 minutes.
Chicago's never-say-die persona is consistently on display, as Johnson's team has won seven of 10 games decided by five points or fewer. Two of the three defeats occurred in Weeks 1 and 18.
Ten of the Bears' 18 games were decided by five points or fewer, another example of their unsurpassed ability to keep things close. Cold weather and a raucous Soldier Field should also help the Bears' cause against the team with the second-shortest Super Bowl odds.
📊 Rams vs. Bears odds: NFL Divisional Round
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
Rams vs. Bears opening odds
- Moneyline: Rams -196 | Bears +164
- Spread: Rams -3.5 (-115) | Bears +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 (-115) | Under 50.5 (-105)
Rams vs. Bears line movement
Three of the five best sports betting sites have the spread at +/- 3.5, while bet365 offers +/- 4, and DraftKings is the outlier at +/- 4.5. If you plan on backing the Bears, lock it in at DraftKings before it aligns with the majority.
📈 Rams vs. Bears trends & betting notes: NFL Divisional Round
- The Bears are 7-3 in games decided by 5 points or fewer, which includes their Wild Card Round win
- Including the wild-card game, the Bears are 5-2 ATS at home
- Excluding the Week 18 defeat to the Detroit Lions, the Bears previous home loss occurred in Week 1
- The Rams dropped to 5-5 ATS on the road after the wild-card win over Carolina
📺 How to watch Rams vs. Bears: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 18
- Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET or 8 p.m. ET (TBD)
- Location: Soldier Field (Chicago)
- TV: TBD
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Gary Pearson X social