Packers vs. Bears Predictions: Best Prediction Market Odds
The opening day of the NFL 2026 Wild Card Round wraps up with a clash of NFC North rivals, and we're having a look at the Packers vs. Bears prediction market. The Packers are a 1.5-point betting favorite ahead of Saturday's kickoff from Soldier Field in Chicago at 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video), but our NFL playoff bracket thinks the hosts might pull off the upset.
🆚 Who will win Packers vs. Bears at prediction markets?
Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.
Unsurprisingly, Saturday's Bears-Packers matchup is pretty split on prediction markets, with the Packers seeing just 52% against the Bears 48%, and the price for "yes" on those markets is quite similar: 53 cents for the "yes" on the Packers to advance, and 48 cents for the Bears to move on.
Using our odds converter, we can put the Kalshi prices into the realm of American odds: the 52% on the Packers converts to a moneyline of -108, while the 48% on the Bears translates to a +108 betting line.
Packers vs. Bears prediction: Packers to win
See all of our NFL picks throughout the playoffs.
My Packers vs. Bears prediction comes down heavily to one thing: experience. The Packers and Jordan Love are headed to the postseason for the third straight year, while it's Caleb Williams's first taste of the bright lights of the NFL postseason.
💡 More Wild Card Round predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game during Wild Card Weekend.
⚖️ Packers vs. Bears spread & Over/Under at prediction markets
| Outcome | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay -2.5 | 47 cents (+113) | 54 cents (-113) |
| Over 43.5 | 55 cents (-122) | 47 cents (+122) |
Our prediction: Packers -2.5
Each of the Packers' nine wins have been by three or more points. Don't be fooled by the four-game skid to end the season, the schedule doesn't tell the whole score: it started with a loss in Denver against the AFC's top seed, and then lost Jordan Love to injury, and then rested starters. Experience wins out tomorrow, with the Packers covering at -2.5 points, cashing a wager that equates to +113.
⚖️ How to bet spreads and totals at Kalshi
Kalshi allows you to scroll to set your own line for the spread and Over/Under. The implied chance and Yes and No prices change automatically with the spread you choose, giving you a higher likelihood of winning your prediction, or a greater profit (with lower likelihood).
🙌 Packers vs. Bears props at prediction markets
Kalshi offers a wide range of props on every game, including team totals, player touchdowns, receptions, and passing, rushing, and receiving yards on all notable skill players. Simply choose the market of your liking, select your desired player and prop line and make your pick on Yes or No.
Packers vs. Bears touchdown scorer props at prediction markets
| Player | Anytime touchdown | First touchdown |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 53 cents (-113) | 15 cents (+567) |
| D'Andre Swift | 39 cents (+156) | 10 cents (+900) |
| Christian Watson | 36 cents (+178) | 9 cents (+1011) |
| Colston Loveland | 31 cents (+213) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Kyle Monangai | 31 cents (+223) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Romeo Doubs | 31 cents (+223) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Rome Odunze | 30 cents (+233) | 8 cents (+1150) |
| Luther Burden III | 29 cents (+245) | 7 cents (+1329) |
| Jayden Reed | 22 cents (+245) | 7 cents (+1329) |
| Caleb Williams | 22 cents (+355) | 6 cents (+1567) |
💰 Packers vs. Bears touchdown prediction: D'Andre Swift to score anytime touchdown (39%)
Green Bay has allowed the most rushing yards per game over the last three weeks, which lines up well with losing Micah Parsons to injury. With Williams making his first start, the Bears will turn to their lead back to take some pressure off.
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a U.S.-regulated prediction market exchange, overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, where you trade on the outcome of real-world events by buying and selling simple contracts that pay out $1 if a specific result happens and $0 if it does not. Think of it like betting with a stock-market-style order book instead of a sportsbook. For example, in an NFL-style market, there could be a contract asking whether the Buffalo Bills will win the Super Bowl. If you think they will, you might buy a “Yes” contract at 35 cents, which implies a 35 percent chance. If the Bills win, that contract settles at $1, meaning you make 65 cents per contract. If they lose, it settles at $0. Prices move based on supply and demand as traders buy and sell, so the market itself reflects the crowd’s collective probability. Unlike traditional betting, you can sell your position early to lock in profit or cut losses, and the focus is on forecasting outcomes rather than beating a fixed house line.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
Kalshi differs from sportsbooks because you are trading against other users in an open market, not betting against a house that sets and moves the line. Prices are driven by supply and demand, you can exit positions early by selling, and odds are expressed as probabilities in cents rather than traditional spreads or moneylines. Sportsbooks, by contrast, offer fixed wagers with built-in vig and no ability to trade once the bet is placed.
Why should I wager on Packers vs. Bears at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
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