Packers vs. Cowboys Prediction Tonight: Sunday Night Football Odds & SNF Picks

The Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys face off tonight on Sunday Night Football (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) in Micah Parsons' return to AT&T Stadium, and my Packers vs. Cowboys prediction sees Green Bay bouncing back in a high-profile spot as the road favorite.

The Packers are favored by 6.5 points to win in Parsons' first game against his former team in this prime-time matchup at Arlington, Texas. My NFL picks expect Parsons to play a key role for Green Bay in a Week 4 win.

🏈 Packers vs. Cowboys odds

Latest Sunday Night Football odds updated live in real time.

🏈 Packers vs. Cowboys prediction: Sunday Night Football

NFL expert picks for Sunday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.

• Game pick: Packers -6.5 (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Under 47.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Micah Parsons to record a sack (-144 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

✅ Packers vs. Cowboys expert pick for SNF

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

🧀 Packers -6.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Green Bay’s Week 3 loss to Cleveland was inexcusable, especially since it had won 300 straight regular season games when building at least a 10-point lead in the final four minutes of the fourth quarter. But this is not a reason to jump off its bandwagon, and my many concerns around Dallas are why this is my Sunday Night Football best bet.

The Cowboys defense has been a sieve this season, ranking 31st in yards per play allowed (6.5). Dallas has also allowed an NFL-worst five plays of at least 25 yards. 

I expect Packers quarterback Jordan Love to carve up a pass defense that ranks 29th in completion percentage allowed (77%), last in yards per attempt (10.4), last in touchdown percentage (7.8), and last in Total QBR (73) in zone coverage this year. 

As long as Green Bay cleans up its 14 penalties (the team’s most in 15 seasons) that it committed last week, it should roll against a Cowboys team playing without top wideout CeeDee Lamb.

I would pass on the Packers at anything more than a touchdown, but thankfully they are at -6.5 across the market. The best price is at Caesars, one of the only top sports betting sites charging less than -120 in juice to lay the points. Through its -115 odds at a 53.49% implied probability, a $10 winning wager would net $8.70 in profits.

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💰 Packers vs. Cowboys player prop bet for SNF

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

🔥 Micah Parsons to record a sack (-144) ⭐⭐⭐

Micah Parsons is coming off a game where he had five quarterback pressures against the Browns. His 14 quarterback pressures are tied for the most in the NFL, and his 17 pass rush wins (per NFL Next Gen Stats) are the most of any defensive player. 

Dallas’ offensive line cannot only focus on Parsons, as teammates Rashan Gary and Lukas Van Ness have added nine and seven quarterback pressures, respectively. 

Green Bay’s 52 total quarterback pressures ranks second, and that makes Parsons’ 59.02% implied odds to record a sack against his former team seem like a steal. 

Through FanDuel’s -144 odds, a $10 wager would net $6.94 in profits if Parsons finishes with at least one sack.

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