Jets vs. Patriots Best Bets: Our Staff Expert Picks for Thursday Night Football

We're breaking down Jets vs. Patriots from every angle with our best bets and expert picks for this AFC East rivalry on Thursday Night Football.
New England Patriots wide receiver Stefon Diggs (8), tight end Hunter Henry (85), and wide receiver Demario Douglas (3) react as we offer our Jets vs. Patriots best bets for Thursday Night Football.
Pictured: New England Patriots wide receiver Stefon Diggs (8), tight end Hunter Henry (85), and wide receiver Demario Douglas (3) react as we offer our Jets vs. Patriots best bets for Thursday Night Football. Photo by Brian Fluharty / Imagn Images.

With just over an hour until the New York Jets (2-7) and New England Patriots (8-2) kick off on Thursday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video), we've compiled all of our Jets vs. Patriots best bets from our NFL staff with their expert picks for tonight's matchup at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., as part of our NFL Week 11 predictions.


🏈 Jets vs. Patriots best bets & TNF expert picks

See all of our NFL picks for every game based on the latest NFL odds.

Wager type Best bet Best odds
Game prediction Jets +13.5 -115 via DraftKings
Over/Under pick Over 43 -110 via Caesars
Best player prop bet Stefon Diggs Over 53.5 receiving yards -115 via BetMGM
Best Drake Maye bet Drake Maye Under 24.5 rushing yards -114 via FanDuel
Best anytime TD pick Hunter Henry anytime TD +147 via Caesars
Best first TD pick Hunter Henry first TD +750 via DraftKings

💡 More NFL predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game this season.


🔮 Jets vs. Patriots prediction

New England opened as a double-digit favorite and has drawn most of the action from the betting public, as we break down in our Jets vs. Patriots betting report for Thursday Night Football. Yet our NFL expert Gary Pearson sees value in the road underdogs tonight in a fade spot for the league's hottest team.

Pearson has been as high as anyone on Patriots QB Drake Maye this season, but he's fading him tonight in a less favorable game script that he expects to keep the Jets within striking distance. He breaks down all of his best bets tonight in his Jets vs. Patriots prediction.

💵 Thursday Night Football predictions

  • Game prediction: Jets +13.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Over/Under pick: Over 43 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Best prop bet: Drake Maye Under 241.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🔥 Jets vs. Patriots player props

As we break down in the latest Jets vs. Patriots weather report, this projects as the coldest game in NFL Week 11 with temperatures reaching sub-freezing lows. That's created a chilling effect in the player props market for both offenses, but our NFL expert Matt Jacob sees value in fading any overreactions.

Jacob is backing both passing offenses in this matchup, as he expects a bounce-back performance from Patriots receiver Stefon Diggs while betting the Over on two quarterback bets with his best Jets vs. Patriots player props.

Our NFL expert Dustin Saracini also dives further into New England's passing attack with a full breakdown of his favorite Drake Maye player props.

💵 Thursday Night Football player props

  • Stefon Diggs player prop: Over 53.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Justin Fields player prop: Over 134.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Drake Maye player prop: Longest completion Over 36.5 yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

💪 Jets vs. Patriots anytime TD pick

We missed our chance to stay hot with our anytime touchdown bets in that low-scoring slog last week in Green Bay, but our NFL expert Esten McLaren has his sights set on another five-star bet tonight for Thursday Night Football - along with two other bets on overlooked pass-catchers at roughly +250 odds each.

McLaren is only one of our experts fixated on Patriots tight end Hunter Henry, who should feature prominently against this shorthanded Jets defense. He breaks down all three of his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football tonight.

💵 Thursday Night Football anytime TD picks

  • Hunter Henry TD pick: To score anytime TD (+147) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Mason Taylor TD pick: To score anytime TD (+245) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Mack Hollins TD pick: To score anytime TD (+250) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🥇 Jets vs. Patriots first TD pick

Our NFL expert Sean Tomlinson has been similarly red-hot this season with his first touchdown scorer predictions, and he's also locked in on Henry as a strong candidate to score the first touchdown on Thursday Night Football.

Tomlinson is also backing Jets star rusher Breece Hall to lead the way for the visitors tonight at Gillette Stadium, and he breaks down his favorite long-shot bet at 40/1 odds with his first touchdown scorer predictions ahead of Jets vs. Patriots kickoff.

💵 Thursday Night Football first TD picks

  • Hunter Henry TD pick: To score first TD (+750) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Breece Hall TD pick: To score first TD (+1000) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyler Johnson TD pick: To score first TD (+4000) ⭐⭐

🚀 Jets vs. Patriots same-game parlay

Our NFL expert Brenden Schaeffer has crafted yet another same-game parlay at +600 odds ahead of kickoff at Gillette Stadium. This time, he's taking the points while expecting a big performance from two rookies tonight with his Jets vs. Patriots same-game parlay for Thursday Night Football.

💵 Thursday Night Football same-game parlay (SGP)

  • 1st leg: Jets +12.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • 2nd leg: Mason Taylor Over 32.5 receiving yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • 3rd leg: TreVeyon Henderson Over 76.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +600 via DraftKings ($10 to win $60)


📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football: Jets vs. Patriots

  • Date: Thursday, Nov. 13
  • Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
  • TV: Prime Video

🌐 Want more trusted analysis?

Add Sportsbook Review as one of your "source preferences" to see more of our expert picks and predictions in your Google search results and Discover feed.


📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)