Packers vs. Broncos Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 15
My best Packers vs. Broncos player props for focus on RJ Harvey, Josh Jacobs, and Evan Engram. The Packers are 2.5-point road favorites for today's 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.
Both of these defenses rank in the top six in scoring and top five in total defense, so I’m not expecting either offense to be comfortable in this game. Read on for my three best bets, and for more coverage of this contest, check out our NFL Week 15 predictions.
🏈 Packers vs. Broncos player prop bets
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Harvey, RB, Broncos | Over 3.5 receptions | -105 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Josh Jacobs, RB, Packers | Under 68.5 rushing yards | -115 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Evan Engram, TE, Broncos | Score a touchdown | +425 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Packers vs. Broncos best bet
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RJ Harvey Over 3.5 receptions (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Packers rank ninth in rush defense and yards allowed per carry. Harvey has 35 or fewer yards in four of his last five games, averaging 2.7 yards per carry or less in each of those four contests.
However, Harvey has been very effective in the passing game, catching at least three passes in eight of his 13 games this season, despite playing as the backup to JK Dobinns for the first half of the year.
The Packers rank second in yards allowed per pass attempt, so I expect a lot of checkdowns from Bo Nix in this game. And when Harvey is targeted, the pass is normally completed, as he’s caught 37 of 42 passes thrown his way.
BetMGM’s price of -105 implies a 51.22% chance that Harvey hits this Over. A $10 bet would profit $9.52.
🔥 More Packers vs. Broncos prop picks
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 15.
Josh Jacobs Under 68.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Broncos have arguably the best rush defense in football, as they’re allowing the second-fewest yards per game (89.0) and the fewest yards per carry (3.7). They haven’t allowed a single rusher to go for more than 60 yards against them in a game since Omarion Hampton managed 70 in Week 3.
While Jacobs has back-to-back 80-yard games, his ceiling this season is just 93 yards. He’s failed to clear 68 yards in five games, and with him averaging just 4.0 yards per carry, it’s probably going to take a huge workload for him to have any shot at the Over in this matchup. He’s only recorded 20 or more carries four times this year.
BetMGM’s price of -115 implies a 53.49% chance that the Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.70.
Evan Engram to score a touchdown (+425) ⭐⭐⭐
With the projected total set at just 42.5, it’s hard to love anyone scoring when picking the best Packers vs. Broncos player props. That said, the Packers have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends, tied for the ninth-most in the league.
Engram has only scored once this season, but he is third on the Broncos in receptions (40) and receiving yards (347). He has at least two catches in all but two of his 12 games, and he’s caught at least four passes in two of his last three. The Packers have allowed the 10th-most receptions to tight ends (77), which accounts for 27.4% of all the receptions they’ve allowed.
With plenty of expected opportunities for Engram, Caesars’ price of +425 provides immense value, as a $10 bet would profit $42.50. The price implies a 19.05% chance that Engram scores.
🎟️ Most-bet Underdogs to win during Week 15
The Broncos are the most-bet underdogs to win in Week 15, with the top five listed here, via BetMGM.
- Broncos +100
- Patriots +100
- Chargers +240
- Lions +200
- Bengals +140
📺 How to watch Packers vs. Broncos
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 14
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: CBS
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