Who Are the Most Clutch QBs in the NFL? Clutch Factor Power Rankings Week 4

Which gunslingers rose to the occasion in Week 3, and what are the best player prop bets for the most clutch QBs entering Week 4?
NFL Clutch Factor Power Rankings 2025: Who Are the Most Clutch QBs Entering Week 4?
Pictured: Baker Mayfield reacts after a play. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck via Imagn Images

Six of the seven most clutch QBs in our NFL Clutch Factor power rankings have led their NFL teams to a 3-0 start, but who stands imperiously atop the leaderboard? 

Along with analyzing who has been the most clutch through three weeks, I offer my best QB player prop bets entering Week 4. The NFL picks below are part of the NFL predictions for Week 4.


🏈 NFL Clutch Factor power rankings 2025

The Clutch Factor power rankings below are graded out of 100 and are based on each quarterback's cumulative performances throughout the season.

Injured QBs do not get penalized for being on the treatment table and are graded based on their time on the field. However, they must play at least 50% of the games to appear on the leaderboard. For last year's rankings and clutch ratings methodology, see our initial NFL clutch ratings.

You can also have a look at the Week 3 Clutch Factor power rankings

Rank Quarterback  Overall Clutch Factor 
1 Josh Allen (Bills) 82
2 Sam Darnold (Seahawks) 76
3 Daniel Jones (Colts) 74
4 Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) 71
5 Justin Herbert (Chargers) 70
6 Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 70
7 Jalen Hurts (Eagles)  67
8 Matthew Stafford (Rams) 65
9 Jared Goff (Lions) 63
10 Jordan Love (Packers) 61
T11 Dak Prescott (Cowboys) 59
T11 Kyler Murray (Cardinals) 59
13 Jayden Daniels (Commanders) 58
T14 Drake Maye (Patriots) 57
T14 Caleb Williams (Bears) 57
16 Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) 56
17 Mac Jones (49ers) 55
T18 Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) 53
T18 J.J. McCarthy (Vikings) 53
T20 Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) 50
T20 Spencer Rattler (Saints) 50
22 Bo Nix (Broncos) 49
23 Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) 48
24 Bryce Young (Panthers) 47
25 Cam Ward (Titans) 46
T26 Geno Smith (Raiders) 43
T26 Jake Browning (Bengals) 43
28 Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) 42
T29 Justin Fields (Jets) 40
T29 C.J. Stroud (Texans) 40
31 Russell Wilson (Giants) 36
32 Joe Flacco (Browns) 35

🏅 Best Week 3 clutch performances 

Track all of the latest NFL scores for full box scores and betting info.

🦅 Jalen Hurts leads Eagles to dramatic comeback victory

NFL Clutch Factor Power Rankings 2025: Who Are the Most Clutch QBs Entering Week 4?
Pictured: Jalen Hurts reacts after a touchdown pass to wide receiver Devonta Smith. Photo by Bill Streicher via Imagn Images

Welcome to the party, Jalen.

For the first time this season, Hurts put the Eagles on his broad shoulders. He came out of the tunnel for the second half hellbent on flipping the script against the Los Angeles Rams. He threw his first three TD passes of the season in the third and fourth quarters, spearheading an improbable comeback in which the Eagles overturned a 26-9 deficit.  

It was a resounding reminder of Hurts' ability to be the man when called upon. With that victory and cover, which was to the detriment of my against-the-spread picks, Hurts improved to an invincible 17-0 in his last 17 starts, including last season's Super Bowl run. 

It doesn't get any more clutch.


⚡️ Justin Herbert goes viral for performance vs. Broncos

NFL Clutch Factor Power Rankings 2025: Who Are the Most Clutch QBs Entering Week 4?
Pictured: Justin Herbert throws a TD pass against the Denver Broncos. Photo by William Navarro via Imagn Images.

The poster child of the NFL through three weeks, Justin Herbert broke the internet after his outlandish TD pass late in the fourth quarter against the Broncos to erase the Chargers' deficit.

He completed his first fourth-quarter comeback and game-winning drive of the season while ascending the MVP odds leaderboard, nestling in behind front-runners Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.

Herbert accomplished the fourth-quarter comeback in some of the most adverse conditions, overcoming protection issues with his injury-riddled offensive line. He has converted 43 first downs through three weeks, tied for the most. 

Herbert leads the league in passing yards (860) and is the fourth-most efficient in the red zone. 


⛵️ Baker Mayfield completes third straight fourth-quarter comeback 

NFL Clutch Factor Power Rankings 2025: Who Are the Most Clutch QBs Entering Week 4?
Pictured: Baker Mayfield throws against the New York Jets. Photo by Kim Klement Neitzel via Imagn Images.

It's almost as if Baker Mayfield manipulates proceedings to set himself up for a last-gasp game-winning drive and comeback victory. Thanks to a wild and unlikely few minutes, the New York Jets found themselves in the lead late in the fourth quarter despite being thoroughly outplayed throughout.

That turn of events would have unnerved most quarterbacks, but not the unflappable Buccaneers' signal caller.

Mayfield again led his team downfield, this time without his top two receivers, to secure his third comeback win in as many games to start the season. 

He hasn't turned the ball over once and is among the top 10 in his ability to deal with pressure, according to PFF. With the rash of injuries impacting his offensive line, he's had to be.  


🗒️ More Week 3 takeaways

  • Last season's most clutch QB, Patrick Mahomes, remains in 16th place on the leaderboard
  • Six of the seven most clutch QBs have led their team to a 3-0 start. Lamar Jackson (1-2) is the only exception
  • Hurts, Herbert, Mayfield, and Mac Jones orchestrated fourth-quarter comeback wins in Week 3
  • Josh Allen has remained atop the leaderboard since the start of the season
  • Sam Darnold jumped from 10th to second after thrashing the New Orleans Saints, 44-13

💰 Best clutch QB prop bets for Week 4

⬆️ Justin Herbert Over 251.5 passing yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Herbert has thrown for at least 281 yards in five of the last six games dating back to last season. He hit the Over on this number in two of three games in the current campaign and faces a New York Giants team allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game (252). 

Best odds: -112 via DraftKings

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⬆️ Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 TDs (-136) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hurts has four rushing TDs in three games, punching it into the end zone at least once in all three games. Whether by way of the cringe-worthy Brotherly Shove or via one of his designed red-zone runs, Hurts usually breaks the plane. Dating back to last year, Hurts scored a TD in 11 of the previous 12 regular-season games.

His implied probability of scoring a major sits at 57.63%. Of the best sports betting sites, Caesars offers the best value.

Best odds: -136 via Caesars

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⬆️ Baker Mayfield Over 17.5 rushing yards (-117) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Mayfield has rushed for at least 33 yards in every game thus far and six of the last seven games dating back to last season. His offensive line has struggled with injury issues, which may force Mayfield to break free of the pocket more often. Additionally, the Eagles have the sixth-worst defensive rushing DVOA and allow the ninth-most rushing yards per game (133.3 yards). 

Best odds: -117 via BetMGM

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