NFL MVP Odds & Favorites 2025-26: Stafford Grows Lead, Allen Re-Enters Race
Last Updated: December 15, 2025 8:15 AM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford (-250) grew his lead as the betting favorite by the NFL MVP odds with just three weeks left in the regular season. His -250 MVP odds represent an implied probability of 71.43% that he wins the award for the first time.
Meanwhile, in the AFC, Drake Maye (+425) stumbled in the award race as his New England Patriots blew a big lead in a home loss to the Buffalo Bills and reigning MVP Josh Allen (+550).
📊 NFL MVP odds 2025-26
Live 2025-26 NFL MVP odds via our best Super Bowl betting sites; odds update in real time.
📖 NFL MVP opening odds
Here are the opening 2025-26 NFL MVP odds via DraftKings from Feb. 7.
- Lamar Jackson, +500
- Josh Allen, +550
- Patrick Mahomes, +750
- Joe Burrow, +750
- Jayden Daniels, +1000
- Justin Herbert, +2000
- Jordan Love, +2200
- C.J. Stroud, +2500
- Baker Mayfield, +2500
- Kyler Murray, +2500
- Jalen Hurts, +2500
- Caleb Williams, +2800
- Jared Goff, +2800
- Dak Prescott, +3000
- Brock Purdy, +3500
- Bo Nix, +3500
- Tua Tagovailoa, +4000
- Matthew Stafford, +4000
- Drake Maye, +4500
- Trevor Lawrence, +4500
- Aaron Rodgers, +5000
- Saquon Barkley, +6000
- Sam Darnold, +6000
- Michael Penix Jr., +6000
- Bryce Young, +7000
- Jahmyr Gibbs, +7500
- Derrick Henry, +10000
- Christian McCaffrey, +10000
- Cam Ward, +10000
- Russell Wilson, +10000
- Bijan Robinson, +10000
- Anthony Richardson, +10000
📜 NFL MVP betting history
Here's a look at the last 10 NFL MVP winners, along with their preseason odds to win the award. The last four winners have all opened with shorter than 15/1 odds, which followed a three-year streak of long shots winning MVP honors.
| Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Josh Allen, QB | Bills | +850 |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson, QB | Ravens | +1400 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes, QB | Chiefs | +800 |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers, QB | Packers | +1100 |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers, QB | Packers | +3000 |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson, QB | Ravens | +4000 |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes, QB | Chiefs | +3525 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady, QB | Patriots | +385 |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan, QB | Falcons | +7500 |
| 2015 | Cam Newton, QB | Panthers | +5200 |
❓ NFL MVP FAQs
Who is favored to win NFL MVP?
Matthew Stafford is the solo betting favorite by the latest NFL MVP odds at -250. Those odds represent a 71.43% implied probability he'll be named MVP during Super Bowl week.
When will the 2025-26 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2025-26 NFL MVP will likely be announced on the Thursday ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl at NFL Honors.
Who was the NFL MVP last year?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen was crowned the NFL MVP for the first time after closing as the betting favorite in the regular season.
Who has the most NFL MVP awards in history?
Former quarterback Peyton Manning has won five NFL MVP awards. He captured four with the Indianapolis Colts (2003, 2004, 2008, 2009) and one with the Denver Broncos (2013).
Who was the last back-to-back MVP winner?
Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021.
Has anyone won consecutive MVPs more than once?
Peyton Manning won consecutive MVP awards twice, in 2003 and 2004 and again in 2008 and 2009.
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