Giants vs. Bears Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 10
Last Updated: November 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Giants vs. Bears player props identify one key rushing prop on each side of this matchup, as both run defenses have left plenty to be desired so far this season. Plus, New York tight end Theo Johnson has been living in the end zone since Jaxson Dart’s takeover, but oddsmakers don’t seem to be adjusting despite a favorable matchup against Chicago.
My NFL predictions for Week 10 will have you ready when the action from Soldier Field in Chicago gets underway at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). The Bears are a 4.5-point betting favorite.
✅ Giants vs. Bears player prop bets
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.
💵 Best Giants vs. Bears player prop bets
- Kyle Monangai player prop: Over 52.5 rushing yards (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jaxson Dart player prop: Over 36.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Theo Johnson player prop: Anytime touchdown scorer (+235 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Giants vs. Bears player props
⬆️ Kyle Monangai rushing yards: Over 52.5 (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
With starter D'Andre Swift absent from last week's game against Cincinnati, Bears running back Kyle Monangai had a field day, rushing for 176 yards on 26 carries against the worst statistical run defense in the league. The Giants are next up, and they have the second-worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 150.0 rushing yards per game.
Though Swift practiced in full on Thursday, he missed Friday's session due to a personal matter and is listed as Questionable for Sunday. Even if Swift suits up, we're projecting that Monangai eats into his workload after last week's impressive performance.
The Giants give up a league-worst 5.5 YPC to opposing rushers. With a rushing line of 52.5 yards from BetMGM, Monangai may not even need double-digit carries to hit the Over. The -118 odds on Over 52.5 yards imply a 54.13% probability, and a $10 bet would yield a profit of $8.47.
⬆️ Jaxson Dart rushing yards: Over 36.5 (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bears rank 25th in the league in run defense (131.0 yards per game allowed) and have been tripped up by quarterbacks using their legs against them. Chicago allows the ninth-most rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks this year.
Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson both cleared 50 rushing yards against Chicago while the less-mobile Geno Smith set a season-high rushing mark (31 yards) against the Bears. Jaxson Dart has rushed for 54+ yards in four of his six starts. He averages 4.9 YPC and hasn't had a start in which he logged fewer than five rushing attempts.
FanDuel lists this line at 36.5 yards with -114 odds on Over. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27% and the profit on a $10 bet would be $8.77.
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6️⃣ Best Giants vs. Bears touchdown scorer bet
🔥 Theo Johnson TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+235) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Theo Johnson’s red zone connection with Jaxson Dart has been undeniable as the second-year tight end has caught at least one touchdown from Dart in four of his six starts.
Johnson’s +235 anytime TD scorer odds from BetMGM equate to an implied probability of 29.85%. That’s a value considering that Johnson has five scores on the season, scoring in 66% of games since Dart took over as the starter.
The Bears have allowed 20 receiving touchdowns in eight games (2.5 per game) with four of those going to tight ends. A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $23.50.
💡 More Week 10 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 10
📊 Giants vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer odds
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📺 How to watch Giants vs. Bears
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Soldier Field (Chicago)
- TV: FOX
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Brenden Schaeffer X social