NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 7 Best Bets & ATS Predictions for Every Game

With a 48-31 record, my NFL picks against the spread have a 61% success rate entering Week 7. While I won't begrudge Jayden Daniels too much for his costly late fumble in slippery conditions on Monday Night Football, his harebrained blunder did make me shed a single tear. 

It's on to Week 7, where my NFL picks feature the Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, and Seattle Seahawks. The analysis below is part of the NFL predictions for Week 7. 

🏈 NFL picks against the spread: Week 7 ATS predictions

NFL picks against the spread based on the latest NFL odds and subject to change; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

💰 My best NFL Week 7 ATS picks

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

🔴 Chiefs (-11.5) vs. Raiders ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Chiefs are showing discernible signs of returning to their best vintage. Steve Spagnuolo's defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in three home games, while QB Patrick Mahomes has returned to the top of the MVP odds leaderboard.

The two-time MVP scored 37 points at home against a depleted Baltimore Ravens defense before putting up 30 on Detroit. 

He has scored 10 TDs (eight passing, two rushing) compared to one pick in the last three games. The Las Vegas Raiders, meanwhile, have the fourth-worst offensive DVOA and lost their previous two away games by an average of 25.5 points. 

Of the best sports betting sites, FanDuel and DraftKings are the only ones offering a -11.5 spread, with others sitting at -12. DraftKings' -112 provides slightly better value than the -115 at FanDuel, and a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09. 

🦅 Eagles (-1.5) vs. Vikings ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite putting forth the most putrid of efforts against the New York Giants, I haven't given up on the Eagles yet. Their Super Bowl odds took a significant hit after the lopsided 34-17 defeat and rightly so.

However, I am trusting in their ability to bounce back after successive defeats. If we're being fair to the Eagles, a defeat or two was bound to happen, especially on the back of Jalen Hurts rattling off 17 straight wins.

Yes, the way they lost to the Denver Broncos and New York was disconcerting, but it's crucial not to overlook their previous accomplishments. While the Minnesota defense is elite by anyone's standards, their offense - regardless of who is under center - leaves a lot to be desired. 

Plus, the Eagles haven't lost three in a row in three years, and I expect that streak to continue.

The spread at the best sports betting apps ranges from -1.5 to -2.5, with DraftKings and bet365 offering the former. Of that pair, bet365 offers the best value (-110), where a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09. 

🟢 Seahawks (-3) vs. Texans ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Seahawks represent one of my more profitable ATS bets. Coming off another victory and cover, they are 4-2 ATS. Seattle has been poor at home recently, with a 3-9 ATS record dating back to the start of last season.

However, late turnovers against the San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the difference between being 1-2 ATS at Lumen Field and 3-0. I expect some positive regression against a Houston Texans team that, despite being on a roll, has an inferior offense.

Led by one of the most clutch QBs through six weeks, the Seahawks have the fourth-best offensive DVOA, while the Texans rank 15th. Both defenses are equally elite.

The odds for Seattle -3 range from -110 to -118, with DraftKings at the high end of the market. If the Seahawks cover, you'll earn a $9.09 profit on a $10 wager.