Jets vs. Dolphins Prediction: Odds & Expert Picks for Monday Night Football
The Miami Dolphins host the New York Jets from Hard Rock Stadium on Monday Night Football, and my Jets vs. Dolphins prediction backs the home betting favorite (-2.5) to secure their first win of the season.
I also feature a De'Von Achane player prop in my NFL picks for the prime-time encounter, which starts at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). The picks below are part of the NFL predictions for Week 4.
📊 Jets vs. Dolphins odds: Monday Night Football
Latest Monday Night Football odds updated live in real time.
📺️ How to watch Monday Night Football
When: Monday, Sept. 29
Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
TV: ESPN
🏈 Jets vs. Dolphins predictions: Monday Night Football
NFL expert picks for Monday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Dolphins -2.5 (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 44.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: De'Von Achane Over 5.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Jets vs. Dolphins expert pick for MNF
Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.
🐬 Dolphins -2.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
There isn't a smack-you-in-the-face advantage for either winless team on prime time. However, the Miami Dolphins enjoyed an additional three days off after losing to the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football.
And despite most people's condemnation of Tua Tagovailoa's play, the Dolphins QB had his team within a score of leveling the game late in Buffalo against the Super Bowl odds betting favorite.
While Tagovailoa's interception, which scuppered his team's chances of completing the comeback, was inexcusable, at least he had them in that position in one of the most challenging buildings to play.
Justin Fields, who will start after clearing concussion protocol, was dreadful against the Bills at home in Week 2, finishing with a 30.7 offensive rating (PFF) and 3-for-11 for 27 passing yards before leaving the game in the fourth quarter.
Yes, the Jets almost pulled a Houdini act in Tampa Bay without Fields, but they have their special teams to thank for having any chance whatsoever.
Both teams are brutal in most statistical categories, but the Dolphins are surprisingly tied for the second-best rush EPA per play. And while Miami's defense is the second-worst in terms of DVOA and the worst in EPA per play, it made significant strides in Buffalo against arguably the league's best offense.
If the progression continues on both sides of the ball, I like Miami at home to cover the spread. Of the best sports betting sites, Caesars (-115) offers the best value. A winning $10 bet will yield an $8.70 profit.
💰 Jets vs. Dolphins player prop bet for MNF
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ De'Von Achane Over 5.5 receptions (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Achane hit the Over on this total in the last two games, finishing with eight and seven, respectively. Tagovailoa turned to his running back more often in checkdown situations in the previous two weeks, and the offense looked better for it.
While Achane struggled to accumulate yards against Buffalo (29), he was utilized frequently in quick dropback scenarios, something that will likely continue while Tagovailoa works on restoring confidence.
BetMGM (-105) is the best sportsbook to lock it in, as its odds are marginally better than the rest of the best sports betting apps.
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