Jarrett Stidham Player Prop Picks, Odds & SGP vs. Patriots for AFC Championship Game

My Jarrett Stidham player prop picks for today's AFC Championship Game dives into the question on everyone's mind: can the backup QB get the job done? 

My Conference Championship predictions are going to answer that question ahead of kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver at 3 p.m. ET (CBS). The Patriots are commonly trading as a 3.5-point betting favorite, so we should have a tight game on our hands with lots of opportunities for Stidham to showcase his skills.

🏈 Jarrett Stidham player prop picks vs. Patriots: AFC Championship Game

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💰 Best Jarrett Stidham player prop: Over 208.5 passing yards (-113)⭐⭐⭐⭐

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This line is a little higher than we'd like to see, but it's certainly not out of reach. I'm going to lean into a game script that sees Denver fall behind and play catch-up, which means forcing Stidham to move the ball through the air. Since leaving New England, he's had limited career starts - and none since 2023 - but he's eclipsed this line regularly when he's been forced into action. Game script suggests Stidham will need to move the ball through the air, and this line is quite reasonable.

🔥 More Jarrett Stidham prop picks

Jarrett Stidham Over 15.5 rushing yards (-107) ⭐⭐⭐

Stidham is a bit of an unknown when it comes to how he'll perform on the ground, but we know for certain that the Patriots will look to pressure and confuse the backup QB. Denver has a top-of-the-line pass-blocking offensive line, but if the Pats can pressure the QB, he might be quick to aim to get out of trouble. He's shown in the past that he can boogie if the scenario presents, with multiple career games over 30 rushing yards; a few scrambles, a designed run or two, and bam, cashing the Over 15.5.

While Stidham's rushing yards is a fun line, you might also want to target a couple of more-traditional names in the ground game: our Broncos vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer predictions highlight a pair.

Jarrett Stidham 2+ passing touchdowns (+230) ⭐⭐⭐

This is a fair price for something that's a long shot. Sportsbooks seem pretty aligned that Stidham Over 0.5 passing touchdowns is likely, trading at prices that imply about a 70% win. I mentioned before that the Broncos are likely to be a catch-up game script, and, well, pushing for touchdowns will be a part of that. The Patriots regularly gave up 2+ through the air in the first half of the season and will be up against it on the road against a clever coach in a big spot today. Stidham can sneak a second through.

Our Patriots vs. Broncos prediction for today highlights one of Stidham's receivers anytime touchdown as a top bet - why not see if he can hit a second.

🚀 Jarrett Stidham SGP vs. Patriots

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📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game

• Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
• Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
• Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
• TV: CBS

🔮 Patriots vs. Broncos predictions 

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