NFL MVP Odds After Week 15: Allen Closes Gap with Favorite Stafford After Epic Comeback Win

Josh Allen, who improved his NFL MVP odds after an epic comeback win over the New England Patriots, loves December as much as children appreciate Christmas.  

He is receiving the third-shortest MVP odds, with favorite Matthew Stafford putting on another show in the Los Angeles Rams' home win over the Detroit Lions. Drake Maye's MVP stock took a hit as his Patriots suffered their first loss since Week 3 against Pittsburgh. The MVP odds analysis below is part of the NFL Week 15 predictions. 

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🐏 Stafford remains MVP odds favorite after win over Lions

Tack on another outing of at least 300 passing yards for Stafford as he continues to make an airtight case to become MVP for the first time. The Rams beat the Lions 41-34, marking the 10th time they have scored at least 30 points and the third time breaking through the 40-point barrier. 

Stafford has 37 TD passes through 15 weeks, nine more than second-place Jared Goff. He did throw an interception in the victory, just his fifth of the season. 

The 37-year-old leapfrogged Maye to become the MVP odds favorite in Week 14. He has since increased that lead and is now receiving -250 odds at FanDuel. Those odds represent a 71.43% implied probability, and a winning $10 bet would profit $4. 

🦬 Josh Allen shows why he's reigning MVP 

Allen is making his impression felt again in December. The reigning MVP winner, who had odds of +2500 just two weeks ago, now sits as the third-most likely to win the award.

His +500 odds at FanDuel are only trading behind Maye and the front-runner Stafford. That's an implied probability shift of 3.85% to 16.67%.

His recent meteoric rise is partly thanks to his fourth fourth-quarter comeback of the season and second in a row. If you didn't know of Allen's Superman-like qualities, you would have assumed that New England's 24-7 lead was insurmountable. 

Cue the Allen comeback train. The Bills' offense scored a touchdown on five consecutive possessions, four of which came after halftime.

Unlike most, Allen has an uncanny ability to perform well in inclement weather. It's as if he harnesses the power of the wind and frigid conditions. 

Allen finished with 193 passing yards, 48 rushing yards, and three TDs. In the last two games, he has six TD passes, a rushing TD, 126 rushing yards, and 444 passing yards.  If Allen completes the MVP odds comeback and defends his crown, you'll win $50 on a $10 bet.

🪖 Drake Maye struggles in loss to Bills 

Maye saw his MVP stock take a hit in the Week 15 defeat to the Bills. He failed to throw a touchdown pass for just the second time this season and the first time in 10 games. The last time he didn't secure at least one TD toss was at Buffalo in Week 15.

While the chilly, windy conditions played an integral part, the Week 15 loss also marked the first time he threw for under 200 passing yards all season. He finished with 155 yards on 14-for-23, with one interception. 

Despite the setback, Maye is still the second-most likely player to win MVP. His +400 odds at FanDuel imply a 22.22% probability. The 23-year-old looks to become the youngest player to win the award since the 22-year-old Lamar Jackson won in 2019. 

A winning $10 bet will profit $40.