Packers vs. Bears Predictions for Wild Card Round | Opening Odds & NFL Playoffs Best Bet
Last Updated: January 6, 2026 3:26 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
The NFL's oldest rivalry is renewed on Saturday in the Wild Card Round as the Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers. My Packers vs. Bears predictions based on the opening odds look at whether Ben Johnson can lead his Chicago team to a positive result in its first playoff appearance in years.
Sportsbooks still haven't settled: some offer the Bears as a 1-point betting favorite, others have the Packers lined as a 1.5-point betting favorite. It's a true pick'em. My NFL wild-card matchups and predictions will answer which side I think is correct as we head toward Saturday's kickoff from Soldier Field in Chicago at 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
🏈 Early Packers vs. Bears prediction
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Bears ML (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
The Bears are the cardiac kids of the NFL, with 9 of their 17 games decided by five points or fewer. The progression they've shown from last season is remarkable in Ben Johnson's first year in charge.
Chicago won nine of 10 games before losing three of five to end the season, two of which Caleb Williams had a chance to win it on the last play of the game.
Despite those setbacks, they enter the playoffs in much better form than the reeling Packers, who are 0-3 since Micah Parsons' season-ending injury (if you include the loss to the Broncos when he was injured while excluding the Week 18 defeat in which they rested starters).
Green Bay is just 4-4-1 on the road, while the Bears are 6-2 at Soldier Field. One of those two defeats came in Week 1 before Johnson and Co. figured things out.
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📊 Live Packers vs. Bears odds: Wild Card Round
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Packers vs. Bears opening odds
- Moneyline: Packers -110 | Bears -110
- Spread: Packers +1 (-115) | Bears -1 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 46 (-110) | Under 46 (-110)
Packers vs. Bears line movement
Two of the best sports betting sites have the Packers as the betting favorite (at 1.5 points), and two have the Bears as a 1-point betting favorite. It will end up as close to a pick'em as you can get, probably with the Packers as the 1 or 1.5-point betting favorite.
The total hasn't seen much movement since opening at 46 points, but has dipped to 45.5 at some sportsbooks.
📈 Packers vs. Bears trends & betting notes: Wild Card Round
- The Packers lost last season's wild card game to the eventual Super Bowl champion Eagles, but won in Dallas the previous season
- This will mark the Bears' first playoff game since 2020, when they lost 21-9 in the wild-card round to the New Orleans Saints
- It will be the first home playoff game for the Bears since 2018
- Both previous meetings came down to the last play of the game, with the rivals splitting the season series
- Green Bay is 4-4-1 straight up on the road and 3-6 ATS
- The Bears are 6-2 at home and 5-3 ATS
📺 How to watch Packers vs. Bears: Wild Card Round
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 10
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Soldier Field (Chicago)
- TV: Prime Video
💡 NFL Wild Card Weekend predictions
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