How to Trade on the Super Bowl Halftime Show: Bad Bunny Performance Prediction Market

Bad Bunny will be the headline act during Super Bowl 2026, and now as anticipation builds we're breaking down how to trade on the Super Bowl halftime show while looking at the prediction market offerings.

🎤 How to trade on Super Bowl 2026 halftime show

There are already plenty of options at prediction markets to trade on the Super Bowl halftime show featuring Bad Bunny, including what's posted at Kalshi. Many more will surely emerge in the coming days, too.

Let's use the first song market, always one of the primary offerings every year among the Super Bowl halftime show prop bets, as an example.

Which song will Bad Bunny play first during the Super Bowl 2026 halftime show?

Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.

Kalshi offers an opportunity to predict the outcome, and in this case what the opening number will be when Bad Bunny begins his show. Many markets come with terms, and that's especially true with the novelty ones tied to the Super Bowl. It's important to read and know the fine details before proceeding.

Sticking with this example, Kalshi's definition of the first song is broad.

"Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun," the regulations read. "Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify."

With a few exceptions, it doesn't take much for the first song to register as official.

🎵 BAILE INOLVIDABLE is the first song Super Bowl halftime show favorite at +178

As we can see above, BAILE INOLVIDABLE is the favorite, though Titi Me Pregunto and NUEVAYoL aren't far behind. Here's a more in-depth list of how the trading market stands.

Rolling with "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" comes with the highest percentage chance, with yes trading at 36 cents, or +178 odds. "Tití Me Pregunto" and "NUEVAYoL" trail notably while trading at 25 cents and 20 cents, respectively (or +300 and +400).

But the real shift in the market comes after "DtMF," as that's listed at +567 before a large gap to "La MuDANZA" at +1011, and the latter is receiving only a 9% chance. 

Therefore, this market is currently showing a clear favorite and two strong contenders, and the sharp drop tells us what options are falling more into long-shot territory.

🏆 Super Bowl 2026 halftime show first song prediction: BAILE INOLVIDABLE

Always keep your eyes (and in this case, ears) tied to reports and leaks closer to when the market in question will be resolved. That's especially vital here, as insiders will surely chime in soon enough, perhaps even with information from rehearals.

This market can fluctuate plenty, and often dramatically. Rolling with the favorite of "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" is the safe play for now, particularly after Bad Bunny used that prominently in his Super Bowl 2026 halftime show teaser video.

📋 What other Super Bowl 2026 halftime show markets are available?

We're only at the beginning of what will surely emerge through Kalshi, so keep watching for opportunities to pounce.

The last song of the performance is also an annually popular market, as is the total number of songs Bad Bunny will perform, and what guest performers will surface. There's usually at least one market tied to the main performer's attire, too.

For now, in addition to the more specific first song market, there's also one centered around which songs will be played overall. Here's how that one from Kalshi breaks down right now:

There are about a half dozen songs that seem nearly certain to be featured in some way. But the market begins to flip at "La MuDANZA," which is trading at 64 cents for "yes." Then there's "PERRE NEGRO," which is among the appealing underdogs at +163 betting odds and 38 cents.

📜 Past Super Bowl halftime show performers

The Super Bowl halftime show always features some of the most popular performers at the time.

Here's a look at the Super Bowl halftime show headliners and performers since 1990:

❓ Super Bowl halftime show FAQs

Can I predict the Super Bowl 2026 halftime show?

There will be plenty of options at prediction markets like Kalshi tied to the Super Bowl halftime show, with the first song and songs played as prime examples.

Who will perform the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show?

Bad Bunny will perform the Super Bowl 60 halftime show at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

Who picks the Super Bowl halftime performer?

The NFL works with partner Roc Nation to select the Super Bowl halftime performer(s) and entertainment. The host city chooses the act.

Who performed the Super Bowl halftime show last year?

Kendrick Lamar headlined the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show.

Who is the Super Bowl favorite?

The Seattle Seahawks are the Super Bowl betting favorite heading into The Big Game against the New England Patriots.

When will Super Bowl 2026 be played?

Super Bowl 60 will be played on Feb. 8, 2026, at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Where will Super Bowl 2026 be played?

The 2026 Super Bowl will take place at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

How to watch Super Bowl 2026

NBC will broadcast Super Bowl 60 nationally on Sunday, Feb. 8, at 6:30 p.m. ET.